Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Oklahoma 15th State House District
presidential margin
2008R+26.62012R+32.02016R+51.72020R+59.22024R+61.9
full record · 2008 → 2024
R+61.9
2024
median income$49,781U.S. $80,734 · OK $65,039
median age44.5U.S. 39.1 · OK 37.1
poverty rate20.1%U.S. 12.5% · OK 15.4%
bachelor’s+ (25+)17.1%U.S. 35.6% · OK 28.5%
non-english4.8%U.S. 22.3% · OK 11.5%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
American11.7%
Irish10.0%
German9.7%
Muscogee (Creek)3.3%
Cherokee0.8%
Choctaw0.3%
Mexican2.5%
African American†1.3%
religion

Religious adherence is published only at the county level (U.S. Religion Census). See Haskell County.

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024.

Oklahoma 15th State House District

Akashic
Oklahoma 15th State House DistrictTrumpR+61.9
2024
2024 presidential margin for Oklahoma 15th State House DistrictThe boundary of Oklahoma 15th State House District, filled by its 2024 presidential margin (R+61.9), over faint outlines of the counties it is drawn from.Oklahoma 15th State House District · R+61.9
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican80.3%13,607
Kamala HarrisDemocratic18.3%3,107
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Independent1.4%239
D+60
R+60
District boundary, filled by its own 2024 D-vs-R margin — precinct detail where available, over the 5 counties it's drawn from (shown faint).
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
County-level results (5 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Oklahoma 15th State House District — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Haskell County, OKRepublicanR+69.7
Le Flore County, OKRepublicanR+64.8
McIntosh County, OKRepublicanR+52.7
Muskogee County, OKRepublicanR+37.6
Pittsburg County, OKRepublicanR+59.0
5 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
18.3%Harris3,107
80.3%Trump13,607
1.4%Kennedy239
−61.9%
16,953
R
19.6%Biden3,285
78.9%Trump13,195
1.5%Jorgensen251
−59.2%
16,731
R
22.2%Clinton3,486
73.9%Trump11,589
3.8%Johnson600
−51.7%
15,675
R
34.0%Obama4,770
66.0%Romney9,262
0.0%
−32.0%
14,032
R
35.8%Obama6,017
62.4%McCain10,490
1.8%Nader305
−26.6%
16,812
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −61.9% in 2024.−61.9%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008−26.6%
2012−32.0%
2016−51.7%
2020−59.2%
2024−61.9%
DemocraticRepublican
current representation
Current officeholders
RTim TurnerState House · 15

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

Source · OpenStates current legislator CSV.

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+47.1, this district sits well outside competitive range. Its voting pattern reflects the heavily Republican rural and small-town Oklahoma terrain that has defined the region for over two decades.

Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 61.9 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 61.9 points.

A population of 38,469, a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $49,781 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 19 and State House District 39.

Political twins — state-house districts

The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

State House District 19
Oklahoma
97.9twin score
% Evangelical2016–2024 trajectory
State House District 39
Arkansas
97.7twin score
2016–2024 trajectory% Evangelical
State House District 18
Oklahoma
97.5twin score
2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Oklahoma 15th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/40015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Places within Oklahoma 15th State House District

counties it covers4
Haskell CountyLe Flore CountyMcIntosh CountyMuskogee County

Frequently asked questions

How did Oklahoma 15th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Oklahoma 15th State House District voted Republican by 61.9 points (R+61.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 16,953 votes cast, 3,107 went Democratic and 13,607 went Republican.
How many people live in Oklahoma 15th State House District?
Oklahoma 15th State House District has a population of 38,469 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Oklahoma 15th State House District?
Median household income in Oklahoma 15th State House District is $49,781 — below the national median of $80,734. The Oklahoma state median is $65,039.
What is the political history of Oklahoma 15th State House District?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Oklahoma 15th State House District from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.