HarrisDemocratic25.7%3,895TrumpRepublican72.3%10,967OtherAll other candidates2.1%312
R+46.6- Lead
- 7,072
- Total
- 15,174
- vs nation
- R+45.1
- Turnout
- 53.9%
Akashiccounty
Pontotoc County, OK
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 53.9% of 28,260 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic26.9%4,117TrumpRepublican70.5%10,805JorgensenLibertarian1.7%261
R+43.7- Lead
- 6,688
- Total
- 15,320
- vs nation
- R+48.1
- Turnout
- 53.3%
ClintonDemocratic24.5%3,637TrumpRepublican70.3%10,431JohnsonLibertarian5.1%763
R+45.8- Lead
- 6,794
- Total
- 14,831
- vs nation
- R+47.9
- Turnout
- 52.2%
ObamaDemocratic30.6%3,947RomneyRepublican69.4%8,945OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
R+38.8- Lead
- 4,998
- Total
- 12,892
- vs nation
- R+42.6
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic31.6%4,512McCainRepublican68.4%9,750OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
R+36.7- Lead
- 5,238
- Total
- 14,262
- vs nation
- R+44.0
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic34.9%5,165BushRepublican65.1%9,647OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
R+30.3- Lead
- 4,482
- Total
- 14,812
- vs nation
- R+27.8
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic42.0%5,387BushRepublican56.9%7,299OtherAll other candidates1.2%150
R+14.9- Lead
- 1,912
- Total
- 12,836
- vs nation
- R+15.4
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic47.5%6,470DoleRepublican39.4%5,366PerotReform12.6%1,712
D+8.1- Lead
- 1,104
- Total
- 13,613
- vs nation
- R+0.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+46.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 38,2352024 5-year
- Median household income
- $63,0172024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 62.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+71.4 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Washington County, OK · twin score 88.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 53.9%15,234 participants ÷ 28,260 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +12.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 41.4%–42.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 14,913 | 28,560 | 52.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 11,989 | 28,667 | 41.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 15,342 | 28,803 | 53.3% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 11,604 | 28,498 | 40.7% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 15,234 | 28,260 | 53.9% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
45 precincts · 15,174 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -620016620016 | 474 | 1,019 | 27 | 1,520 | 31.2% | 67.0% | R+35.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -620025620025 | 399 | 931 | 34 | 1,364 | 29.3% | 68.3% | R+39.0 |
| Precinct -620053620053 | 424 | 903 | 34 | 1,361 | 31.2% | 66.3% | R+35.2 |
| Precinct -620013620013 | 423 | 657 | 34 | 1,114 | 38.0% | 59.0% | R+21.0 |
| Precinct -620031620031 | 375 | 613 | 23 | 1,011 | 37.1% | 60.6% | R+23.5 |
| Precinct -620060620060 | 242 | 744 | 22 | 1,008 | 24.0% | 73.8% | R+49.8 |
| Precinct -620058620058 | 228 | 676 | 12 | 916 | 24.9% | 73.8% | R+48.9 |
| Precinct -620064620064 | 146 | 712 | 11 | 869 | 16.8% | 81.9% | R+65.1 |
| Precinct -620062620062 | 150 | 541 | 9 | 700 | 21.4% | 77.3% | R+55.9 |
| Precinct -620066620066 | 122 | 541 | 16 | 679 | 18.0% | 79.7% | R+61.7 |
| Precinct -620022620022 | 258 | 381 | 23 | 662 | 39.0% | 57.6% | R+18.6 |
| Precinct -620065620065 | 93 | 536 | 11 | 640 | 14.5% | 83.8% | R+69.2 |
| Precinct -620059620059 | 93 | 523 | 6 | 622 | 15.0% | 84.1% | R+69.1 |
| Precinct -620052620052 | 186 | 401 | 12 | 599 | 31.1% | 66.9% | R+35.9 |
| Precinct -620067620067 | 52 | 395 | 11 | 458 | 11.4% | 86.2% | R+74.9 |
| Precinct -620051620051 | 52 | 392 | 6 | 450 | 11.6% | 87.1% | R+75.6 |
| Precinct -620063620063 | 59 | 351 | 8 | 418 | 14.1% | 84.0% | R+69.9 |
| Precinct -620056620056 | 55 | 254 | 7 | 316 | 17.4% | 80.4% | R+63.0 |
| Precinct -620055620055 | 38 | 232 | 4 | 274 | 13.9% | 84.7% | R+70.8 |
| Precinct -620054620054 | 26 | 165 | 2 | 193 | 13.5% | 85.5% | R+72.0 |
| Voting District 1140_4012311 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1340_4012313 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1640_4012316 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2240_4012322 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2540_4012325 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3140_4012331 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 4540_4012345 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 5140_4012351 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 5240_4012352 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 5340_4012353 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 5440_4012354 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 5540_4012355 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 5640_4012356 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 5840_4012358 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 5940_4012359 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 6040_4012360 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 6140_4012361 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 6240_4012362 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 6340_4012363 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 6440_4012364 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 6540_4012365 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 6640_4012366 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 6740_4012367 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 6840_4012368 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 9840_4012398 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1908–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1908 | +29.9% |
| 1912 | +35.1% |
| 1916 | +35.1% |
| 1920 | +22.4% |
| 1924 | +36.4% |
| 1928 | −2.3% |
| 1932 | +71.4% |
| 1936 | +59.8% |
| 1940 | +45.8% |
| 1944 | +37.7% |
| 1948 | +54.4% |
| 1952 | +14.4% |
| 1956 | +10.6% |
| 1960 | −11.5% |
| 1964 | +28.3% |
| 1968 | +1.2% |
| 1972 | −46.1% |
| 1976 | +20.6% |
| 1980 | −2.3% |
| 1984 | −20.0% |
| 1988 | −0.9% |
| 1992 | +7.4% |
| 1996 | +8.1% |
| 2000 | −14.9% |
| 2004 | −30.3% |
| 2008 | −36.7% |
| 2012 | −38.8% |
| 2016 | −45.8% |
| 2020 | −43.7% |
| 2024 | −46.6% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 38 Senate · 4 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 23.9%3,713 | 76.1%11,794 | 15,507 |
| 2020 | R | 24.3%3,595 | 75.7%11,180 | 14,775 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+26.4
Presidential vote · 2024R+46.6
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 20 points more Democratic.
23,441 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+191 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +80 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $49,010 in average income, against $72,297 for residents who stayed — 32% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+44.3 on average — 2.3 points more Democratic-leaning than Pontotoc County, OK itself (R+46.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Oklahoma County, OK66R+1.7
- Garvin County, OK64R+66.1
- Cleveland County, OK58R+14.9
- Hughes County, OK46R+62.5
- Seminole County, OK44R+49.7
- Murray County, OK40R+61.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Oklahoma County, OK82
- Cleveland County, OK59
- Garvin County, OK50
- Murray County, OK45
- Pottawatomie County, OK43
- Seminole County, OK38
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +26 |
| 2012 | +133 |
| 2013 | −49 |
| 2014 | −78 |
| 2015 | −87 |
| 2016 | +43 |
| 2017 | −267 |
| 2018 | −166 |
| 2019 | −6 |
| 2021 | +117 |
| 2022 | −9 |
| 2023 | +430 |
| 2024 | −198 |
| 2025 | +191 |
Pontotoc County, anchored by Ada and home to East Central University, has delivered lopsided Republican presidential margins for over a decade, reflecting the broader rural realignment that swept small-city Oklahoma well before 2016.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 71.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 46.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 46.6 points.
A population of 38,235, a 63% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,017 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Washington County and Pottawatomie County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Washington County
Oklahoma
88.4twin score
% Evangelicalelasticity2008–2012 trajectory≠ English ancestry
Pottawatomie County
Oklahoma
87.8twin score
elasticity% Evangelical2008–2012 trajectory≠ English ancestry
Carter County
Oklahoma
86.7twin score
% Evangelicalelasticity2008–2012 trajectory≠ college share
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Pontotoc County, Oklahoma. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/40123/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Pontotoc County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Pontotoc County, Oklahoma vote in 2024?
In 2024, Pontotoc County, Oklahoma voted Republican by 46.6 points (R+46.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 15,174 votes cast, 3,895 went Democratic and 10,967 went Republican.
When did Pontotoc County, Oklahoma last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Pontotoc County, Oklahoma voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Pontotoc County, Oklahoma?
Pontotoc County, Oklahoma has a population of 38,235 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Pontotoc County, Oklahoma?
Median household income in Pontotoc County, Oklahoma is $63,017 — below the national median of $80,734. The Oklahoma state median is $65,039.
What is the political history of Pontotoc County, Oklahoma?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Pontotoc County, Oklahoma from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.