- Lead
- 5,811
- Total
- 17,823
- vs nation
- R+31.1
- Turnout
- 48.6%
Cherokee County, OK
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 48.6% of 36,825 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 5,196
- Total
- 17,714
- vs nation
- R+33.8
- Turnout
- 48.0%
- Lead
- 4,538
- Total
- 16,490
- vs nation
- R+29.6
- Turnout
- 45.9%
- Lead
- 2,018
- Total
- 14,306
- vs nation
- R+18.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,992
- Total
- 16,380
- vs nation
- R+19.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 946
- Total
- 18,192
- vs nation
- R+2.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 338
- Total
- 14,468
- vs nation
- D+1.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,771
- Total
- 13,696
- vs nation
- D+4.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+32.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 47,9422024 5-year
- Median household income
- $53,2182024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 44.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+34.1 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+41.0 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Navajo County, AZ · twin score 73.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 48.6%17,902 participants ÷ 36,825 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +9.4 ptsPersistently low turnout
- Drop-off versus state
- -5.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 39.2%–40.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 16,589 | 36,140 | 45.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 13,968 | 36,324 | 38.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 17,770 | 37,026 | 48.0% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 14,011 | 36,297 | 38.6% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 17,902 | 36,825 | 48.6% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
52 precincts · 17,823 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -110002110002 | 705 | 917 | 35 | 1,657 | 42.5% | 55.3% | R+12.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -110015110015 | 333 | 1,089 | 17 | 1,439 | 23.1% | 75.7% | R+52.5 |
| Precinct -110010110010 | 399 | 989 | 33 | 1,421 | 28.1% | 69.6% | R+41.5 |
| Precinct -110004110004 | 548 | 606 | 18 | 1,172 | 46.8% | 51.7% | R+4.9 |
| Precinct -110003110003 | 424 | 671 | 25 | 1,120 | 37.9% | 59.9% | R+22.1 |
| Precinct -110012110012 | 275 | 769 | 27 | 1,071 | 25.7% | 71.8% | R+46.1 |
| Precinct -110020110020 | 383 | 602 | 22 | 1,007 | 38.0% | 59.8% | R+21.7 |
| Precinct -110001110001 | 502 | 452 | 26 | 980 | 51.2% | 46.1% | D+5.1 |
| Precinct -110009110009 | 235 | 623 | 18 | 876 | 26.8% | 71.1% | R+44.3 |
| Precinct -110017110017 | 222 | 581 | 11 | 814 | 27.3% | 71.4% | R+44.1 |
| Precinct -110008110008 | 226 | 460 | 17 | 703 | 32.1% | 65.4% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -110025110025 | 184 | 495 | 12 | 691 | 26.6% | 71.6% | R+45.0 |
| Precinct -110014110014 | 152 | 473 | 13 | 638 | 23.8% | 74.1% | R+50.3 |
| Precinct -110005110005 | 260 | 275 | 9 | 544 | 47.8% | 50.6% | R+2.8 |
| Precinct -110006110006 | 170 | 354 | 13 | 537 | 31.7% | 65.9% | R+34.3 |
| Precinct -110011110011 | 114 | 332 | 18 | 464 | 24.6% | 71.6% | R+47.0 |
| Precinct -110007110007 | 170 | 283 | 5 | 458 | 37.1% | 61.8% | R+24.7 |
| Precinct -110021110021 | 89 | 331 | 4 | 424 | 21.0% | 78.1% | R+57.1 |
| Precinct -110016110016 | 87 | 249 | 10 | 346 | 25.1% | 72.0% | R+46.8 |
| Precinct -110019110019 | 87 | 219 | 9 | 315 | 27.6% | 69.5% | R+41.9 |
| Precinct -110018110018 | 66 | 232 | 4 | 302 | 21.9% | 76.8% | R+55.0 |
| Precinct -110022110022 | 45 | 232 | 4 | 281 | 16.0% | 82.6% | R+66.5 |
| Precinct -110023110023 | 56 | 219 | 6 | 281 | 19.9% | 77.9% | R+58.0 |
| Precinct -110013110013 | 72 | 117 | 3 | 192 | 37.5% | 60.9% | R+23.4 |
| Precinct -110029110029 | 9 | 44 | 1 | 54 | 16.7% | 81.5% | R+64.8 |
| Precinct -110027110027 | 13 | 22 | 0 | 35 | 37.1% | 62.9% | R+25.7 |
| Precinct -110028110028 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Voting District 140_400211 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1040_4002110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1140_4002111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1240_4002112 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1340_4002113 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1440_4002114 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1540_4002115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1640_4002116 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1740_4002117 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1840_4002118 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1940_4002119 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 240_400212 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2040_4002120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2140_4002121 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2240_4002122 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2340_4002123 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2440_4002124 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2540_4002125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 340_400213 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 440_400214 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 540_400215 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 640_400216 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 740_400217 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 840_400218 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 940_400219 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1908–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1908 | −6.3% |
| 1912 | +6.0% |
| 1916 | +6.6% |
| 1920 | −14.9% |
| 1924 | −3.2% |
| 1928 | −9.5% |
| 1932 | +34.1% |
| 1936 | +15.2% |
| 1940 | −2.2% |
| 1944 | +1.2% |
| 1948 | +20.8% |
| 1952 | −1.4% |
| 1956 | −4.6% |
| 1960 | −14.1% |
| 1964 | +12.4% |
| 1968 | −16.9% |
| 1972 | −41.0% |
| 1976 | +14.8% |
| 1980 | −3.4% |
| 1984 | −17.7% |
| 1988 | +5.2% |
| 1992 | +12.0% |
| 1996 | +12.9% |
| 2000 | +2.3% |
| 2004 | −5.2% |
| 2008 | −12.2% |
| 2012 | −14.1% |
| 2016 | −27.5% |
| 2020 | −29.3% |
| 2024 | −32.6% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 20 points more Democratic.
28,372 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+395 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +2,666 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $44,152 in average income, against $61,409 for residents who stayed — 28% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+41.2 on average — 8.6 points more Republican-leaning than Cherokee County, OK itself (R+32.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Tulsa County, OK138R+15.2
- Muskogee County, OK137R+37.6
- Adair County, OK98R+63.0
- Wagoner County, OK64R+49.8
- Mayes County, OK56R+57.5
- Delaware County, OK36R+60.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Tulsa County, OK183
- Muskogee County, OK149
- Adair County, OK59
- Wagoner County, OK50
- Mayes County, OK48
- Delaware County, OK39
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +395 |
| 2012 | +83 |
| 2013 | −183 |
| 2014 | +215 |
| 2015 | +83 |
| 2016 | +233 |
| 2017 | −21 |
| 2018 | −342 |
| 2019 | −11 |
| 2021 | +629 |
| 2022 | +494 |
| 2023 | +140 |
| 2024 | +556 |
| 2025 | +395 |
Cherokee County seats the Cherokee Nation government in Tahlequah, giving it one of Oklahoma's largest Native American populations — yet its presidential margins have shifted decisively rightward over the past three election cycles, reaching R+32.6 in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 34.1 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 41.0 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 32.6 points.
A population of 47,942, a 45% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,218 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Navajo County and Osage County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cherokee County, Oklahoma. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/40021/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.