akashic
1876–2024
State House District 48·Arkansas

Arkansas 48th State House District voted Democratic for a century; it now votes Republican by 55 points.

One of Arkansas's most reliably Republican legislative districts

18762024·38 elections
AR
Latest
R+55
in 2024
Archetype
Old Confederacy
since the recent cycles
Population
7,436
2024 ACS

Arkansas 48th State House District, Arkansas: Old Confederacy district. In 2024, voted R+55%. Republican peak: R+63 in 1972.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+55MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
Population
7,4362024 5-year
Median household income
$62,9262024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
78.9%2024 5-year
Black
2.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
10.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+57 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+63 in 1972MIT Election Lab
2 counties · 0 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−54.5%
6182,1702,846
R
−52.9%
6472,1752,890
R
−53.0%
5771,9632,615
R
−47.4%
6241,8122,504
R
−43.9%
6661,7612,496
R
−30.9%
8471,6182,494
R
−24.4%
7901,3222,176
R
−2.7%
8358881,945
R
−1.2%
8378622,027
R
−42.9%
4591,1631,642
R
−51.1%
3981,2431,655
R
−35.7%
5001,0981,675
D
+6.8%
7596631,422
R
−63.3%
2139631,184
R
−17.5%
2254011,008
R
−0.8%
461468933
R
−15.6%
335461809
R
−8.7%
350417771
R
−7.7%
330385716
D
+24.5%
226131388
D
+21.8%
234150386
D
+39.9%
21390308
D
+49.7%
24381326
D
+56.6%
34694445
D
+3.8%
207192399
D
+16.2%
177120352
D
+9.6%
226186418
D
+20.4%
201133333
D
+33.0%
12246230
D
+11.7%
197154366
R
−0.9%
104106222
D
+18.0%
166115284
D
+20.6%
213140355
D
+16.6%
182125344
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Irish
12.8%
English
12.5%
American
12.0%
German
11.2%
Italian
1.6%
Scottish
1.5%
French
1.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
91.1%
speak English only
Spanish7.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.3%
Other Indo-European0.4%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
24.5%
Other Christian
14.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
5.5%
Catholic & Orthodox
4.7%
Methodist
4.2%
Mainline Protestant
0.8%
Non-Christian
0.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 45.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+48, this district of roughly 30,000 residents sits firmly outside competitive territory, making candidate quality and primary dynamics far more decisive than general-election outcomes.

The shift began with civil rights. 1980 marked the realignment in Arkansas 48th State House District, by a thirty-six points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at sixty-three points in 1972. The 2024 margin was fifty-five points.

The political shift has tracked, in Arkansas 48th State House District, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 79% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $62,926, and a 15% poverty rate describe the demographic context.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District 48, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/05048/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State House District 48, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District 48, Arkansas voted Republican by 54.5 points (R+55), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,846 votes cast, 618 went Democratic and 2,170 went Republican.
What is State House District 48, Arkansas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District 48, Arkansas as a "Old Confederacy" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 15 times, Republican 19 times, and other 0 times.
When did State House District 48, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District 48, Arkansas voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in State House District 48, Arkansas?
State House District 48, Arkansas has a population of 7,436 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District 48, Arkansas?
Median household income in State House District 48, Arkansas is $62,926 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of State House District 48, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 48, Arkansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 19 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Old Confederacy" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.