HarrisDemocratic31.9%499,599TrumpRepublican66.2%1,036,213KennedyIndependent1.0%16,020
R+34.3- Lead
- 536,614
- Total
- 1,566,173
- vs nation
- R+32.8
- Turnout
- 53.8%
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+34.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,028,6342024 5-year
- Population density
- 59 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 68,597 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $65,0392024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 62.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 12.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+46.6 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49.7 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Arkansas, AR · twin score 86.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 53.8%1,573,274 participants ÷ 2,923,607 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.8 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- 0.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 39.0%–41.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 1,465,505 | 2,787,654 | 52.6% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 1,200,164 | 2,819,168 | 42.6% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 1,564,886 | 2,855,801 | 54.8% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 1,153,203 | 2,884,230 | 40.0% | B/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 1,573,274 | 2,923,607 | 53.8% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 276/110.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 279/137.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 282/1.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 285/182.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 288/227.
presidential history
Party record book
Oklahoma · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1908–2024 · 30 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
73.3%
516,468 votes · D+46.6
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 66.8%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
73.7%
759,025 votes · R+49.7
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 68.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
532,442votes
48.7% of the vote · R+1.2
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 519,834 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,036,213votes
66.2% of the vote · R+34.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 1,020,280 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+30.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+5.7 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · +28.8 pts
Republican
John McCain2008
+38.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+31.3 · U.S. D+7.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +38.5 pts
2026 election
On the ballot
Governoropen seat
Cyndi MunsonnomineeGentner DrummondMike Mazzei
OPEN seat: incumbent Gov. Kevin Stitt (R) is term-limited. The June 16 2026 primary was held but the GOP race is UNRESOLVED: no candidate cleared 50%, so AG Gentner Drummond (1st) and former state senator Mike Mazzei (2nd, Trump-endorsed) advance to an Aug 25 2026 runoff; the GOP nominee is not yet decided. Democrat Cyndi Munson won her primary outright (~75%) and is the Democratic nominee. (The primary date is June 16, not the June 30 anticipated in the brief.)
U.S. Senateopen seat
Kevin HernnomineeSevier Whitenominee
OPEN: Mullin (R) resigned to DHS; appointee Armstrong barred from running. Hern (R) won ~69.8%. Dem nominee UNSETTLED — Thomas vs Priest in Aug 25 runoff. Safe R.
U.S. House elections · 138 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
| Year | Seats won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R 5 | 31.0% | 65.1% | 1,282,107 | |
| R 5 | 31.1% | 66.4% | 1,146,311 | |
| R 5 | 30.7% | 67.3% | 1,551,383 | |
| D 1 · R 4 | 36.3% | 62.0% | 1,178,836 |
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+28.0
Presidential vote · 2024R+34.3
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 6.3 points more Republican than the rolls.
2,406,168 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+14,492 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +129,800 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +7,030 |
| 2012 | +8,447 |
| 2013 | +13,841 |
| 2014 | +4,217 |
| 2015 | +8,317 |
| 2016 | −4,358 |
| 2017 | −10,504 |
| 2018 | −4,408 |
| 2019 | +3,822 |
| 2021 | +26,921 |
| 2022 | +25,770 |
| 2023 | +22,671 |
| 2024 | +13,542 |
| 2025 | +14,492 |
In 2024 not one of Oklahoma’s 77 counties went Democratic — the closest, Oklahoma County, held Republican by under two points.
- One of the reddest states
- R+34.3 in 2024 (R+33.1 in 2020) — Republican for president every cycle since 1968 · MIT Election Lab
- Every county, twice over
- All 77 counties Republican in 2024; in 2008 Oklahoma was the only state to give McCain every county · MIT Election Lab
- Bluest and reddest
- Oklahoma County (Oklahoma City) R+1.7 — the closest in the state, but still Republican; Cimarron R+84.9 · MIT Election Lab 2024
- The cities barely moved
- Oklahoma County: R+28.5 (2004) → R+1.1 (2020) → R+1.7 (2024); Tulsa R+15.2; Cleveland R+14.9 · MIT Election Lab
- 2nd-most-Evangelical state
- 41.7% Evangelical Protestant — 2nd of 50; 39.1% report no religion (47th) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census
- Open governor in 2026
- Stitt term-limited; the GOP primary went to an Aug 25 runoff (Drummond vs Mazzei); Munson (D) is the nominee · Akashic 2026 forecast
Political twins — states
The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Arkansas
Arkansas
86.1twin score
% Evangelical2008–2024 trajectory≠ elasticity
Kentucky
Kentucky
82.0twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ % unaffiliated
Tennessee
Tennessee
81.9twin score
% Evangelical2016–2024 trajectory≠ 12-yr trend
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Oklahoma. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/OK/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Oklahoma
Frequently asked questions
How did Oklahoma vote in 2024?
In 2024, Oklahoma voted Republican by 34.3 points (R+34.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,566,173 votes cast, 499,599 went Democratic and 1,036,213 went Republican.
When did Oklahoma last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Oklahoma voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Oklahoma?
Oklahoma has a population of 4,028,634 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Oklahoma?
Median household income in Oklahoma is $65,039 — below the national median of $80,734. The Oklahoma state median is $65,039.
What is the political history of Oklahoma?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Oklahoma from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 20 went Republican.