- Lead
- 3,438
- Total
- 4,936
- vs nation
- R+68.2
- Turnout
- 56.5%
Haskell County, OK
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 56.5% of 8,753 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 3,382
- Total
- 5,014
- vs nation
- R+71.9
- Turnout
- 52.8%
- Lead
- 2,819
- Total
- 4,738
- vs nation
- R+61.6
- Turnout
- 50.1%
- Lead
- 1,894
- Total
- 4,244
- vs nation
- R+48.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,733
- Total
- 4,681
- vs nation
- R+44.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 568
- Total
- 5,324
- vs nation
- R+8.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 471
- Total
- 4,628
- vs nation
- D+9.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,320
- Total
- 4,805
- vs nation
- D+19.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+69.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 11,6832024 5-year
- Median household income
- $49,8062024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 67.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+50.3 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+69.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Crockett County, TN · twin score 95.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 56.5%4,947 participants ÷ 8,753 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.4 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 43.1%–47.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 4,787 | 9,562 | 50.1% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 4,319 | 9,512 | 45.4% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 5,031 | 9,525 | 52.8% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 3,462 | 8,780 | 39.4% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 4,947 | 8,753 | 56.5% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
26 precincts · 4,936 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -310031310031 | 118 | 615 | 7 | 740 | 15.9% | 83.1% | R+67.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -310027310027 | 96 | 584 | 9 | 689 | 13.9% | 84.8% | R+70.8 |
| Precinct -310023310023 | 105 | 533 | 10 | 648 | 16.2% | 82.3% | R+66.0 |
| Precinct -310030310030 | 83 | 537 | 6 | 626 | 13.3% | 85.8% | R+72.5 |
| Precinct -310016310016 | 80 | 461 | 7 | 548 | 14.6% | 84.1% | R+69.5 |
| Precinct -310019310019 | 83 | 450 | 12 | 545 | 15.2% | 82.6% | R+67.3 |
| Precinct -310032310032 | 67 | 378 | 4 | 449 | 14.9% | 84.2% | R+69.3 |
| Precinct -310015310015 | 26 | 240 | 3 | 269 | 9.7% | 89.2% | R+79.6 |
| Precinct -310007310007 | 32 | 226 | 4 | 262 | 12.2% | 86.3% | R+74.0 |
| Precinct -310011310011 | 28 | 132 | 0 | 160 | 17.5% | 82.5% | R+65.0 |
| Voting District 1040_4006110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1140_4006111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1540_4006115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1640_4006116 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1940_4006119 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2340_4006123 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2740_4006127 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2840_4006128 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3040_4006130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3140_4006131 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3240_4006132 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3340_4006133 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 440_400614 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 740_400617 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 840_400618 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 940_400619 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1908–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1908 | +9.0% |
| 1912 | +16.3% |
| 1916 | +17.3% |
| 1920 | −9.3% |
| 1924 | +11.3% |
| 1928 | −8.5% |
| 1932 | +50.3% |
| 1936 | +29.0% |
| 1940 | +18.8% |
| 1944 | +16.3% |
| 1948 | +39.5% |
| 1952 | +16.6% |
| 1956 | +15.1% |
| 1960 | −4.1% |
| 1964 | +30.5% |
| 1968 | +1.1% |
| 1972 | −31.5% |
| 1976 | +41.2% |
| 1980 | +17.0% |
| 1984 | +2.4% |
| 1988 | +23.6% |
| 1992 | +29.0% |
| 1996 | +27.5% |
| 2000 | +10.2% |
| 2004 | −10.7% |
| 2008 | −37.0% |
| 2012 | −44.6% |
| 2016 | −59.5% |
| 2020 | −67.5% |
| 2024 | −69.7% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 38 points more Democratic.
7,009 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−17 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +311 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $47,126 in average income, against $52,292 for residents who stayed — 10% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+56.3 on average — 13 points more Democratic-leaning than Haskell County, OK itself (R+69.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Pittsburg County, OK42R+59.0
- Le Flore County, OK33R+64.8
- Muskogee County, OK21R+37.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Le Flore County, OK41
- Pittsburg County, OK31
- Muskogee County, OK21
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −13 |
| 2012 | +20 |
| 2013 | +109 |
| 2014 | −113 |
| 2015 | −112 |
| 2016 | −60 |
| 2017 | +96 |
| 2018 | −70 |
| 2019 | +3 |
| 2021 | +110 |
| 2022 | +110 |
| 2023 | +186 |
| 2024 | +62 |
| 2025 | −17 |
Haskell County, nestled in the Ouachita foothills of eastern Oklahoma, recorded an R+69.7 margin in 2024, reflecting the sharp rural realignment that has reshaped formerly competitive Democratic territory across the region over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 50.3 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 69.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 69.7 points.
A population of 11,683, a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $49,806 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Crockett County and Poinsett County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Haskell County, Oklahoma. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/40061/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.