HarrisDemocratic18.8%4,031TrumpRepublican79.5%17,005OtherAll other candidates1.7%361
R+60.6- Lead
- 12,974
- Total
- 21,397
- vs nation
- R+59.2
- Turnout
- 64.8%
Akashiccounty
McClain County, OK
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 64.8% of 33,106 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic18.6%3,582TrumpRepublican79.5%15,295JorgensenLibertarian1.2%236
R+60.9- Lead
- 11,713
- Total
- 19,236
- vs nation
- R+65.3
- Turnout
- 66.3%
ClintonDemocratic17.2%2,894TrumpRepublican78.1%13,169JohnsonLibertarian4.7%795
R+61.0- Lead
- 10,275
- Total
- 16,858
- vs nation
- R+63.0
- Turnout
- 62.6%
ObamaDemocratic22.3%3,194RomneyRepublican77.7%11,112OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
R+55.3- Lead
- 7,918
- Total
- 14,306
- vs nation
- R+59.2
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic24.1%3,551McCainRepublican75.9%11,193OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
R+51.8- Lead
- 7,642
- Total
- 14,744
- vs nation
- R+59.1
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic27.1%3,742BushRepublican72.9%10,041OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
R+45.7- Lead
- 6,299
- Total
- 13,783
- vs nation
- R+43.2
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic34.9%3,679BushRepublican64.0%6,750OtherAll other candidates1.0%110
R+29.1- Lead
- 3,071
- Total
- 10,539
- vs nation
- R+29.7
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic39.8%3,753DoleRepublican46.2%4,363PerotReform13.7%1,289
R+6.5- Lead
- 610
- Total
- 9,439
- vs nation
- R+15.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+60.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 45,2732024 5-year
- Median household income
- $84,5522024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 75.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+72.3 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61.0 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Grady County, OK · twin score 94.8
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 64.8%21,464 participants ÷ 33,106 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- +1.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 48.7%–50.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 16,931 | 27,066 | 62.6% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 13,925 | 27,912 | 49.9% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 19,275 | 29,077 | 66.3% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 15,548 | 30,988 | 50.2% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 21,464 | 33,106 | 64.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
50 precincts · 21,397 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -440020440020 | 485 | 1,356 | 33 | 1,874 | 25.9% | 72.4% | R+46.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -440013440013 | 416 | 1,333 | 45 | 1,794 | 23.2% | 74.3% | R+51.1 |
| Precinct -440016440016 | 209 | 1,076 | 20 | 1,305 | 16.0% | 82.5% | R+66.4 |
| Precinct -440009440009 | 249 | 956 | 26 | 1,231 | 20.2% | 77.7% | R+57.4 |
| Precinct -440015440015 | 211 | 944 | 12 | 1,167 | 18.1% | 80.9% | R+62.8 |
| Precinct -440003440003 | 158 | 793 | 18 | 969 | 16.3% | 81.8% | R+65.5 |
| Precinct -440017440017 | 208 | 726 | 13 | 947 | 22.0% | 76.7% | R+54.7 |
| Precinct -440019440019 | 138 | 757 | 11 | 906 | 15.2% | 83.6% | R+68.3 |
| Precinct -440023440023 | 218 | 646 | 19 | 883 | 24.7% | 73.2% | R+48.5 |
| Precinct -440006440006 | 158 | 705 | 14 | 877 | 18.0% | 80.4% | R+62.4 |
| Precinct -440014440014 | 141 | 720 | 15 | 876 | 16.1% | 82.2% | R+66.1 |
| Precinct -440008440008 | 100 | 716 | 17 | 833 | 12.0% | 86.0% | R+73.9 |
| Precinct -440012440012 | 137 | 669 | 15 | 821 | 16.7% | 81.5% | R+64.8 |
| Precinct -440018440018 | 135 | 650 | 10 | 795 | 17.0% | 81.8% | R+64.8 |
| Precinct -440024440024 | 207 | 566 | 14 | 787 | 26.3% | 71.9% | R+45.6 |
| Precinct -440005440005 | 94 | 648 | 12 | 754 | 12.5% | 85.9% | R+73.5 |
| Precinct -440025440025 | 107 | 597 | 8 | 712 | 15.0% | 83.8% | R+68.8 |
| Precinct -440022440022 | 67 | 567 | 8 | 642 | 10.4% | 88.3% | R+77.9 |
| Precinct -440028440028 | 153 | 410 | 11 | 574 | 26.7% | 71.4% | R+44.8 |
| Precinct -440011440011 | 81 | 438 | 4 | 523 | 15.5% | 83.7% | R+68.3 |
| Precinct -440027440027 | 93 | 422 | 6 | 521 | 17.9% | 81.0% | R+63.1 |
| Precinct -440021440021 | 111 | 292 | 7 | 410 | 27.1% | 71.2% | R+44.1 |
| Precinct -440010440010 | 33 | 285 | 3 | 321 | 10.3% | 88.8% | R+78.5 |
| Precinct -440001440001 | 48 | 264 | 6 | 318 | 15.1% | 83.0% | R+67.9 |
| Precinct -440002440002 | 33 | 268 | 9 | 310 | 10.6% | 86.5% | R+75.8 |
| Precinct -440026440026 | 41 | 201 | 5 | 247 | 16.6% | 81.4% | R+64.8 |
| Voting District 140_400871 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1040_4008710 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1140_4008711 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1240_4008712 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1340_4008713 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1440_4008714 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1540_4008715 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1640_4008716 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1740_4008717 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1840_4008718 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1940_4008719 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 240_400872 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2040_4008720 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2140_4008721 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2240_4008722 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2440_4008724 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2540_4008725 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 340_400873 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 440_400874 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 540_400875 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 640_400876 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 740_400877 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 840_400878 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 940_400879 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1908–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1908 | +19.1% |
| 1912 | +30.3% |
| 1916 | +31.7% |
| 1920 | +13.5% |
| 1924 | +32.1% |
| 1928 | −11.2% |
| 1932 | +72.3% |
| 1936 | +54.7% |
| 1940 | +33.8% |
| 1944 | +37.7% |
| 1948 | +58.3% |
| 1952 | +15.8% |
| 1956 | +17.8% |
| 1960 | −3.7% |
| 1964 | +37.9% |
| 1968 | −3.7% |
| 1972 | −49.9% |
| 1976 | +24.4% |
| 1980 | −17.2% |
| 1984 | −40.4% |
| 1988 | −13.9% |
| 1992 | −9.3% |
| 1996 | −6.5% |
| 2000 | −29.1% |
| 2004 | −45.7% |
| 2008 | −51.8% |
| 2012 | −55.3% |
| 2016 | −61.0% |
| 2020 | −60.9% |
| 2024 | −60.6% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 38 Senate · 4 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+51.1
Presidential vote · 2024R+60.6
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 9.5 points more Democratic.
30,338 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+1,022 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +12,352 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $66,387 in average income, against $91,352 for residents who stayed — 27% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+24.0 on average — 37 points more Democratic-leaning than McClain County, OK itself (R+60.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Cleveland County, OK590R+14.9
- Oklahoma County, OK319R+1.7
- Grady County, OK153R+62.7
- Canadian County, OK118R+40.4
- Garvin County, OK84R+66.1
- Pottawatomie County, OK26R+47.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Cleveland County, OK475
- Oklahoma County, OK216
- Grady County, OK212
- Canadian County, OK88
- Garvin County, OK81
- Pottawatomie County, OK34
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +335 |
| 2012 | +306 |
| 2013 | +739 |
| 2014 | +672 |
| 2015 | +651 |
| 2016 | +518 |
| 2017 | +632 |
| 2018 | +564 |
| 2019 | +551 |
| 2021 | +1,746 |
| 2022 | +1,770 |
| 2023 | +1,542 |
| 2024 | +1,304 |
| 2025 | +1,022 |
McClain County sits directly south of Oklahoma City, drawing suburban spillover that has pushed its population up while its presidential margins have widened — hitting R+60.6 in 2024, among the more lopsided results in the state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 72.3 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 61.0 points in 2016. The 2024 margin was 60.6 points.
A population of 45,273, a 75% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $84,552 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Grady County and Pike County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Grady County
Oklahoma
94.8twin score
elasticity2008–2016 trajectory
Pike County
Georgia
93.5twin score
2008–2016 trajectoryelasticity
Rogers County
Oklahoma
92.3twin score
elasticity2008–2016 trajectory≠ American ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
McClain County, Oklahoma. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/40087/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in McClain County
Oklahoma at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did McClain County, Oklahoma vote in 2024?
In 2024, McClain County, Oklahoma voted Republican by 60.6 points (R+60.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 21,397 votes cast, 4,031 went Democratic and 17,005 went Republican.
When did McClain County, Oklahoma last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which McClain County, Oklahoma voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in McClain County, Oklahoma?
McClain County, Oklahoma has a population of 45,273 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in McClain County, Oklahoma?
Median household income in McClain County, Oklahoma is $84,552 — above the national median of $80,734. The Oklahoma state median is $65,039.
What is the political history of McClain County, Oklahoma?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in McClain County, Oklahoma from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.