HarrisDemocratic28.8%16,609TrumpRepublican69.0%39,736KennedyIndependent1.2%676
R+40.1- Lead
- 23,127
- Total
- 57,609
- vs nation
- R+38.7
- Turnout
- 60.5%
Akashiccounty
Saline County, AR
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 60.5% of 95,143 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic28.2%16,060TrumpRepublican69.4%39,556JorgensenLibertarian1.0%595
R+41.3- Lead
- 23,496
- Total
- 56,959
- vs nation
- R+45.7
- Turnout
- 63.0%
ClintonDemocratic26.2%13,256TrumpRepublican70.9%35,863JohnsonLibertarian2.9%1,466
R+44.7- Lead
- 22,607
- Total
- 50,585
- vs nation
- R+46.8
- Turnout
- 60.7%
ObamaDemocratic27.3%12,869RomneyRepublican70.0%32,963GrayLibertarian1.6%775
R+42.7- Lead
- 20,094
- Total
- 47,062
- vs nation
- R+46.6
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic28.4%12,695McCainRepublican69.4%30,981OtherAll other candidates2.2%977
R+41.0- Lead
- 18,286
- Total
- 44,653
- vs nation
- R+48.2
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic35.9%14,153BushRepublican63.1%24,864OtherAll other candidates0.9%359
R+27.2- Lead
- 10,711
- Total
- 39,376
- vs nation
- R+24.7
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic39.2%12,700BushRepublican57.5%18,617NaderGreen1.6%533
R+18.3- Lead
- 5,917
- Total
- 32,391
- vs nation
- R+18.8
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic48.9%14,027DoleRepublican40.8%11,695PerotReform9.1%2,612
D+8.1- Lead
- 2,332
- Total
- 28,685
- vs nation
- R+0.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+40.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 127,4792024 5-year
- Population density
- 176 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 724 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $79,0462024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 78.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 9.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+90.1 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+44.7 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Lonoke County, AR · twin score 91.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 60.5%57,609 participants ÷ 95,143 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.2 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- +0.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 45.4%–46.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 52,498 | 86,487 | 60.7% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 41,849 | 88,242 | 47.4% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 57,185 | 90,708 | 63.0% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 44,650 | 93,303 | 47.9% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 57,609 | 95,143 | 60.5% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Saline County, AR · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
94.7%
1,938 votes · D+90.1
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 92.6%
Republican
Donald Trump2016
70.9%
35,863 votes · R+44.7
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 70.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
16,609votes
28.8% of the vote · R+40.1
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 16,060 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
39,736votes
69.0% of the vote · R+40.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 39,556 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+84.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+59.3 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +74.3 pts
Republican
John McCain2008
+48.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+41.0 · U.S. D+7.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +46.8 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 29.5%16,662 | 70.5%39,865 | 56,527 |
| 2020 | R | 28.6%16,256 | 71.4%40,612 | 56,868 |
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 75,824 |
| 2020 | 78,265 |
| 2022 | 79,065 |
| 2024 | 81,462 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+1,359 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +20,481 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $62,954 in average income, against $82,054 for residents who stayed — 23% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+3.8 on average — 36 points more Democratic-leaning than Saline County, AR itself (R+40.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Pulaski County, AR1,338D+22.1
- Garland County, AR356R+36.3
- Faulkner County, AR134R+32.3
- Hot Spring County, AR133R+52.2
- Grant County, AR102R+68.9
- Lonoke County, AR74R+53.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Pulaski County, AR1,126
- Garland County, AR236
- Faulkner County, AR134
- Grant County, AR106
- Hot Spring County, AR105
- Lonoke County, AR100
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +1,433 |
| 2012 | +1,348 |
| 2013 | +1,469 |
| 2014 | +1,170 |
| 2015 | +1,209 |
| 2016 | +957 |
| 2017 | +1,710 |
| 2018 | +1,418 |
| 2019 | +1,197 |
| 2021 | +1,673 |
| 2022 | +2,094 |
| 2023 | +1,991 |
| 2024 | +1,453 |
| 2025 | +1,359 |
Saline County, anchored by Benton just southwest of Little Rock, has added residents steadily as the metro expands outward, yet its presidential margins have held at roughly 40 points Republican across recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 90.1 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 44.7 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.1 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 40.1 points.
A population of 127,479, a 78% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,046 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lonoke County and Rogers County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Lonoke County
Arkansas
91.2twin score
elasticity2008–2012 trajectory12-yr trend≠ Scottish ancestry
Rogers County
Oklahoma
86.8twin score
elasticity2008–2012 trajectory% Catholic
Wagoner County
Oklahoma
86.7twin score
2008–2012 trajectory12-yr trend% Catholic≠ elasticity
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Saline County, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/05125/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Saline County, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Saline County, Arkansas voted Republican by 40.1 points (R+40.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 57,609 votes cast, 16,609 went Democratic and 39,736 went Republican.
When did Saline County, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Saline County, Arkansas voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Saline County, Arkansas?
Saline County, Arkansas has a population of 127,479 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Saline County, Arkansas?
Median household income in Saline County, Arkansas is $79,046 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Saline County, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Saline County, Arkansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 23 went Democratic and 10 went Republican.