- Lead
- 3,689
- Total
- 5,639
- vs nation
- R+63.9
- Turnout
- 53.2%
Choctaw County, OK
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 53.2% of 10,624 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 3,616
- Total
- 5,832
- vs nation
- R+66.5
- Turnout
- 52.9%
- Lead
- 3,139
- Total
- 5,426
- vs nation
- R+59.9
- Turnout
- 48.3%
- Lead
- 2,078
- Total
- 5,066
- vs nation
- R+44.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,870
- Total
- 5,590
- vs nation
- R+40.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 529
- Total
- 5,807
- vs nation
- R+6.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 338
- Total
- 5,315
- vs nation
- D+5.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,618
- Total
- 5,379
- vs nation
- D+21.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+65.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 14,2972024 5-year
- Median household income
- $44,0812024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 57.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 9.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+65.0 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+65.4 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Pushmataha County, OK · twin score 94.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 53.2%5,654 participants ÷ 10,624 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.8 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 39.4%–40.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 5,471 | 11,329 | 48.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 4,057 | 11,168 | 36.3% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 5,837 | 11,030 | 52.9% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 4,168 | 10,651 | 39.1% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 5,654 | 10,624 | 53.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
28 precincts · 5,639 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -120210120210 | 130 | 765 | 4 | 899 | 14.5% | 85.1% | R+70.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -120104120104 | 93 | 644 | 7 | 744 | 12.5% | 86.6% | R+74.1 |
| Precinct -120101120101 | 94 | 630 | 9 | 733 | 12.8% | 85.9% | R+73.1 |
| Precinct -120321120321 | 60 | 495 | 6 | 561 | 10.7% | 88.2% | R+77.5 |
| Precinct -120316120316 | 101 | 372 | 14 | 487 | 20.7% | 76.4% | R+55.6 |
| Precinct -120105120105 | 182 | 249 | 5 | 436 | 41.7% | 57.1% | R+15.4 |
| Precinct -120215120215 | 134 | 287 | 4 | 425 | 31.5% | 67.5% | R+36.0 |
| Precinct -120208120208 | 70 | 345 | 4 | 419 | 16.7% | 82.3% | R+65.6 |
| Precinct -120319120319 | 32 | 331 | 2 | 365 | 8.8% | 90.7% | R+81.9 |
| Precinct -120318120318 | 37 | 306 | 1 | 344 | 10.8% | 89.0% | R+78.2 |
| Precinct -120322120322 | 11 | 209 | 6 | 226 | 4.9% | 92.5% | R+87.6 |
| Voting District 10140_40023101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 10440_40023104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 10540_40023105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 10640_40023106 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 20740_40023207 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 20840_40023208 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 20940_40023209 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 21040_40023210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 21140_40023211 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 21440_40023214 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 21540_40023215 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 31640_40023316 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 31840_40023318 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 31940_40023319 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 32040_40023320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 32140_40023321 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 32240_40023322 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1908–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1908 | +7.2% |
| 1912 | +24.9% |
| 1916 | +28.0% |
| 1920 | +8.9% |
| 1924 | +9.8% |
| 1928 | +0.8% |
| 1932 | +65.0% |
| 1936 | +56.8% |
| 1940 | +37.2% |
| 1944 | +51.2% |
| 1948 | +64.2% |
| 1952 | +30.9% |
| 1956 | +22.3% |
| 1960 | +7.5% |
| 1964 | +39.6% |
| 1968 | +15.7% |
| 1972 | −30.3% |
| 1976 | +39.9% |
| 1980 | +18.5% |
| 1984 | −5.9% |
| 1988 | +20.5% |
| 1992 | +27.8% |
| 1996 | +30.1% |
| 2000 | +6.4% |
| 2004 | −9.1% |
| 2008 | −33.5% |
| 2012 | −41.0% |
| 2016 | −57.9% |
| 2020 | −62.0% |
| 2024 | −65.4% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 17.5%939 | 82.5%4,440 | 5,379 |
| 2020 | R | 20.1%1,142 | 79.9%4,544 | 5,686 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 38 points more Democratic.
9,149 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−91 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −199 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $41,183 in average income, against $52,713 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+64.1 on average — 1.4 points more Democratic-leaning than Choctaw County, OK itself (R+65.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Lamar County, TX45R+60.9
- Bryan County, OK33R+58.6
- Pushmataha County, OK27R+72.5
- McCurtain County, OK20R+68.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Bryan County, OK57
- Pushmataha County, OK42
- Lamar County, TX35
- McCurtain County, OK27
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +24 |
| 2012 | −80 |
| 2013 | −114 |
| 2014 | +127 |
| 2015 | −97 |
| 2016 | −70 |
| 2017 | −52 |
| 2018 | −131 |
| 2019 | −14 |
| 2021 | +211 |
| 2022 | +141 |
| 2023 | −23 |
| 2024 | −30 |
| 2025 | −91 |
Choctaw County, in southeastern Oklahoma's Little Dixie region, posted an R+65.4 margin in 2024 — a dramatic reversal from its historically Democratic roots in a rural area shaped by its Native American heritage and agricultural economy.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 65.0 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 65.4 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 65.4 points.
A population of 14,297, a 58% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $44,081 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Pushmataha County and Sequoyah County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Choctaw County, Oklahoma. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/40023/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.