HarrisDemocratic28.4%5,867TrumpRepublican69.8%14,404OtherAll other candidates1.7%357
R+41.4- Lead
- 8,537
- Total
- 20,628
- vs nation
- R+39.9
- Turnout
- 57.4%
Akashiccounty
Osage County, OK
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 57.4% of 36,097 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic29.2%6,002TrumpRepublican68.8%14,121JorgensenLibertarian1.3%257
R+39.5- Lead
- 8,119
- Total
- 20,538
- vs nation
- R+44.0
- Turnout
- 56.1%
ClintonDemocratic29.5%5,597TrumpRepublican66.3%12,577JohnsonLibertarian4.2%792
R+36.8- Lead
- 6,980
- Total
- 18,966
- vs nation
- R+38.9
- Turnout
- 52.3%
ObamaDemocratic37.4%6,704RomneyRepublican62.6%11,242OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
R+25.3- Lead
- 4,538
- Total
- 17,946
- vs nation
- R+29.1
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic38.1%7,498McCainRepublican61.9%12,160OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
R+23.7- Lead
- 4,662
- Total
- 19,658
- vs nation
- R+31.0
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic41.3%8,068BushRepublican58.7%11,467OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
R+17.4- Lead
- 3,399
- Total
- 19,535
- vs nation
- R+14.9
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic47.4%7,540BushRepublican51.2%8,138OtherAll other candidates1.5%231
R+3.8- Lead
- 598
- Total
- 15,909
- vs nation
- R+4.3
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic48.4%7,342DoleRepublican38.4%5,827PerotReform12.8%1,938
D+10.0- Lead
- 1,515
- Total
- 15,183
- vs nation
- D+1.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+41.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 45,9972024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,8472024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 62.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 10.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+38.8 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Choctaw County, OK · twin score 85.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 57.4%20,703 participants ÷ 36,097 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +12.7 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 44.6%–46.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 19,180 | 36,640 | 52.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 15,470 | 36,431 | 42.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 20,596 | 36,687 | 56.1% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 15,638 | 36,020 | 43.4% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 20,703 | 36,097 | 57.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
58 precincts · 20,628 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -570201570201 | 484 | 1,826 | 46 | 2,356 | 20.5% | 77.5% | R+57.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -570203570203 | 416 | 1,702 | 33 | 2,151 | 19.3% | 79.1% | R+59.8 |
| Precinct -570204570204 | 289 | 1,183 | 22 | 1,494 | 19.3% | 79.2% | R+59.8 |
| Precinct -570313570313 | 1,253 | 168 | 31 | 1,452 | 86.3% | 11.6% | D+74.7 |
| Precinct -570107570107 | 361 | 795 | 29 | 1,185 | 30.5% | 67.1% | R+36.6 |
| Precinct -570312570312 | 275 | 853 | 21 | 1,149 | 23.9% | 74.2% | R+50.3 |
| Precinct -570105570105 | 222 | 906 | 17 | 1,145 | 19.4% | 79.1% | R+59.7 |
| Precinct -570109570109 | 196 | 867 | 16 | 1,079 | 18.2% | 80.4% | R+62.2 |
| Precinct -570110570110 | 146 | 881 | 10 | 1,037 | 14.1% | 85.0% | R+70.9 |
| Precinct -570305570305 | 172 | 743 | 11 | 926 | 18.6% | 80.2% | R+61.7 |
| Precinct -570310570310 | 780 | 116 | 14 | 910 | 85.7% | 12.7% | D+73.0 |
| Precinct -570307570307 | 258 | 547 | 15 | 820 | 31.5% | 66.7% | R+35.2 |
| Precinct -570301570301 | 187 | 564 | 21 | 772 | 24.2% | 73.1% | R+48.8 |
| Precinct -570308570308 | 150 | 463 | 11 | 624 | 24.0% | 74.2% | R+50.2 |
| Precinct -570112570112 | 69 | 396 | 4 | 469 | 14.7% | 84.4% | R+69.7 |
| Precinct -570108570108 | 96 | 327 | 10 | 433 | 22.2% | 75.5% | R+53.3 |
| Precinct -570208570208 | 53 | 337 | 9 | 399 | 13.3% | 84.5% | R+71.2 |
| Precinct -570103570103 | 64 | 261 | 3 | 328 | 19.5% | 79.6% | R+60.1 |
| Precinct -570207570207 | 45 | 230 | 7 | 282 | 16.0% | 81.6% | R+65.6 |
| Precinct -570205570205 | 92 | 156 | 3 | 251 | 36.7% | 62.2% | R+25.5 |
| Precinct -570101570101 | 26 | 213 | 1 | 240 | 10.8% | 88.8% | R+77.9 |
| Precinct -570303570303 | 39 | 178 | 6 | 223 | 17.5% | 79.8% | R+62.3 |
| Precinct -570206570206 | 52 | 164 | 3 | 219 | 23.7% | 74.9% | R+51.1 |
| Precinct -570306570306 | 35 | 179 | 2 | 216 | 16.2% | 82.9% | R+66.7 |
| Precinct -570111570111 | 30 | 163 | 4 | 197 | 15.2% | 82.7% | R+67.5 |
| Precinct -570202570202 | 49 | 101 | 5 | 155 | 31.6% | 65.2% | R+33.5 |
| Precinct -570106570106 | 7 | 66 | 2 | 75 | 9.3% | 88.0% | R+78.7 |
| Precinct -570311570311 | 21 | 19 | 1 | 41 | 51.2% | 46.3% | D+4.9 |
| Voting District 10140_40113101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 10240_40113102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 10340_40113103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 10440_40113104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 10540_40113105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 10640_40113106 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 10740_40113107 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 10840_40113108 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 10940_40113109 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 11040_40113110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 11140_40113111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 11240_40113112 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 11340_40113113 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 11440_40113114 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 20140_40113201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 20240_40113202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 20340_40113203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 20440_40113204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 20540_40113205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 20640_40113206 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 30140_40113301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 30240_40113302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 30340_40113303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 30440_40113304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 30540_40113305 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 30640_40113306 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 30740_40113307 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 30840_40113308 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 30940_40113309 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 31040_40113310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1908–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1908 | +1.7% |
| 1912 | +4.5% |
| 1916 | +13.2% |
| 1920 | −8.9% |
| 1924 | +5.0% |
| 1928 | −35.5% |
| 1932 | +38.8% |
| 1936 | +34.4% |
| 1940 | +16.8% |
| 1944 | +10.4% |
| 1948 | +28.9% |
| 1952 | −7.0% |
| 1956 | −10.3% |
| 1960 | −12.8% |
| 1964 | +13.0% |
| 1968 | −13.4% |
| 1972 | −50.2% |
| 1976 | +3.3% |
| 1980 | −16.5% |
| 1984 | −24.5% |
| 1988 | +4.1% |
| 1992 | +5.8% |
| 1996 | +10.0% |
| 2000 | −3.8% |
| 2004 | −17.4% |
| 2008 | −23.7% |
| 2012 | −25.3% |
| 2016 | −36.8% |
| 2020 | −39.5% |
| 2024 | −41.4% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 1 House · 38 Senate · 4 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | R | 28.9%5,889 | 71.1%14,461 | 20,350 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+32.6
Presidential vote · 2024R+41.4
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 8.7 points more Democratic.
29,835 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+114 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +1,348 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $53,956 in average income, against $70,893 for residents who stayed — 24% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+26.7 on average — 15 points more Democratic-leaning than Osage County, OK itself (R+41.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Tulsa County, OK702R+15.2
- Washington County, OK136R+47.7
- Kay County, OK66R+49.4
- Pawnee County, OK47R+58.9
- Creek County, OK43R+55.7
- Rogers County, OK39R+55.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Tulsa County, OK540
- Washington County, OK118
- Kay County, OK90
- Rogers County, OK54
- Creek County, OK50
- Pawnee County, OK48
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +211 |
| 2012 | −265 |
| 2013 | −61 |
| 2014 | +102 |
| 2015 | −137 |
| 2016 | +38 |
| 2017 | +10 |
| 2018 | −194 |
| 2019 | −58 |
| 2021 | +303 |
| 2022 | +192 |
| 2023 | +418 |
| 2024 | +675 |
| 2025 | +114 |
Despite hosting the federally recognized Osage Nation and its nearly 21,000 enrolled members, the county has voted Republican by margins exceeding 40 points in recent presidential cycles, reflecting rural Oklahoma's broader electoral pattern.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 38.8 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 50.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 41.4 points.
A population of 45,997, a 62% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,847 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Choctaw County and McIntosh County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Choctaw County
Oklahoma
85.5twin score
% Catholic2000 margin% White≠ elasticity
McIntosh County
Oklahoma
84.2twin score
elasticity% Catholic2000 margin
Hot Spring County
Arkansas
84.2twin score
2000–2008 trajectory% Catholic% Evangelical≠ elasticity
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Osage County, Oklahoma. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/40113/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Osage County
Oklahoma at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Osage County, Oklahoma vote in 2024?
In 2024, Osage County, Oklahoma voted Republican by 41.4 points (R+41.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 20,628 votes cast, 5,867 went Democratic and 14,404 went Republican.
When did Osage County, Oklahoma last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Osage County, Oklahoma voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Osage County, Oklahoma?
Osage County, Oklahoma has a population of 45,997 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Osage County, Oklahoma?
Median household income in Osage County, Oklahoma is $62,847 — below the national median of $80,734. The Oklahoma state median is $65,039.
What is the political history of Osage County, Oklahoma?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Osage County, Oklahoma from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.