- Lead
- 15,842
- Total
- 25,283
- vs nation
- R+61.2
- Turnout
- 59.2%
Grady County, OK
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 59.2% of 42,794 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 14,394
- Total
- 23,101
- vs nation
- R+66.8
- Turnout
- 55.6%
- Lead
- 13,434
- Total
- 22,286
- vs nation
- R+62.4
- Turnout
- 55.7%
- Lead
- 10,047
- Total
- 19,619
- vs nation
- R+55.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 9,675
- Total
- 20,715
- vs nation
- R+54.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 8,166
- Total
- 20,106
- vs nation
- R+38.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,003
- Total
- 16,276
- vs nation
- R+25.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 972
- Total
- 15,598
- vs nation
- R+14.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+62.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 56,6062024 5-year
- Median household income
- $75,4192024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 78.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+63.9 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Upshur County, TX · twin score 95.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 59.2%25,340 participants ÷ 42,794 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +11.6 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -3.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 46.8%–47.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 22,404 | 40,251 | 55.7% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 17,282 | 40,834 | 42.3% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 23,101 | 41,567 | 55.6% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 18,386 | 41,767 | 44.0% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 25,340 | 42,794 | 59.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
69 precincts · 25,283 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -260041260041 | 349 | 1,626 | 24 | 1,999 | 17.5% | 81.3% | R+63.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -260038260038 | 344 | 1,575 | 27 | 1,946 | 17.7% | 80.9% | R+63.3 |
| Precinct -260037260037 | 285 | 1,454 | 25 | 1,764 | 16.2% | 82.4% | R+66.3 |
| Precinct -260044260044 | 320 | 1,351 | 28 | 1,699 | 18.8% | 79.5% | R+60.7 |
| Precinct -260008260008 | 386 | 1,200 | 23 | 1,609 | 24.0% | 74.6% | R+50.6 |
| Precinct -260040260040 | 251 | 1,330 | 26 | 1,607 | 15.6% | 82.8% | R+67.1 |
| Precinct -260028260028 | 249 | 1,313 | 22 | 1,584 | 15.7% | 82.9% | R+67.2 |
| Precinct -260039260039 | 199 | 1,254 | 14 | 1,467 | 13.6% | 85.5% | R+71.9 |
| Precinct -260036260036 | 137 | 1,136 | 18 | 1,291 | 10.6% | 88.0% | R+77.4 |
| Precinct -260029260029 | 174 | 1,074 | 21 | 1,269 | 13.7% | 84.6% | R+70.9 |
| Precinct -260025260025 | 153 | 833 | 15 | 1,001 | 15.3% | 83.2% | R+67.9 |
| Precinct -260009260009 | 334 | 632 | 13 | 979 | 34.1% | 64.6% | R+30.4 |
| Precinct -260032260032 | 126 | 720 | 11 | 857 | 14.7% | 84.0% | R+69.3 |
| Precinct -260003260003 | 199 | 542 | 9 | 750 | 26.5% | 72.3% | R+45.7 |
| Precinct -260006260006 | 173 | 432 | 11 | 616 | 28.1% | 70.1% | R+42.0 |
| Precinct -260021260021 | 72 | 503 | 18 | 593 | 12.1% | 84.8% | R+72.7 |
| Precinct -260031260031 | 69 | 471 | 7 | 547 | 12.6% | 86.1% | R+73.5 |
| Precinct -260001260001 | 178 | 319 | 13 | 510 | 34.9% | 62.5% | R+27.6 |
| Precinct -260002260002 | 61 | 433 | 4 | 498 | 12.2% | 86.9% | R+74.7 |
| Precinct -260005260005 | 196 | 280 | 10 | 486 | 40.3% | 57.6% | R+17.3 |
| Precinct -260027260027 | 65 | 414 | 5 | 484 | 13.4% | 85.5% | R+72.1 |
| Precinct -260016260016 | 43 | 374 | 5 | 422 | 10.2% | 88.6% | R+78.4 |
| Precinct -260042260042 | 59 | 322 | 3 | 384 | 15.4% | 83.9% | R+68.5 |
| Precinct -260017260017 | 44 | 229 | 9 | 282 | 15.6% | 81.2% | R+65.6 |
| Precinct -260026260026 | 21 | 217 | 5 | 243 | 8.6% | 89.3% | R+80.7 |
| Precinct -260035260035 | 22 | 155 | 3 | 180 | 12.2% | 86.1% | R+73.9 |
| Precinct -260023260023 | 21 | 138 | 0 | 159 | 13.2% | 86.8% | R+73.6 |
| Precinct -260043260043 | 6 | 51 | 0 | 57 | 10.5% | 89.5% | R+78.9 |
| Voting District 140_400511 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1040_4005110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1140_4005111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1240_4005112 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1340_4005113 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1440_4005114 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1540_4005115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1640_4005116 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1740_4005117 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1840_4005118 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1940_4005119 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 240_400512 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2040_4005120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2140_4005121 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2240_4005122 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2340_4005123 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2440_4005124 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2540_4005125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2640_4005126 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2740_4005127 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2840_4005128 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2940_4005129 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 340_400513 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3040_4005130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3140_4005131 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3240_4005132 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3340_4005133 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3440_4005134 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3540_4005135 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3640_4005136 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3740_4005137 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3840_4005138 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3940_4005139 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 440_400514 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 4040_4005140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 4140_4005141 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 540_400515 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 640_400516 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 740_400517 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 840_400518 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 940_400519 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1908–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1908 | +29.0% |
| 1912 | +32.6% |
| 1916 | +36.8% |
| 1920 | +10.7% |
| 1924 | +28.5% |
| 1928 | −26.4% |
| 1932 | +63.9% |
| 1936 | +49.7% |
| 1940 | +30.4% |
| 1944 | +30.7% |
| 1948 | +47.7% |
| 1952 | +9.7% |
| 1956 | +13.2% |
| 1960 | −4.1% |
| 1964 | +36.1% |
| 1968 | +4.7% |
| 1972 | −37.6% |
| 1976 | +20.7% |
| 1980 | −20.0% |
| 1984 | −38.8% |
| 1988 | −8.8% |
| 1992 | −4.6% |
| 1996 | −6.2% |
| 2000 | −24.6% |
| 2004 | −40.6% |
| 2008 | −46.7% |
| 2012 | −51.2% |
| 2016 | −60.3% |
| 2020 | −62.3% |
| 2024 | −62.7% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 18.0%4,565 | 82.0%20,849 | 25,414 |
| 2020 | R | 16.6%3,701 | 83.4%18,603 | 22,304 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 13 points more Democratic.
36,594 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+900 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +7,117 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $66,178 in average income, against $81,989 for residents who stayed — 19% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+32.1 on average — 31 points more Democratic-leaning than Grady County, OK itself (R+62.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Oklahoma County, OK272R+1.7
- Canadian County, OK228R+40.4
- McClain County, OK212R+60.6
- Cleveland County, OK201R+14.9
- Caddo County, OK76R+47.1
- Stephens County, OK70R+63.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Oklahoma County, OK245
- Cleveland County, OK223
- Canadian County, OK190
- McClain County, OK153
- Caddo County, OK66
- Stephens County, OK60
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +178 |
| 2012 | +178 |
| 2013 | +436 |
| 2014 | +186 |
| 2015 | +540 |
| 2016 | +35 |
| 2017 | +78 |
| 2018 | +573 |
| 2019 | +328 |
| 2021 | +937 |
| 2022 | +1,166 |
| 2023 | +760 |
| 2024 | +822 |
| 2025 | +900 |
Grady County, anchored by Chickasha, has delivered Republican presidential margins exceeding 60 points in recent cycles, reflecting the deep conservative lean common to southwestern Oklahoma's largely rural, energy-dependent economy.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 63.9 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 62.7 points in 2024. The 2024 margin was 62.7 points.
A population of 56,606, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,419 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Upshur County and Lincoln County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Grady County, Oklahoma. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/40051/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.