- Lead
- 6,121
- Total
- 14,349
- vs nation
- R+41.2
- Turnout
- 51.4%
Okmulgee County, OK
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 51.4% of 27,982 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 5,311
- Total
- 14,313
- vs nation
- R+41.6
- Turnout
- 49.0%
- Lead
- 4,559
- Total
- 13,949
- vs nation
- R+34.8
- Turnout
- 47.5%
- Lead
- 2,299
- Total
- 13,163
- vs nation
- R+21.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,536
- Total
- 14,918
- vs nation
- R+24.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 996
- Total
- 15,730
- vs nation
- R+3.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,389
- Total
- 13,178
- vs nation
- D+10.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,309
- Total
- 13,337
- vs nation
- D+16.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+42.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 36,8992024 5-year
- Median household income
- $54,0292024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 60.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+41.5 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+42.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Muskogee County, OK · twin score 93.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 51.4%14,393 participants ÷ 27,982 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +9.7 ptsPersistently low turnout
- Drop-off versus state
- -5.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 41.7%–41.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 14,049 | 29,581 | 47.5% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 11,142 | 29,384 | 37.9% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 14,330 | 29,226 | 49.0% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 11,015 | 28,014 | 39.3% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 14,393 | 27,982 | 51.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
62 precincts · 14,349 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -560028560028 | 223 | 1,017 | 26 | 1,266 | 17.6% | 80.3% | R+62.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -560029560029 | 242 | 952 | 17 | 1,211 | 20.0% | 78.6% | R+58.6 |
| Precinct -560011560011 | 289 | 517 | 17 | 823 | 35.1% | 62.8% | R+27.7 |
| Precinct -560020560020 | 242 | 557 | 21 | 820 | 29.5% | 67.9% | R+38.4 |
| Precinct -560036560036 | 209 | 568 | 10 | 787 | 26.6% | 72.2% | R+45.6 |
| Precinct -560026560026 | 164 | 593 | 23 | 780 | 21.0% | 76.0% | R+55.0 |
| Precinct -560019560019 | 175 | 483 | 11 | 669 | 26.2% | 72.2% | R+46.0 |
| Precinct -560007560007 | 230 | 404 | 7 | 641 | 35.9% | 63.0% | R+27.1 |
| Precinct -560010560010 | 195 | 429 | 7 | 631 | 30.9% | 68.0% | R+37.1 |
| Precinct -560027560027 | 122 | 491 | 9 | 622 | 19.6% | 78.9% | R+59.3 |
| Precinct -560002560002 | 481 | 122 | 9 | 612 | 78.6% | 19.9% | D+58.7 |
| Precinct -560016560016 | 109 | 419 | 8 | 536 | 20.3% | 78.2% | R+57.8 |
| Precinct -560032560032 | 161 | 328 | 10 | 499 | 32.3% | 65.7% | R+33.5 |
| Precinct -560021560021 | 132 | 349 | 11 | 492 | 26.8% | 70.9% | R+44.1 |
| Precinct -560015560015 | 141 | 300 | 8 | 449 | 31.4% | 66.8% | R+35.4 |
| Precinct -560034560034 | 69 | 335 | 4 | 408 | 16.9% | 82.1% | R+65.2 |
| Precinct -560018560018 | 90 | 307 | 9 | 406 | 22.2% | 75.6% | R+53.4 |
| Precinct -560033560033 | 112 | 278 | 6 | 396 | 28.3% | 70.2% | R+41.9 |
| Precinct -560038560038 | 60 | 329 | 7 | 396 | 15.2% | 83.1% | R+67.9 |
| Precinct -560008560008 | 129 | 217 | 13 | 359 | 35.9% | 60.4% | R+24.5 |
| Precinct -560035560035 | 71 | 263 | 11 | 345 | 20.6% | 76.2% | R+55.7 |
| Precinct -560013560013 | 68 | 260 | 6 | 334 | 20.4% | 77.8% | R+57.5 |
| Precinct -560014560014 | 99 | 192 | 9 | 300 | 33.0% | 64.0% | R+31.0 |
| Precinct -560009560009 | 137 | 148 | 11 | 296 | 46.3% | 50.0% | R+3.7 |
| Precinct -560031560031 | 29 | 242 | 0 | 271 | 10.7% | 89.3% | R+78.6 |
| Voting District 140_401111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1040_4011110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1140_4011111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1240_4011112 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1340_4011113 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1440_4011114 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1540_4011115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1640_4011116 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1740_4011117 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1840_4011118 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1940_4011119 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 240_401112 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2040_4011120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2140_4011121 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2240_4011122 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2340_4011123 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2440_4011124 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2540_4011125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2640_4011126 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2740_4011127 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2840_4011128 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2940_4011129 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 340_401113 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3040_4011130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3140_4011131 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3240_4011132 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3340_4011133 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3440_4011134 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3540_4011135 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3640_4011136 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3840_4011138 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 440_401114 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 540_401115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 640_401116 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 740_401117 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 840_401118 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 940_401119 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1908–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1908 | −10.6% |
| 1912 | +3.5% |
| 1916 | +10.8% |
| 1920 | −8.3% |
| 1924 | −0.7% |
| 1928 | −22.0% |
| 1932 | +40.7% |
| 1936 | +41.5% |
| 1940 | +24.3% |
| 1944 | +28.4% |
| 1948 | +41.1% |
| 1952 | +20.2% |
| 1956 | +6.4% |
| 1960 | +1.1% |
| 1964 | +36.9% |
| 1968 | +10.2% |
| 1972 | −30.9% |
| 1976 | +22.7% |
| 1980 | +4.1% |
| 1984 | −8.2% |
| 1988 | +18.5% |
| 1992 | +20.6% |
| 1996 | +24.8% |
| 2000 | +10.5% |
| 2004 | −6.3% |
| 2008 | −17.0% |
| 2012 | −17.5% |
| 2016 | −32.7% |
| 2020 | −37.1% |
| 2024 | −42.7% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 29.5%3,979 | 70.5%9,515 | 13,494 |
| 2020 | R | 30.4%4,198 | 69.6%9,596 | 13,794 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 20 points more Democratic.
22,043 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+264 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +294 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $46,163 in average income, against $57,306 for residents who stayed — 19% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+30.3 on average — 12 points more Democratic-leaning than Okmulgee County, OK itself (R+42.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Tulsa County, OK276R+15.2
- Creek County, OK86R+55.7
- Okfuskee County, OK44R+55.8
- Oklahoma County, OK38R+1.7
- Muskogee County, OK35R+37.6
- McIntosh County, OK30R+52.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Tulsa County, OK281
- Creek County, OK68
- McIntosh County, OK36
- Muskogee County, OK36
- Oklahoma County, OK34
- Okfuskee County, OK32
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −306 |
| 2012 | −266 |
| 2013 | −119 |
| 2014 | −365 |
| 2015 | +15 |
| 2016 | +44 |
| 2017 | −149 |
| 2018 | −414 |
| 2019 | +270 |
| 2021 | +381 |
| 2022 | +402 |
| 2023 | +218 |
| 2024 | +319 |
| 2025 | +264 |
Home to the Muscogee (Creek) Nation capital at Okmulgee city, the county carries one of Oklahoma's higher shares of Native American residents — yet still returns lopsided Republican presidential margins exceeding 40 points.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 41.5 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 42.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 42.7 points.
A population of 36,899, a 61% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $54,029 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Muskogee County and Ottawa County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Okmulgee County, Oklahoma. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/40111/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.