- Lead
- 7,789
- Total
- 11,309
- vs nation
- R+67.4
- Turnout
- 51.2%
McCurtain County, OK
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 51.2% of 22,131 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 7,627
- Total
- 11,467
- vs nation
- R+71.0
- Turnout
- 48.0%
- Lead
- 6,854
- Total
- 10,726
- vs nation
- R+66.0
- Turnout
- 44.6%
- Lead
- 5,195
- Total
- 10,075
- vs nation
- R+55.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,951
- Total
- 10,539
- vs nation
- R+54.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,788
- Total
- 11,156
- vs nation
- R+31.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,849
- Total
- 10,482
- vs nation
- R+27.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 458
- Total
- 9,774
- vs nation
- R+3.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+68.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 30,8632024 5-year
- Median household income
- $51,9292024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 58.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+81.9 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+68.9 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Berrien County, GA · twin score 93.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 51.2%11,341 participants ÷ 22,131 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +10.2 ptsPersistently low turnout
- Drop-off versus state
- -4.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 39.7%–41.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 10,779 | 24,172 | 44.6% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 7,635 | 24,164 | 31.6% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 11,477 | 23,927 | 48.0% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 8,490 | 22,452 | 37.8% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 11,341 | 22,131 | 51.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
61 precincts · 11,309 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -450031450031 | 80 | 733 | 13 | 826 | 9.7% | 88.7% | R+79.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -450035450035 | 109 | 608 | 7 | 724 | 15.1% | 84.0% | R+68.9 |
| Precinct -450018450018 | 109 | 580 | 7 | 696 | 15.7% | 83.3% | R+67.7 |
| Precinct -450008450008 | 84 | 510 | 9 | 603 | 13.9% | 84.6% | R+70.6 |
| Precinct -450038450038 | 59 | 506 | 11 | 576 | 10.2% | 87.8% | R+77.6 |
| Precinct -450004450004 | 128 | 396 | 8 | 532 | 24.1% | 74.4% | R+50.4 |
| Precinct -450019450019 | 73 | 451 | 7 | 531 | 13.7% | 84.9% | R+71.2 |
| Precinct -450009450009 | 115 | 404 | 11 | 530 | 21.7% | 76.2% | R+54.5 |
| Precinct -450036450036 | 37 | 478 | 7 | 522 | 7.1% | 91.6% | R+84.5 |
| Precinct -450006450006 | 101 | 351 | 9 | 461 | 21.9% | 76.1% | R+54.2 |
| Precinct -450020450020 | 70 | 367 | 0 | 437 | 16.0% | 84.0% | R+68.0 |
| Precinct -450017450017 | 96 | 297 | 4 | 397 | 24.2% | 74.8% | R+50.6 |
| Precinct -450013450013 | 45 | 342 | 4 | 391 | 11.5% | 87.5% | R+76.0 |
| Precinct -450034450034 | 27 | 360 | 2 | 389 | 6.9% | 92.5% | R+85.6 |
| Precinct -450022450022 | 35 | 346 | 4 | 385 | 9.1% | 89.9% | R+80.8 |
| Precinct -450029450029 | 34 | 340 | 1 | 375 | 9.1% | 90.7% | R+81.6 |
| Precinct -450033450033 | 31 | 325 | 2 | 358 | 8.7% | 90.8% | R+82.1 |
| Precinct -450023450023 | 32 | 312 | 3 | 347 | 9.2% | 89.9% | R+80.7 |
| Precinct -450025450025 | 18 | 228 | 3 | 249 | 7.2% | 91.6% | R+84.3 |
| Precinct -450026450026 | 17 | 218 | 0 | 235 | 7.2% | 92.8% | R+85.5 |
| Precinct -450002450002 | 83 | 134 | 4 | 221 | 37.6% | 60.6% | R+23.1 |
| Precinct -450015450015 | 19 | 194 | 3 | 216 | 8.8% | 89.8% | R+81.0 |
| Precinct -450005450005 | 159 | 50 | 1 | 210 | 75.7% | 23.8% | D+51.9 |
| Precinct -450024450024 | 18 | 187 | 0 | 205 | 8.8% | 91.2% | R+82.4 |
| Precinct -450014450014 | 19 | 177 | 5 | 201 | 9.5% | 88.1% | R+78.6 |
| Precinct -450027450027 | 8 | 162 | 2 | 172 | 4.7% | 94.2% | R+89.5 |
| Precinct -450011450011 | 30 | 133 | 1 | 164 | 18.3% | 81.1% | R+62.8 |
| Precinct -450012450012 | 48 | 94 | 0 | 142 | 33.8% | 66.2% | R+32.4 |
| Precinct -450037450037 | 10 | 111 | 0 | 121 | 8.3% | 91.7% | R+83.5 |
| Precinct -450028450028 | 2 | 91 | 0 | 93 | 2.2% | 97.8% | R+95.7 |
| Voting District 1140_4008911 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1240_4008912 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1340_4008913 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1440_4008914 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1540_4008915 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1740_4008917 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1840_4008918 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1940_4008919 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 240_400892 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2040_4008920 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2240_4008922 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2340_4008923 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2440_4008924 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2540_4008925 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2640_4008926 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2740_4008927 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2840_4008928 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2940_4008929 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3140_4008931 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3240_4008932 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3340_4008933 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3440_4008934 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3540_4008935 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3640_4008936 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3740_4008937 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3840_4008938 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 440_400894 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 540_400895 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 640_400896 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 840_400898 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 940_400899 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1908–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1908 | +6.9% |
| 1912 | +13.6% |
| 1916 | +30.1% |
| 1920 | +13.0% |
| 1924 | +31.1% |
| 1928 | +20.0% |
| 1932 | +81.9% |
| 1936 | +63.8% |
| 1940 | +51.6% |
| 1944 | +57.8% |
| 1948 | +70.2% |
| 1952 | +35.7% |
| 1956 | +27.5% |
| 1960 | +8.2% |
| 1964 | +33.5% |
| 1968 | +1.7% |
| 1972 | −42.2% |
| 1976 | +37.3% |
| 1980 | +6.7% |
| 1984 | −22.9% |
| 1988 | +0.1% |
| 1992 | +13.6% |
| 1996 | +4.7% |
| 2000 | −27.2% |
| 2004 | −34.0% |
| 2008 | −47.0% |
| 2012 | −51.6% |
| 2016 | −63.9% |
| 2020 | −66.5% |
| 2024 | −68.9% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 17.2%1,836 | 82.8%8,818 | 10,654 |
| 2020 | R | 16.9%1,890 | 83.1%9,281 | 11,171 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 33 points more Democratic.
17,510 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+82 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −956 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $40,758 in average income, against $55,920 for residents who stayed — 27% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+37.5 on average — 31 points more Democratic-leaning than McCurtain County, OK itself (R+68.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Choctaw County, OK27R+65.4
- Oklahoma County, OK21R+1.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Oklahoma County, OK33
- Sevier County, AR26
- Choctaw County, OK20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +2 |
| 2012 | −44 |
| 2013 | −205 |
| 2014 | −120 |
| 2015 | −104 |
| 2016 | −224 |
| 2017 | −126 |
| 2018 | −203 |
| 2019 | −238 |
| 2021 | +133 |
| 2022 | +141 |
| 2023 | +40 |
| 2024 | −90 |
| 2025 | +82 |
McCurtain County sits at Oklahoma's southeastern corner, touching Arkansas, Texas, and Louisiana — a timber-economy region where the 2024 presidential margin exceeded 68 points, among the widest gaps in the state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 81.9 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 68.9 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 68.9 points.
A population of 30,863, a 59% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $51,929 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Berrien County and Grant Parish.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
McCurtain County, Oklahoma. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/40089/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.