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state house district

Oklahoma 15th State House District

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1908–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1908 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

American11.7%6.1%5.3%

Irish10.0%9.9%9.4%

German9.7%12.0%12.5%

English9.2%11.4%9.5%

Scottish1.5%2.0%1.3%

Italian1.3%1.7%4.8%

French0.7%1.4%1.6%

Dutch0.6%——

Muscogee (Creek)3.3%0.6%—

Cherokee0.8%0.2%—

Choctaw0.3%——

Mexican2.5%9.7%11.3%

African American†1.3%6.0%9.9%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	OK HD 15	Oklahoma	United States
Median age	44.5	37.1	39.1
Age 18–24	8.1%	9.8%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	20.3%	16.4%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	OK HD 15	Oklahoma	United States
Median household income	$49,781	$65,039	$84,427
Poverty rate	20.1%	15.4%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	17.1%	28.5%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	OK HD 15	Oklahoma	United States
Owner-occupied homes	79.0%	65.8%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	21.0%	34.2%	34.8%
Median home value	$140,700	$199,800	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$763	$1,014	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	42.9%	46.3%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	29.8%	12.0%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	OK HD 15	Oklahoma	United States
Mean commute	28.1 min	22.4 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	12.7%	5.0%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	77.9%	77.4%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.3%	0.3%	3.2%
Works from home	9.4%	9.4%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	OK HD 15	Oklahoma	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	4.8%	11.5%	22.3%
Spanish	2.8%	8.1%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	OK HD 15	Oklahoma	United States
Catholic	—	6.9%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	41.7%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	39.1%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	OK HD 15	Oklahoma	United States
Foreign-born residents	1.4%	6.4%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	0.6%	2.6%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	0.8%	3.8%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	9.6%	7.9%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.460	0.467	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic18.3%3,107TrumpRepublican80.3%13,607OtherAll other candidates1.4%239

R+61.9

Lead: 10,500
Total: 16,953
vs nation: R+60.5

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

BidenDemocratic19.6%3,285TrumpRepublican78.9%13,194OtherAll other candidates1.5%251

R+59.2

Lead: 9,909
Total: 16,730
vs nation: R+63.7

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic22.2%3,486TrumpRepublican73.9%11,589OtherAll other candidates3.8%600

R+51.7

Lead: 8,103
Total: 15,675
vs nation: R+53.8

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic34.2%4,972RomneyRepublican65.8%9,579OtherAll other candidates0.0%0

R+31.7

Lead: 4,607
Total: 14,551
vs nation: R+35.5

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic36.3%5,917McCainRepublican63.7%10,365OtherAll other candidates0.0%0

R+27.3

Lead: 4,448
Total: 16,282
vs nation: R+34.6

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

KerryDemocratic46.4%8,367BushRepublican53.6%9,658OtherAll other candidates0.0%0

R+7.2

Lead: 1,291
Total: 18,025
vs nation: R+4.7

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

GoreDemocratic53.1%8,276BushRepublican45.4%7,075OtherAll other candidates1.6%242

D+7.7

Lead: 1,201
Total: 15,593
vs nation: D+7.2

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic54.8%8,646DoleRepublican32.4%5,120OtherAll other candidates12.8%2,018

D+22.3

Lead: 3,526
Total: 15,784
vs nation: D+13.8

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+61.9MIT Election Lab
Population: 38,4692024 5-year
Population density: 25 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 1,551 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $49,7812024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 66.6%2024 5-year
Black: 1.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 3.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+53.8 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+61.9 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar: State House District 19, OK · twin score 97.8

presidential history

Party record book

Oklahoma 15th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1908–2024 · 30 presidential cycles

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Franklin D. Roosevelt1932

76.9%

10,714 votes · D+53.8 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Harry S. Truman, 1948 · 71.0%

Republican

Donald Trump2024

80.3%

13,607 votes · R+61.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 78.9%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Franklin D. Roosevelt1932

10,714votes

76.9% of the vote · D+53.8 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 9,820 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

13,607votes

80.3% of the vote · R+61.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 13,194 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

John W. Davis1924

+40.8pts D vs U.S.

Place D+15.6 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Harry S. Truman, 1948 · +37.5 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2020

+63.7pts R vs U.S.

Place R+59.2 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +60.5 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

RTim TurnerState House · 15

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

U.S. House elections · 2 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	23.0%3,461	77.0%11,563	15,024
2020	R	23.6%3,655	76.4%11,856	15,511

Oklahoma 15th State House District sits in the Southern Plains. In 2024 it voted Republican.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 53.8 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 61.9 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 61.9 points.

A population of 38,469, a 67% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $49,781 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 19 and State House District 39.

Political twins — state-house districts

The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

State House District 19

% Evangelical2016–2024 trajectory

State House District 39

2016–2024 trajectory% Evangelical

State House District 7

% Evangelical2016–2024 trajectory≠ American ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

District research tools

Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Oklahoma 15th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/40015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Oklahoma at the ballot boxAll elections →

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Places within Oklahoma 15th State House District

counties it covers4

Haskell County Le Flore County McIntosh County Muskogee County

Frequently asked questions

How did Oklahoma 15th State House District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Oklahoma 15th State House District voted Republican by 61.9 points (R+61.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 16,953 votes cast, 3,107 went Democratic and 13,607 went Republican.

When did Oklahoma 15th State House District last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Oklahoma 15th State House District voted Democratic was 2000.

How many people live in Oklahoma 15th State House District?

Oklahoma 15th State House District has a population of 38,469 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Oklahoma 15th State House District?

Median household income in Oklahoma 15th State House District is $49,781 — below the national median of $80,734. The Oklahoma state median is $65,039.

What is the political history of Oklahoma 15th State House District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Oklahoma 15th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 12 went Republican.