- Lead
- 1,499
- Total
- 2,125
- vs nation
- R+69.1
- Turnout
- 67.6%
Grant County, OK
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 67.6% of 3,148 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,636
- Total
- 2,226
- vs nation
- R+77.9
- Turnout
- 67.5%
- Lead
- 1,539
- Total
- 2,201
- vs nation
- R+72.0
- Turnout
- 64.2%
- Lead
- 1,282
- Total
- 2,068
- vs nation
- R+65.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,322
- Total
- 2,350
- vs nation
- R+63.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,379
- Total
- 2,521
- vs nation
- R+52.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,053
- Total
- 2,503
- vs nation
- R+42.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 515
- Total
- 2,653
- vs nation
- R+27.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+70.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,1312024 5-year
- Median household income
- $60,7582024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+39.9 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+73.5 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Dewey County, OK · twin score 97.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 67.6%2,129 participants ÷ 3,148 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- +0.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 52.8%–54.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 2,206 | 3,437 | 64.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 1,726 | 3,335 | 51.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 2,226 | 3,298 | 67.5% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 1,664 | 3,162 | 52.6% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 2,129 | 3,148 | 67.6% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
16 precincts · 2,125 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -270023270023 | 74 | 410 | 4 | 488 | 15.2% | 84.0% | R+68.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -270030270030 | 54 | 347 | 9 | 410 | 13.2% | 84.6% | R+71.5 |
| Precinct -270025270025 | 37 | 234 | 10 | 281 | 13.2% | 83.3% | R+70.1 |
| Precinct -270017270017 | 27 | 246 | 6 | 279 | 9.7% | 88.2% | R+78.5 |
| Precinct -270026270026 | 35 | 230 | 1 | 266 | 13.2% | 86.5% | R+73.3 |
| Precinct -270029270029 | 42 | 220 | 4 | 266 | 15.8% | 82.7% | R+66.9 |
| Precinct -270011270011 | 26 | 107 | 2 | 135 | 19.3% | 79.3% | R+60.0 |
| Voting District 1140_4005311 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1540_4005315 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1740_4005317 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2340_4005323 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2540_4005325 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2640_4005326 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2940_4005329 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3040_4005330 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 640_400536 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1908–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1908 | +1.9% |
| 1912 | −4.6% |
| 1916 | +5.1% |
| 1920 | −25.0% |
| 1924 | −15.0% |
| 1928 | −49.7% |
| 1932 | +39.9% |
| 1936 | +26.2% |
| 1940 | −6.6% |
| 1944 | −19.2% |
| 1948 | −7.5% |
| 1952 | −44.9% |
| 1956 | −17.6% |
| 1960 | −24.0% |
| 1964 | +3.1% |
| 1968 | −34.9% |
| 1972 | −53.9% |
| 1976 | +4.7% |
| 1980 | −42.7% |
| 1984 | −49.5% |
| 1988 | −14.8% |
| 1992 | −14.6% |
| 1996 | −19.4% |
| 2000 | −42.1% |
| 2004 | −54.7% |
| 2008 | −56.3% |
| 2012 | −62.0% |
| 2016 | −69.9% |
| 2020 | −73.5% |
| 2024 | −70.5% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | R | 11.2%248 | 88.8%1,957 | 2,205 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 7.4 points more Democratic.
2,880 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−44 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −128 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $43,281 in average income, against $72,410 for residents who stayed — 40% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+53.8 on average — 17 points more Democratic-leaning than Grant County, OK itself (R+70.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Garfield County, OK31R+53.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Garfield County, OK22
- Kay County, OK22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +34 |
| 2012 | −23 |
| 2013 | +6 |
| 2014 | −36 |
| 2015 | +24 |
| 2016 | −38 |
| 2017 | −56 |
| 2018 | −55 |
| 2019 | +12 |
| 2021 | +7 |
| 2022 | +5 |
| 2023 | −16 |
| 2024 | +52 |
| 2025 | −44 |
Grant County, a sparsely populated wheat-farming county on the Kansas border, recorded a 70-point Republican presidential margin in 2024 — among the widest in a state already dominated by rural red-shift.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 39.9 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 73.5 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.0 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 70.5 points.
A population of 4,131, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,758 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Dewey County and Ellis County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Grant County, Oklahoma. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/40053/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.