- Lead
- 490
- Total
- 4,943
- vs nation
- D+11.4
Arkansas 49th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 831
- Total
- 5,840
- vs nation
- D+9.8
- Lead
- 489
- Total
- 5,394
- vs nation
- D+7.0
- Lead
- 650
- Total
- 5,474
- vs nation
- D+8.0
- Lead
- 820
- Total
- 5,503
- vs nation
- D+7.6
- Lead
- 1,567
- Total
- 5,952
- vs nation
- D+28.8
- Lead
- 1,678
- Total
- 5,464
- vs nation
- D+30.2
- Lead
- 2,166
- Total
- 5,287
- vs nation
- D+32.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+9.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 29,4842024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,286 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 12.9 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $40,1452024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 34.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 12.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 38.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+91.0 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+18.4 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 92, OK · twin score 89.5
presidential history
Party record book
Arkansas 49th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
95.4%
1,055 votes · D+91.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 94.7%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
59.1%
1,985 votes · R+18.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 52.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1992
3,735votes
61.4% of the vote · D+39.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 3,720 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
2,389votes
40.9% of the vote · D+14.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · 2,302 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+94.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+68.6 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1900 · +94.3 pts
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
−4.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+18.4 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · −7.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Arkansas 49th State House District sits in the Mid-South. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 91.0 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 18.4 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 9.9 points.
A population of 29,484, a 35% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $40,145 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 92 and State House District 89.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Arkansas 49th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/05049/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.