HarrisDemocratic21.9%4,277TrumpRepublican76.7%14,945OtherAll other candidates1.4%266
R+54.7- Lead
- 10,668
- Total
- 19,488
- vs nation
- R+53.3
- Turnout
- 54.7%
Akashiccounty
Carter County, OK
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 54.7% of 35,707 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic22.9%4,470TrumpRepublican75.5%14,699JorgensenLibertarian1.0%196
R+52.5- Lead
- 10,229
- Total
- 19,479
- vs nation
- R+57.0
- Turnout
- 55.3%
ClintonDemocratic21.6%4,002TrumpRepublican74.2%13,752JohnsonLibertarian4.2%780
R+52.6- Lead
- 9,750
- Total
- 18,534
- vs nation
- R+54.7
- Turnout
- 52.7%
ObamaDemocratic28.7%4,908RomneyRepublican71.3%12,214OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
R+42.7- Lead
- 7,306
- Total
- 17,122
- vs nation
- R+46.5
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic29.7%5,603McCainRepublican70.3%13,241OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
R+40.5- Lead
- 7,638
- Total
- 18,844
- vs nation
- R+47.8
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic34.7%6,466BushRepublican65.3%12,178OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
R+30.6- Lead
- 5,712
- Total
- 18,644
- vs nation
- R+28.2
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic40.5%6,659BushRepublican58.7%9,667OtherAll other candidates0.8%132
R+18.3- Lead
- 3,008
- Total
- 16,458
- vs nation
- R+18.8
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic44.2%6,979DoleRepublican42.8%6,769PerotReform12.6%1,997
D+1.3- Lead
- 210
- Total
- 15,804
- vs nation
- R+7.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+54.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 48,5552024 5-year
- Median household income
- $60,7232024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 66.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+69.5 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Pottawatomie County, OK · twin score 93.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 54.7%19,538 participants ÷ 35,707 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- +1.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 38.8%–40.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 18,658 | 35,426 | 52.7% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 14,066 | 35,186 | 40.0% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 19,511 | 35,275 | 55.3% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 13,857 | 35,220 | 39.3% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 19,538 | 35,707 | 54.7% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
55 precincts · 19,488 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -100019100019 | 370 | 1,395 | 35 | 1,800 | 20.6% | 77.5% | R+56.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -100031100031 | 243 | 1,356 | 20 | 1,619 | 15.0% | 83.8% | R+68.7 |
| Precinct -100063100063 | 218 | 1,197 | 17 | 1,432 | 15.2% | 83.6% | R+68.4 |
| Precinct -100024100024 | 315 | 910 | 17 | 1,242 | 25.4% | 73.3% | R+47.9 |
| Precinct -100017100017 | 255 | 735 | 18 | 1,008 | 25.3% | 72.9% | R+47.6 |
| Precinct -100062100062 | 150 | 738 | 11 | 899 | 16.7% | 82.1% | R+65.4 |
| Precinct -100002100002 | 294 | 555 | 18 | 867 | 33.9% | 64.0% | R+30.1 |
| Precinct -100034100034 | 129 | 711 | 13 | 853 | 15.1% | 83.4% | R+68.2 |
| Precinct -100020100020 | 269 | 551 | 20 | 840 | 32.0% | 65.6% | R+33.6 |
| Precinct -100071100071 | 78 | 737 | 4 | 819 | 9.5% | 90.0% | R+80.5 |
| Precinct -100015100015 | 205 | 578 | 12 | 795 | 25.8% | 72.7% | R+46.9 |
| Precinct -100014100014 | 216 | 556 | 9 | 781 | 27.7% | 71.2% | R+43.5 |
| Precinct -100001100001 | 287 | 438 | 15 | 740 | 38.8% | 59.2% | R+20.4 |
| Precinct -100041100041 | 93 | 615 | 11 | 719 | 12.9% | 85.5% | R+72.6 |
| Precinct -100061100061 | 108 | 548 | 7 | 663 | 16.3% | 82.7% | R+66.4 |
| Precinct -100033100033 | 101 | 487 | 9 | 597 | 16.9% | 81.6% | R+64.7 |
| Precinct -100011100011 | 215 | 339 | 5 | 559 | 38.5% | 60.6% | R+22.2 |
| Precinct -100052100052 | 45 | 468 | 4 | 517 | 8.7% | 90.5% | R+81.8 |
| Precinct -100007100007 | 370 | 132 | 7 | 509 | 72.7% | 25.9% | D+46.8 |
| Precinct -100039100039 | 35 | 392 | 0 | 427 | 8.2% | 91.8% | R+83.6 |
| Precinct -100030100030 | 23 | 331 | 2 | 356 | 6.5% | 93.0% | R+86.5 |
| Precinct -100025100025 | 36 | 302 | 2 | 340 | 10.6% | 88.8% | R+78.2 |
| Precinct -100035100035 | 65 | 260 | 3 | 328 | 19.8% | 79.3% | R+59.5 |
| Precinct -100051100051 | 81 | 235 | 5 | 321 | 25.2% | 73.2% | R+48.0 |
| Precinct -100040100040 | 27 | 204 | 2 | 233 | 11.6% | 87.6% | R+76.0 |
| Precinct -100026100026 | 48 | 152 | 0 | 200 | 24.0% | 76.0% | R+52.0 |
| Precinct -100042100042 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 19 | 5.3% | 94.7% | R+89.5 |
| Precinct -100032100032 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Voting District 140_400191 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1140_4001911 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1440_4001914 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1540_4001915 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1640_4001916 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1740_4001917 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1940_4001919 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 240_400192 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2040_4001920 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2440_4001924 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2540_4001925 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2640_4001926 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3040_4001930 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3140_4001931 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3240_4001932 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3340_4001933 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3440_4001934 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3940_4001939 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 4140_4001941 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 5140_4001951 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 5240_4001952 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 5340_4001953 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 6140_4001961 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 6240_4001962 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 6340_4001963 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 740_400197 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 7140_4001971 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1908–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1908 | +21.5% |
| 1912 | +37.5% |
| 1916 | +39.4% |
| 1920 | +24.0% |
| 1924 | +36.5% |
| 1928 | −12.4% |
| 1932 | +69.5% |
| 1936 | +61.2% |
| 1940 | +52.2% |
| 1944 | +57.8% |
| 1948 | +63.0% |
| 1952 | +26.5% |
| 1956 | +22.0% |
| 1960 | +14.6% |
| 1964 | +36.2% |
| 1968 | +4.7% |
| 1972 | −34.0% |
| 1976 | +11.0% |
| 1980 | −17.0% |
| 1984 | −30.4% |
| 1988 | −2.7% |
| 1992 | +6.7% |
| 1996 | +1.3% |
| 2000 | −18.3% |
| 2004 | −30.6% |
| 2008 | −40.5% |
| 2012 | −42.7% |
| 2016 | −52.6% |
| 2020 | −52.5% |
| 2024 | −54.7% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 38 Senate · 4 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 22.7%4,443 | 77.3%15,124 | 19,567 |
| 2020 | R | 22.1%4,163 | 77.9%14,716 | 18,879 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+34.4
Presidential vote · 2024R+54.7
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 20 points more Democratic.
31,349 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−266 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +632 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $48,809 in average income, against $74,476 for residents who stayed — 34% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+45.6 on average — 9.2 points more Democratic-leaning than Carter County, OK itself (R+54.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Love County, OK106R+66.2
- Marshall County, OK76R+63.4
- Oklahoma County, OK60R+1.7
- Cooke County, TX53R+66.8
- Cleveland County, OK43R+14.9
- Murray County, OK43R+61.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Oklahoma County, OK96
- Cleveland County, OK72
- Love County, OK69
- Marshall County, OK45
- Murray County, OK42
- Garvin County, OK35
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +236 |
| 2012 | −81 |
| 2013 | +406 |
| 2014 | +46 |
| 2015 | −138 |
| 2016 | −250 |
| 2017 | −222 |
| 2018 | −126 |
| 2019 | −120 |
| 2021 | +388 |
| 2022 | +273 |
| 2023 | +307 |
| 2024 | +179 |
| 2025 | −266 |
Carter County sits atop the Ardmore Basin and has shifted steadily toward lopsided Republican margins over the past two decades, with the 2024 presidential result landing at R+54.7 — well above even Oklahoma's already-tilted statewide average.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 69.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 54.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 54.7 points.
A population of 48,555, a 67% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,723 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Pottawatomie County and Kay County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Pottawatomie County
Oklahoma
93.6twin score
elasticity% Evangelical2008–2012 trajectory≠ % unaffiliated
Kay County
Oklahoma
92.6twin score
2008–2012 trajectoryelasticity% unaffiliated
Garvin County
Oklahoma
92.5twin score
elasticity2008–2012 trajectory% Evangelical
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Carter County, Oklahoma. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/40019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Carter County
Oklahoma at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Carter County, Oklahoma vote in 2024?
In 2024, Carter County, Oklahoma voted Republican by 54.7 points (R+54.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 19,488 votes cast, 4,277 went Democratic and 14,945 went Republican.
When did Carter County, Oklahoma last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Carter County, Oklahoma voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Carter County, Oklahoma?
Carter County, Oklahoma has a population of 48,555 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Carter County, Oklahoma?
Median household income in Carter County, Oklahoma is $60,723 — below the national median of $80,734. The Oklahoma state median is $65,039.
What is the political history of Carter County, Oklahoma?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Carter County, Oklahoma from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 12 went Republican.