HarrisDemocratic21.6%10,146TrumpRepublican76.6%35,942OtherAll other candidates1.7%814
R+55.0- Lead
- 25,796
- Total
- 46,902
- vs nation
- R+53.5
- Turnout
- 63.2%
Akashiccounty
Rogers County, OK
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 63.2% of 74,482 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic21.5%9,589TrumpRepublican76.4%34,031JorgensenLibertarian1.5%655
R+54.9- Lead
- 24,442
- Total
- 44,553
- vs nation
- R+59.3
- Turnout
- 64.4%
ClintonDemocratic19.3%7,902TrumpRepublican75.7%30,913JohnsonLibertarian5.0%2,047
R+56.3- Lead
- 23,011
- Total
- 40,862
- vs nation
- R+58.4
- Turnout
- 61.4%
ObamaDemocratic24.9%9,148RomneyRepublican75.1%27,553OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
R+50.1- Lead
- 18,405
- Total
- 36,701
- vs nation
- R+54.0
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic28.0%10,772McCainRepublican72.0%27,743OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
R+44.1- Lead
- 16,971
- Total
- 38,515
- vs nation
- R+51.3
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic32.3%11,918BushRepublican67.7%24,976OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
R+35.4- Lead
- 13,058
- Total
- 36,894
- vs nation
- R+32.9
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic37.3%10,813BushRepublican61.2%17,713OtherAll other candidates1.5%425
R+23.8- Lead
- 6,900
- Total
- 28,951
- vs nation
- R+24.4
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic37.3%9,544DoleRepublican50.4%12,883PerotReform11.8%3,022
R+13.1- Lead
- 3,339
- Total
- 25,554
- vs nation
- R+21.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+55.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 98,6102024 5-year
- Median household income
- $80,0672024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 69.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+48.0 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.3 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Grady County, OK · twin score 93.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 63.2%47,051 participants ÷ 74,482 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- +1.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 47.1%–49.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 41,038 | 66,820 | 61.4% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 33,338 | 67,940 | 49.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 44,634 | 69,279 | 64.4% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 35,162 | 72,653 | 48.4% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 47,051 | 74,482 | 63.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
71 precincts · 46,902 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -660021660021 | 543 | 2,153 | 53 | 2,749 | 19.8% | 78.3% | R+58.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -660130660130 | 599 | 1,424 | 48 | 2,071 | 28.9% | 68.8% | R+39.8 |
| Precinct -660030660030 | 377 | 1,608 | 40 | 2,025 | 18.6% | 79.4% | R+60.8 |
| Precinct -660110660110 | 464 | 1,398 | 25 | 1,887 | 24.6% | 74.1% | R+49.5 |
| Precinct -660020660020 | 361 | 1,471 | 35 | 1,867 | 19.3% | 78.8% | R+59.5 |
| Precinct -660001660001 | 537 | 1,203 | 29 | 1,769 | 30.4% | 68.0% | R+37.6 |
| Precinct -660031660031 | 465 | 1,232 | 37 | 1,734 | 26.8% | 71.0% | R+44.2 |
| Precinct -660018660018 | 316 | 1,316 | 37 | 1,669 | 18.9% | 78.8% | R+59.9 |
| Precinct -660116660116 | 259 | 1,355 | 33 | 1,647 | 15.7% | 82.3% | R+66.5 |
| Precinct -660026660026 | 237 | 1,365 | 27 | 1,629 | 14.5% | 83.8% | R+69.2 |
| Precinct -660009660009 | 323 | 1,250 | 23 | 1,596 | 20.2% | 78.3% | R+58.1 |
| Precinct -660004660004 | 425 | 1,075 | 27 | 1,527 | 27.8% | 70.4% | R+42.6 |
| Precinct -660015660015 | 307 | 1,180 | 23 | 1,510 | 20.3% | 78.1% | R+57.8 |
| Precinct -660128660128 | 323 | 1,159 | 21 | 1,503 | 21.5% | 77.1% | R+55.6 |
| Precinct -660007660007 | 379 | 1,029 | 25 | 1,433 | 26.4% | 71.8% | R+45.4 |
| Precinct -660013660013 | 252 | 1,168 | 13 | 1,433 | 17.6% | 81.5% | R+63.9 |
| Precinct -660006660006 | 320 | 1,082 | 24 | 1,426 | 22.4% | 75.9% | R+53.4 |
| Precinct -660011660011 | 247 | 1,144 | 21 | 1,412 | 17.5% | 81.0% | R+63.5 |
| Precinct -660027660027 | 211 | 1,066 | 21 | 1,298 | 16.3% | 82.1% | R+65.9 |
| Precinct -660008660008 | 406 | 816 | 23 | 1,245 | 32.6% | 65.5% | R+32.9 |
| Precinct -660023660023 | 228 | 994 | 20 | 1,242 | 18.4% | 80.0% | R+61.7 |
| Precinct -660032660032 | 246 | 951 | 24 | 1,221 | 20.1% | 77.9% | R+57.7 |
| Precinct -660010660010 | 314 | 853 | 21 | 1,188 | 26.4% | 71.8% | R+45.4 |
| Precinct -660120660120 | 264 | 854 | 18 | 1,136 | 23.2% | 75.2% | R+51.9 |
| Precinct -660012660012 | 182 | 884 | 7 | 1,073 | 17.0% | 82.4% | R+65.4 |
| Precinct -660005660005 | 187 | 805 | 15 | 1,007 | 18.6% | 79.9% | R+61.4 |
| Precinct -660022660022 | 148 | 775 | 12 | 935 | 15.8% | 82.9% | R+67.1 |
| Precinct -660019660019 | 146 | 772 | 16 | 934 | 15.6% | 82.7% | R+67.0 |
| Precinct -660029660029 | 193 | 727 | 12 | 932 | 20.7% | 78.0% | R+57.3 |
| Precinct -660002660002 | 280 | 571 | 27 | 878 | 31.9% | 65.0% | R+33.1 |
| Precinct -660131660131 | 148 | 535 | 14 | 697 | 21.2% | 76.8% | R+55.5 |
| Precinct -660024660024 | 115 | 556 | 14 | 685 | 16.8% | 81.2% | R+64.4 |
| Precinct -660017660017 | 152 | 506 | 9 | 667 | 22.8% | 75.9% | R+53.1 |
| Precinct -660003660003 | 158 | 451 | 17 | 626 | 25.2% | 72.0% | R+46.8 |
| Precinct -660202660202 | 22 | 118 | 2 | 142 | 15.5% | 83.1% | R+67.6 |
| Precinct -660200660200 | 10 | 90 | 1 | 101 | 9.9% | 89.1% | R+79.2 |
| Precinct -660203660203 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 40.0% | 60.0% | R+20.0 |
| Precinct -660201660201 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Voting District 140_401311 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1040_4013110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1140_4013111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 11040_40131110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 11640_40131116 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1240_4013112 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 12040_40131120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 12840_40131128 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1340_4013113 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 13040_40131130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1440_4013114 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1540_4013115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1640_4013116 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1740_4013117 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1840_4013118 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1940_4013119 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2040_4013120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2240_4013122 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2340_4013123 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2440_4013124 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2540_4013125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2640_4013126 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2740_4013127 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2840_4013128 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2940_4013129 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 340_401313 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3040_4013130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3140_4013131 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3240_4013132 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 440_401314 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 740_401317 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 840_401318 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 940_401319 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1908–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1908 | +16.2% |
| 1912 | +11.3% |
| 1916 | +12.0% |
| 1920 | −7.0% |
| 1924 | +13.0% |
| 1928 | −23.5% |
| 1932 | +48.0% |
| 1936 | +15.7% |
| 1940 | −0.7% |
| 1944 | −7.6% |
| 1948 | +19.1% |
| 1952 | −12.0% |
| 1956 | −17.0% |
| 1960 | −26.2% |
| 1964 | +12.9% |
| 1968 | −18.8% |
| 1972 | −55.7% |
| 1976 | +0.3% |
| 1980 | −27.8% |
| 1984 | −45.4% |
| 1988 | −19.1% |
| 1992 | −15.1% |
| 1996 | −13.1% |
| 2000 | −23.8% |
| 2004 | −35.4% |
| 2008 | −44.1% |
| 2012 | −50.1% |
| 2016 | −56.3% |
| 2020 | −54.9% |
| 2024 | −55.0% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 38 Senate · 4 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 21.0%7,522 | 79.0%28,263 | 35,785 |
| 2020 | R | 20.4%8,716 | 79.6%33,932 | 42,648 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+47.5
Presidential vote · 2024R+55.0
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 7.5 points more Democratic.
66,546 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+1,026 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +10,732 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $67,473 in average income, against $89,704 for residents who stayed — 25% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+25.4 on average — 30 points more Democratic-leaning than Rogers County, OK itself (R+55.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Tulsa County, OK1,430R+15.2
- Wagoner County, OK172R+49.8
- Mayes County, OK166R+57.5
- Oklahoma County, OK59R+1.7
- Washington County, OK57R+47.7
- Osage County, OK54R+41.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Tulsa County, OK1,263
- Mayes County, OK193
- Wagoner County, OK169
- Oklahoma County, OK67
- Washington County, OK59
- Creek County, OK54
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +310 |
| 2012 | +303 |
| 2013 | +459 |
| 2014 | +389 |
| 2015 | +610 |
| 2016 | +702 |
| 2017 | +286 |
| 2018 | +339 |
| 2019 | +524 |
| 2021 | +1,619 |
| 2022 | +2,169 |
| 2023 | +1,044 |
| 2024 | +952 |
| 2025 | +1,026 |
Rogers County, anchored by Claremore and sitting northeast of Tulsa, has posted Republican presidential margins above 50 points in recent cycles, reflecting the heavily white, working-class electorate that defines much of rural northeastern Oklahoma.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 48.0 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 56.3 points in 2016. The 2024 margin was 55.0 points.
A population of 98,610, a 69% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $80,067 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Grady County and McClain County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Grady County
Oklahoma
93.4twin score
elasticity2008–2016 trajectory
McClain County
Oklahoma
92.3twin score
elasticity2008–2016 trajectory≠ American ancestry
Lonoke County
Arkansas
90.8twin score
elasticity2008–2016 trajectory≠ English ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Rogers County, Oklahoma. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/40131/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Rogers County
Oklahoma at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Rogers County, Oklahoma vote in 2024?
In 2024, Rogers County, Oklahoma voted Republican by 55.0 points (R+55.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 46,902 votes cast, 10,146 went Democratic and 35,942 went Republican.
When did Rogers County, Oklahoma last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Rogers County, Oklahoma voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Rogers County, Oklahoma?
Rogers County, Oklahoma has a population of 98,610 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Rogers County, Oklahoma?
Median household income in Rogers County, Oklahoma is $80,067 — below the national median of $80,734. The Oklahoma state median is $65,039.
What is the political history of Rogers County, Oklahoma?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Rogers County, Oklahoma from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 21 went Republican.