- Lead
- 5,555
- Total
- 13,589
- vs nation
- R+39.4
Arkansas 54th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 5,112
- Total
- 13,480
- vs nation
- R+42.4
- Lead
- 4,315
- Total
- 11,688
- vs nation
- R+39.0
- Lead
- 3,376
- Total
- 10,812
- vs nation
- R+35.1
- Lead
- 2,941
- Total
- 11,123
- vs nation
- R+33.7
- Lead
- 1,332
- Total
- 10,803
- vs nation
- R+9.9
- Lead
- 855
- Total
- 9,280
- vs nation
- R+9.7
- Lead
- 1,514
- Total
- 8,171
- vs nation
- D+10.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+40.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 29,7682024 5-year
- Population density
- 27 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,112 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $59,5182024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 81.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+80.0 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+40.9 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 60, AR · twin score 96.6
presidential history
Party record book
Arkansas 54th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
89.7%
2,071 votes · D+80.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 83.3%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
69.3%
9,419 votes · R+40.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 67.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
5,082votes
74.6% of the vote · D+49.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 4,654 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
9,419votes
69.3% of the vote · R+40.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 9,100 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
+62.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+80.0 · U.S. D+17.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · +57.8 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+42.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+37.9 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +39.4 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 27.7%3,424 | 72.3%8,915 | 12,339 |
| 2020 | R | 28.5%3,587 | 71.5%8,995 | 12,582 |
With a 2024 presidential margin exceeding 40 points, this district of roughly 30,000 residents sits firmly in the Republican column, leaving general-election competition rare and primary contests as the primary arena for political change.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 80.0 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 40.9 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 40.9 points.
A population of 29,768, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,518 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 60 and State House District 32.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Arkansas 54th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/05054/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.