- Lead
- 29,513
- Total
- 73,074
- vs nation
- R+38.9
- Turnout
- 60.1%
Canadian County, OK
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 60.1% of 122,086 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 26,808
- Total
- 61,940
- vs nation
- R+47.7
- Turnout
- 59.5%
- Lead
- 28,312
- Total
- 55,278
- vs nation
- R+53.3
- Turnout
- 60.0%
- Lead
- 25,088
- Total
- 46,162
- vs nation
- R+58.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 25,002
- Total
- 47,854
- vs nation
- R+59.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 23,585
- Total
- 43,009
- vs nation
- R+52.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 14,312
- Total
- 31,360
- vs nation
- R+46.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 9,162
- Total
- 30,536
- vs nation
- R+38.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+40.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 168,9852024 5-year
- Median household income
- $87,7512024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 70.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 12.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+45.3 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59.6 in 1984MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Jackson County, GA · twin score 93.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 60.1%73,330 participants ÷ 122,086 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 46.6%–46.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 55,566 | 92,613 | 60.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 46,309 | 98,183 | 47.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 62,060 | 104,248 | 59.5% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 52,120 | 113,203 | 46.0% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 73,330 | 122,086 | 60.1% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
111 precincts · 73,074 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -090507090507 | 904 | 2,180 | 72 | 3,156 | 28.6% | 69.1% | R+40.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -090200090200 | 1,008 | 1,905 | 54 | 2,967 | 34.0% | 64.2% | R+30.2 |
| Precinct -090506090506 | 759 | 2,084 | 43 | 2,886 | 26.3% | 72.2% | R+45.9 |
| Precinct -090312090312 | 933 | 1,829 | 58 | 2,820 | 33.1% | 64.9% | R+31.8 |
| Precinct -090301090301 | 625 | 1,754 | 43 | 2,422 | 25.8% | 72.4% | R+46.6 |
| Precinct -090223090223 | 760 | 1,505 | 49 | 2,314 | 32.8% | 65.0% | R+32.2 |
| Precinct -090203090203 | 881 | 1,268 | 40 | 2,189 | 40.2% | 57.9% | R+17.7 |
| Precinct -090504090504 | 425 | 1,667 | 42 | 2,134 | 19.9% | 78.1% | R+58.2 |
| Precinct -090216090216 | 642 | 1,417 | 43 | 2,102 | 30.5% | 67.4% | R+36.9 |
| Precinct -090305090305 | 512 | 1,381 | 40 | 1,933 | 26.5% | 71.4% | R+45.0 |
| Precinct -090215090215 | 630 | 1,243 | 33 | 1,906 | 33.1% | 65.2% | R+32.2 |
| Precinct -090224090224 | 570 | 1,257 | 34 | 1,861 | 30.6% | 67.5% | R+36.9 |
| Precinct -090303090303 | 556 | 1,245 | 29 | 1,830 | 30.4% | 68.0% | R+37.7 |
| Precinct -090227090227 | 559 | 1,189 | 39 | 1,787 | 31.3% | 66.5% | R+35.3 |
| Precinct -090300090300 | 387 | 1,329 | 52 | 1,768 | 21.9% | 75.2% | R+53.3 |
| Precinct -090220090220 | 440 | 1,145 | 31 | 1,616 | 27.2% | 70.9% | R+43.6 |
| Precinct -090202090202 | 465 | 1,116 | 21 | 1,602 | 29.0% | 69.7% | R+40.6 |
| Precinct -090218090218 | 486 | 1,062 | 42 | 1,590 | 30.6% | 66.8% | R+36.2 |
| Precinct -090205090205 | 535 | 1,017 | 36 | 1,588 | 33.7% | 64.0% | R+30.4 |
| Precinct -090206090206 | 443 | 1,070 | 35 | 1,548 | 28.6% | 69.1% | R+40.5 |
| Precinct -090204090204 | 511 | 997 | 39 | 1,547 | 33.0% | 64.4% | R+31.4 |
| Precinct -090217090217 | 543 | 877 | 40 | 1,460 | 37.2% | 60.1% | R+22.9 |
| Precinct -090308090308 | 271 | 1,156 | 28 | 1,455 | 18.6% | 79.5% | R+60.8 |
| Precinct -090208090208 | 493 | 871 | 44 | 1,408 | 35.0% | 61.9% | R+26.8 |
| Precinct -090124090124 | 362 | 976 | 22 | 1,360 | 26.6% | 71.8% | R+45.1 |
| Precinct -090306090306 | 309 | 984 | 23 | 1,316 | 23.5% | 74.8% | R+51.3 |
| Precinct -090110090110 | 349 | 916 | 28 | 1,293 | 27.0% | 70.8% | R+43.9 |
| Precinct -090221090221 | 413 | 827 | 33 | 1,273 | 32.4% | 65.0% | R+32.5 |
| Precinct -090222090222 | 399 | 783 | 28 | 1,210 | 33.0% | 64.7% | R+31.7 |
| Precinct -090207090207 | 373 | 797 | 23 | 1,193 | 31.3% | 66.8% | R+35.5 |
| Precinct -090225090225 | 399 | 755 | 25 | 1,179 | 33.8% | 64.0% | R+30.2 |
| Precinct -090214090214 | 352 | 770 | 28 | 1,150 | 30.6% | 67.0% | R+36.3 |
| Precinct -090228090228 | 388 | 700 | 23 | 1,111 | 34.9% | 63.0% | R+28.1 |
| Precinct -090304090304 | 323 | 725 | 27 | 1,075 | 30.0% | 67.4% | R+37.4 |
| Precinct -090400090400 | 117 | 823 | 21 | 961 | 12.2% | 85.6% | R+73.5 |
| Precinct -090211090211 | 233 | 686 | 16 | 935 | 24.9% | 73.4% | R+48.4 |
| Precinct -090106090106 | 292 | 596 | 28 | 916 | 31.9% | 65.1% | R+33.2 |
| Precinct -090302090302 | 248 | 640 | 16 | 904 | 27.4% | 70.8% | R+43.4 |
| Precinct -090210090210 | 231 | 630 | 18 | 879 | 26.3% | 71.7% | R+45.4 |
| Precinct -090118090118 | 261 | 557 | 17 | 835 | 31.3% | 66.7% | R+35.4 |
| Precinct -090201090201 | 175 | 624 | 16 | 815 | 21.5% | 76.6% | R+55.1 |
| Precinct -090212090212 | 258 | 526 | 13 | 797 | 32.4% | 66.0% | R+33.6 |
| Precinct -090213090213 | 220 | 497 | 14 | 731 | 30.1% | 68.0% | R+37.9 |
| Precinct -090310090310 | 117 | 579 | 9 | 705 | 16.6% | 82.1% | R+65.5 |
| Precinct -090100090100 | 87 | 487 | 7 | 581 | 15.0% | 83.8% | R+68.8 |
| Precinct -090502090502 | 49 | 468 | 9 | 526 | 9.3% | 89.0% | R+79.7 |
| Precinct -090229090229 | 103 | 338 | 8 | 449 | 22.9% | 75.3% | R+52.3 |
| Precinct -090408090408 | 72 | 347 | 12 | 431 | 16.7% | 80.5% | R+63.8 |
| Precinct -090114090114 | 74 | 341 | 9 | 424 | 17.5% | 80.4% | R+63.0 |
| Precinct -090107090107 | 87 | 311 | 4 | 402 | 21.6% | 77.4% | R+55.7 |
| Precinct -090403090403 | 58 | 307 | 2 | 367 | 15.8% | 83.7% | R+67.8 |
| Precinct -090102090102 | 49 | 242 | 5 | 296 | 16.6% | 81.8% | R+65.2 |
| Precinct -090116090116 | 128 | 109 | 2 | 239 | 53.6% | 45.6% | D+7.9 |
| Precinct -090404090404 | 37 | 192 | 0 | 229 | 16.2% | 83.8% | R+67.7 |
| Precinct -090406090406 | 35 | 173 | 4 | 212 | 16.5% | 81.6% | R+65.1 |
| Precinct -090119090119 | 46 | 80 | 1 | 127 | 36.2% | 63.0% | R+26.8 |
| Precinct -090219090219 | 32 | 79 | 4 | 115 | 27.8% | 68.7% | R+40.9 |
| Precinct -090239090239 | 18 | 93 | 2 | 113 | 15.9% | 82.3% | R+66.4 |
| Precinct -090129090129 | 6 | 29 | 1 | 36 | 16.7% | 80.6% | R+63.9 |
| Voting District 10040_40017100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 10240_40017102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 10440_40017104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 10640_40017106 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 10740_40017107 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 11240_40017112 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 11440_40017114 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 11640_40017116 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 12440_40017124 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 12640_40017126 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 20040_40017200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 20140_40017201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 20440_40017204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 20540_40017205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 20640_40017206 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 20840_40017208 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 21040_40017210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 21440_40017214 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 21540_40017215 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 21640_40017216 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 21740_40017217 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 21840_40017218 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 21940_40017219 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 22040_40017220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 22140_40017221 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 22240_40017222 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 22340_40017223 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 22440_40017224 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 22540_40017225 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 22640_40017226 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 22740_40017227 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 30040_40017300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 30140_40017301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 30240_40017302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 30440_40017304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 30540_40017305 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 30640_40017306 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 40040_40017400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 40240_40017402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 40340_40017403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 40440_40017404 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 40540_40017405 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 40640_40017406 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 40740_40017407 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 40840_40017408 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 50040_40017500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 50240_40017502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 50340_40017503 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 50440_40017504 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 50640_40017506 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 70040_40017700 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 70140_40017701 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1908–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1908 | +4.6% |
| 1912 | +6.0% |
| 1916 | +14.3% |
| 1920 | −8.2% |
| 1924 | −0.1% |
| 1928 | −28.3% |
| 1932 | +45.3% |
| 1936 | +29.6% |
| 1940 | +7.9% |
| 1944 | +1.3% |
| 1948 | +19.8% |
| 1952 | −26.9% |
| 1956 | −18.8% |
| 1960 | −14.7% |
| 1964 | +5.1% |
| 1968 | −19.3% |
| 1972 | −59.4% |
| 1976 | −14.3% |
| 1980 | −49.3% |
| 1984 | −59.6% |
| 1988 | −40.8% |
| 1992 | −28.9% |
| 1996 | −30.0% |
| 2000 | −45.6% |
| 2004 | −54.8% |
| 2008 | −52.2% |
| 2012 | −54.3% |
| 2016 | −51.2% |
| 2020 | −43.3% |
| 2024 | −40.4% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | R | 25.6%13,286 | 74.4%38,550 | 51,836 |
| 2018 | R | 15.3%15 | 84.7%83 | 98 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 1.1 points.
109,975 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+4,664 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +51,132 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $63,615 in average income, against $87,728 for residents who stayed — 27% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+12.7 on average — 28 points more Democratic-leaning than Canadian County, OK itself (R+40.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Oklahoma County, OK3,141R+1.7
- Cleveland County, OK574R+14.9
- Grady County, OK190R+62.7
- Tulsa County, OK89R+15.2
- McClain County, OK88R+60.6
- Custer County, OK77R+53.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Oklahoma County, OK2,159
- Cleveland County, OK411
- Grady County, OK228
- McClain County, OK118
- Logan County, OK80
- Tulsa County, OK75
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +2,234 |
| 2012 | +2,236 |
| 2013 | +2,518 |
| 2014 | +2,455 |
| 2015 | +2,889 |
| 2016 | +2,313 |
| 2017 | +2,748 |
| 2018 | +3,607 |
| 2019 | +3,078 |
| 2021 | +6,382 |
| 2022 | +6,205 |
| 2023 | +5,460 |
| 2024 | +4,343 |
| 2025 | +4,664 |
Canadian County anchors the western edge of the Oklahoma City metro, where rapid suburban expansion has accompanied some of the state's steepest population growth — yet its presidential margins have held firmly above R+40 across recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 45.3 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 59.6 points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.9 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 40.4 points.
A population of 168,985, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $87,751 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Jackson County and Montgomery County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Canadian County, Oklahoma. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/40017/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.