akashic
1876–2024
McNairy County, Tennessee
McNairy County·Tennessee

McNairy County was solidly one party for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

One of Tennessee's most Republican-leaning rural counties by margin

18762024·38 elections
McNairy County, Tennessee · Skye Marthaler · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+68
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
25,970
2024 ACS
Most similar
Lawrence County
TN · similarity 1.00
16 precincts · 11,267 votes cast
Trump · R+68
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−68.4%
1,7279,43711,267
2020R
−63.4%
1,9439,09311,275
2016R
−59.7%
1,8487,84110,038
2012R
−44.6%
2,6457,0159,802
2008R
−38.4%
3,1317,13510,422
2004R
−17.0%
4,1015,7879,924
2000R
−9.9%
4,0034,8978,989
1996D
+1.0%
4,0503,9608,576
1992D
+6.2%
4,6914,0939,595
1988R
−13.6%
3,5104,6258,191
1984R
−11.0%
3,8254,7768,631
1980R
−9.4%
3,8014,6038,514
1976D
+11.7%
4,2933,3887,736
1972R
−48.5%
1,6104,7746,519
1968R
−22.2%
1,3772,9797,228
1964R
−1.9%
2,9943,1096,103
1960R
−20.3%
2,1733,3105,596
1956R
−16.2%
2,4033,3495,838
1952R
−11.9%
2,6983,4266,124
1948R
−2.5%
2,2672,3904,969
1944R
−22.3%
1,7122,6974,409
1940R
−1.3%
2,4842,5505,034
1936D
+3.8%
1,7421,6133,403
1932D
+18.4%
1,9611,3503,323
1928R
−31.6%
1,2092,3263,535
1924R
−18.0%
1,1251,6252,776
1920R
−26.6%
1,8633,2125,075
1916R
−5.0%
1,4611,6163,078
1912D
+19.4%
1,1556162,772
1908R
−10.1%
1,0571,3002,397
1904R
−10.7%
1,2181,5252,866
1900R
−1.8%
1,4431,4982,983
1896D
+1.8%
1,5161,4632,979
1892R
−0.4%
1,1321,1432,742
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Polish
3.6%
African American
4.3%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
37.0%
Other Christian
19.0%
Methodist
6.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.6%
Mainline Protestant
1.2%
Catholic & Orthodox
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 33.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

McNairy County, tucked into Tennessee's southwestern corner near the Mississippi border, delivered a 68-point Republican margin in 2024 — a figure that reflects broader demographic shifts toward single-party dominance across rural West Tennessee over the past two decades.

The Democratic margin in McNairy County peaked at nineteen points in 1912. By 2000 the county had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was sixty-eight points, the most Republican-leaning result in the county's modern history.

The economic context is the key. McNairy County's median household income of $53,473 sits well below state and national norms, and 17% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lawrence County and Claiborne County.