- Lead
- 2,913
- Total
- 4,659
- vs nation
- R+61.1
- Turnout
- 45.4%
Hughes County, OK
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 45.4% of 10,288 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,956
- Total
- 4,857
- vs nation
- R+65.3
- Turnout
- 49.0%
- Lead
- 2,427
- Total
- 4,526
- vs nation
- R+55.7
- Turnout
- 42.3%
- Lead
- 1,468
- Total
- 4,208
- vs nation
- R+38.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,425
- Total
- 4,843
- vs nation
- R+36.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 783
- Total
- 5,349
- vs nation
- R+12.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 138
- Total
- 4,585
- vs nation
- D+2.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,238
- Total
- 5,012
- vs nation
- D+16.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+62.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 13,3892024 5-year
- Median household income
- $51,5812024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 60.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+70.7 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62.5 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Johnston County, OK · twin score 96.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 45.4%4,670 participants ÷ 10,288 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.4 ptsPersistently low turnout
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 32.0%–38.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 4,542 | 10,743 | 42.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 4,333 | 10,435 | 41.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 4,871 | 9,937 | 49.0% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 3,688 | 10,352 | 35.6% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 4,670 | 10,288 | 45.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
30 precincts · 4,659 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -320020320020 | 165 | 639 | 9 | 813 | 20.3% | 78.6% | R+58.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -320035320035 | 117 | 454 | 15 | 586 | 20.0% | 77.5% | R+57.5 |
| Precinct -320011320011 | 105 | 415 | 11 | 531 | 19.8% | 78.2% | R+58.4 |
| Precinct -320012320012 | 78 | 288 | 11 | 377 | 20.7% | 76.4% | R+55.7 |
| Precinct -320033320033 | 24 | 257 | 1 | 282 | 8.5% | 91.1% | R+82.6 |
| Precinct -320021320021 | 82 | 179 | 11 | 272 | 30.1% | 65.8% | R+35.7 |
| Precinct -320032320032 | 54 | 208 | 7 | 269 | 20.1% | 77.3% | R+57.2 |
| Precinct -320031320031 | 30 | 224 | 4 | 258 | 11.6% | 86.8% | R+75.2 |
| Precinct -320022320022 | 45 | 199 | 2 | 246 | 18.3% | 80.9% | R+62.6 |
| Precinct -320023320023 | 28 | 208 | 0 | 236 | 11.9% | 88.1% | R+76.3 |
| Precinct -320034320034 | 14 | 172 | 7 | 193 | 7.3% | 89.1% | R+81.9 |
| Precinct -320030320030 | 29 | 157 | 1 | 187 | 15.5% | 84.0% | R+68.4 |
| Precinct -320018320018 | 18 | 158 | 1 | 177 | 10.2% | 89.3% | R+79.1 |
| Precinct -320019320019 | 14 | 102 | 1 | 117 | 12.0% | 87.2% | R+75.2 |
| Precinct -320016320016 | 28 | 84 | 3 | 115 | 24.3% | 73.0% | R+48.7 |
| Voting District 1140_4006311 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1240_4006312 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1640_4006316 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1840_4006318 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1940_4006319 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2040_4006320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2140_4006321 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2240_4006322 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2340_4006323 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3040_4006330 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3140_4006331 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3240_4006332 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3340_4006333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3440_4006334 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3540_4006335 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1908–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1908 | +5.4% |
| 1912 | +13.5% |
| 1916 | +23.0% |
| 1920 | +6.6% |
| 1924 | +32.3% |
| 1928 | −10.8% |
| 1932 | +70.7% |
| 1936 | +49.3% |
| 1940 | +30.9% |
| 1944 | +33.6% |
| 1948 | +53.2% |
| 1952 | +21.3% |
| 1956 | +21.2% |
| 1960 | −1.0% |
| 1964 | +45.1% |
| 1968 | +12.1% |
| 1972 | −31.7% |
| 1976 | +41.5% |
| 1980 | +18.9% |
| 1984 | +4.3% |
| 1988 | +22.9% |
| 1992 | +23.9% |
| 1996 | +24.7% |
| 2000 | +3.0% |
| 2004 | −14.6% |
| 2008 | −29.4% |
| 2012 | −34.9% |
| 2016 | −53.6% |
| 2020 | −60.9% |
| 2024 | −62.5% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 19.9%866 | 80.1%3,496 | 4,362 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 33 points more Democratic.
7,112 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+35 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −41 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $38,739 in average income, against $55,504 for residents who stayed — 30% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+51.1 on average — 11 points more Democratic-leaning than Hughes County, OK itself (R+62.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Seminole County, OK53R+49.7
- Pontotoc County, OK32R+46.6
- Pittsburg County, OK27R+59.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Seminole County, OK58
- Pontotoc County, OK46
- Okfuskee County, OK20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −252 |
| 2012 | −61 |
| 2013 | +75 |
| 2014 | +76 |
| 2015 | −46 |
| 2016 | −141 |
| 2017 | −101 |
| 2018 | +55 |
| 2019 | −15 |
| 2021 | +138 |
| 2022 | +110 |
| 2023 | +68 |
| 2024 | +18 |
| 2025 | +35 |
Hughes County, a sparsely populated stretch of south-central Oklahoma, has shifted rightward over the past two decades, delivering a 62.5-point Republican presidential margin in 2024 despite a historically Democratic legacy rooted in its coal-era settlement.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 70.7 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 62.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 62.5 points.
A population of 13,389, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $51,581 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Johnston County and Haskell County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Hughes County, Oklahoma. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/40063/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.