- Lead
- 3,409
- Total
- 4,702
- vs nation
- R+71.0
- Turnout
- 56.2%
Pushmataha County, OK
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 56.2% of 8,396 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 3,348
- Total
- 4,739
- vs nation
- R+75.1
- Turnout
- 55.4%
- Lead
- 2,833
- Total
- 4,483
- vs nation
- R+65.3
- Turnout
- 52.2%
- Lead
- 2,044
- Total
- 4,130
- vs nation
- R+53.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,943
- Total
- 4,473
- vs nation
- R+50.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 929
- Total
- 4,797
- vs nation
- R+16.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 362
- Total
- 4,348
- vs nation
- R+8.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 812
- Total
- 4,341
- vs nation
- D+10.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+72.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 10,7902024 5-year
- Median household income
- $47,9402024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 68.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+74.9 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+72.5 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- McNairy County, TN · twin score 96.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 56.2%4,716 participants ÷ 8,396 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- +0.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 40.7%–41.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 4,495 | 8,605 | 52.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 3,356 | 8,613 | 39.0% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 4,754 | 8,579 | 55.4% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 3,376 | 8,458 | 39.9% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 4,716 | 8,396 | 56.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
26 precincts · 4,702 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -640002640002 | 240 | 1,323 | 27 | 1,590 | 15.1% | 83.2% | R+68.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -640015640015 | 95 | 575 | 9 | 679 | 14.0% | 84.7% | R+70.7 |
| Precinct -640011640011 | 54 | 603 | 6 | 663 | 8.1% | 91.0% | R+82.8 |
| Precinct -640003640003 | 68 | 335 | 10 | 413 | 16.5% | 81.1% | R+64.6 |
| Precinct -640009640009 | 36 | 285 | 2 | 323 | 11.1% | 88.2% | R+77.1 |
| Precinct -640007640007 | 35 | 209 | 1 | 245 | 14.3% | 85.3% | R+71.0 |
| Precinct -640017640017 | 22 | 184 | 4 | 210 | 10.5% | 87.6% | R+77.1 |
| Precinct -640008640008 | 24 | 145 | 1 | 170 | 14.1% | 85.3% | R+71.2 |
| Precinct -640010640010 | 19 | 112 | 1 | 132 | 14.4% | 84.8% | R+70.5 |
| Precinct -640012640012 | 14 | 115 | 0 | 129 | 10.9% | 89.1% | R+78.3 |
| Precinct -640014640014 | 5 | 97 | 0 | 102 | 4.9% | 95.1% | R+90.2 |
| Precinct -640001640001 | 4 | 42 | 0 | 46 | 8.7% | 91.3% | R+82.6 |
| Voting District 140_401271 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1040_4012710 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1140_4012711 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1240_4012712 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1540_4012715 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1640_4012716 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1740_4012717 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 240_401272 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 340_401273 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 440_401274 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 540_401275 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 740_401277 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 840_401278 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 940_401279 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1908–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1908 | +11.4% |
| 1912 | +15.6% |
| 1916 | +19.2% |
| 1920 | −14.3% |
| 1924 | +18.7% |
| 1928 | −7.6% |
| 1932 | +74.9% |
| 1936 | +50.9% |
| 1940 | +39.6% |
| 1944 | +41.3% |
| 1948 | +58.1% |
| 1952 | +22.2% |
| 1956 | +20.5% |
| 1960 | −2.9% |
| 1964 | +31.6% |
| 1968 | +0.2% |
| 1972 | −40.0% |
| 1976 | +37.2% |
| 1980 | +14.2% |
| 1984 | −9.1% |
| 1988 | +13.7% |
| 1992 | +25.2% |
| 1996 | +18.7% |
| 2000 | −8.3% |
| 2004 | −19.4% |
| 2008 | −43.4% |
| 2012 | −49.5% |
| 2016 | −63.2% |
| 2020 | −70.6% |
| 2024 | −72.5% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 14.5%648 | 85.5%3,810 | 4,458 |
| 2020 | R | 15.6%720 | 84.4%3,885 | 4,605 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 38 points more Democratic.
7,114 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+40 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +271 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $50,917 in average income, against $52,850 for residents who stayed — 4% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+65.4 on average — 7.1 points more Democratic-leaning than Pushmataha County, OK itself (R+72.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Choctaw County, OK42R+65.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Choctaw County, OK27
- Latimer County, OK20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −121 |
| 2012 | −142 |
| 2013 | −12 |
| 2014 | −61 |
| 2015 | +54 |
| 2016 | −88 |
| 2017 | +97 |
| 2018 | +90 |
| 2019 | −66 |
| 2021 | +98 |
| 2022 | +90 |
| 2023 | +228 |
| 2024 | +64 |
| 2025 | +40 |
This sparsely populated county in the Ouachita Mountains delivered a 72.5-point Republican margin in 2024, reflecting a rural southeastern Oklahoma electorate that has shifted decisively rightward over the past two decades despite its historically Democratic roots.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 74.9 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 72.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 72.5 points.
A population of 10,790, a 69% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $47,940 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of McNairy County and Coal County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Pushmataha County, Oklahoma. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/40127/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.