- Lead
- 3,086
- Total
- 9,343
- vs nation
- R+31.6
Arkansas 53rd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 3,058
- Total
- 9,702
- vs nation
- R+36.0
- Lead
- 2,904
- Total
- 8,630
- vs nation
- R+35.7
- Lead
- 2,310
- Total
- 8,142
- vs nation
- R+32.2
- Lead
- 2,072
- Total
- 8,905
- vs nation
- R+30.5
- Lead
- 782
- Total
- 8,653
- vs nation
- R+6.6
- Lead
- 164
- Total
- 7,781
- vs nation
- R+2.6
- Lead
- 1,757
- Total
- 8,396
- vs nation
- D+12.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+33.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 29,3442024 5-year
- Population density
- 662 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 44.3 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $52,2672024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 69.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 16.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+86.0 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+33.7 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 48, AR · twin score 90.8
presidential history
Party record book
Arkansas 53rd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
92.4%
1,304 votes · D+86.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 92.2%
Republican
Donald Trump2016
65.1%
5,619 votes · R+33.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 65.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1996
4,565votes
54.4% of the vote · D+20.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · 4,541 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
6,240votes
64.3% of the vote · R+31.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 6,077 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+91.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+65.9 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +78.9 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+36.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+31.5 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +35.7 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | R | 21.7%2,341 | 78.3%8,455 | 10,796 |
Arkansas 53rd State House District sits in the Mid-South. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 86.0 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 33.7 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 33.0 points.
A population of 29,344, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,267 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 48 and State House District 58.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Arkansas 53rd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/05053/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.