HarrisDemocratic19.7%500TrumpRepublican79.2%2,006OtherAll other candidates1.1%27
R+59.5- Lead
- 1,506
- Total
- 2,533
- vs nation
- R+58.0
- Turnout
- 49.7%
Akashiccounty
Tillman County, OK
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 49.7% of 5,106 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic22.0%597TrumpRepublican76.7%2,076JorgensenLibertarian0.9%24
R+54.6- Lead
- 1,479
- Total
- 2,708
- vs nation
- R+59.1
- Turnout
- 51.5%
ClintonDemocratic24.3%657TrumpRepublican71.8%1,944JohnsonLibertarian3.9%105
R+47.6- Lead
- 1,287
- Total
- 2,706
- vs nation
- R+49.7
- Turnout
- 49.6%
ObamaDemocratic33.3%906RomneyRepublican66.7%1,815OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
R+33.4- Lead
- 909
- Total
- 2,721
- vs nation
- R+37.3
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic32.2%1,042McCainRepublican67.8%2,195OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
R+35.6- Lead
- 1,153
- Total
- 3,237
- vs nation
- R+42.9
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic34.1%1,175BushRepublican65.9%2,273OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
R+31.8- Lead
- 1,098
- Total
- 3,448
- vs nation
- R+29.4
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic41.8%1,400BushRepublican57.3%1,920OtherAll other candidates0.9%29
R+15.5- Lead
- 520
- Total
- 3,349
- vs nation
- R+16.0
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic49.9%1,827DoleRepublican36.8%1,346PerotReform12.9%471
D+13.1- Lead
- 481
- Total
- 3,659
- vs nation
- D+4.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+59.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 6,9102024 5-year
- Median household income
- $48,9392024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 58.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 27.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+80.9 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59.5 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Harmon County, OK · twin score 93.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 49.7%2,538 participants ÷ 5,106 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.2 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -0.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 35.5%–37.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 2,709 | 5,467 | 49.6% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 2,108 | 5,404 | 39.0% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 2,710 | 5,266 | 51.5% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 1,914 | 5,134 | 37.3% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 2,538 | 5,106 | 49.7% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
17 precincts · 2,533 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -710002710002 | 126 | 386 | 5 | 517 | 24.4% | 74.7% | R+50.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -710001710001 | 94 | 412 | 6 | 512 | 18.4% | 80.5% | R+62.1 |
| Precinct -710010710010 | 79 | 354 | 13 | 446 | 17.7% | 79.4% | R+61.7 |
| Precinct -710007710007 | 74 | 305 | 1 | 380 | 19.5% | 80.3% | R+60.8 |
| Precinct -710004710004 | 65 | 156 | 2 | 223 | 29.1% | 70.0% | R+40.8 |
| Precinct -710009710009 | 28 | 149 | 0 | 177 | 15.8% | 84.2% | R+68.4 |
| Precinct -710006710006 | 14 | 127 | 0 | 141 | 9.9% | 90.1% | R+80.1 |
| Precinct -710012710012 | 20 | 117 | 0 | 137 | 14.6% | 85.4% | R+70.8 |
| Voting District 140_401411 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1040_4014110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1240_4014112 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 240_401412 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 340_401413 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 440_401414 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 640_401416 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 740_401417 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 940_401419 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1908–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1908 | +36.9% |
| 1912 | +41.4% |
| 1916 | +49.9% |
| 1920 | +25.6% |
| 1924 | +31.9% |
| 1928 | −21.6% |
| 1932 | +80.9% |
| 1936 | +64.6% |
| 1940 | +51.6% |
| 1944 | +44.5% |
| 1948 | +58.7% |
| 1952 | +15.6% |
| 1956 | +30.1% |
| 1960 | +1.1% |
| 1964 | +25.3% |
| 1968 | +0.5% |
| 1972 | −44.2% |
| 1976 | +22.4% |
| 1980 | −6.5% |
| 1984 | −22.3% |
| 1988 | +10.0% |
| 1992 | +8.9% |
| 1996 | +13.1% |
| 2000 | −15.5% |
| 2004 | −31.8% |
| 2008 | −35.6% |
| 2012 | −33.4% |
| 2016 | −47.6% |
| 2020 | −54.6% |
| 2024 | −59.5% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 38 Senate · 4 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 17.7%456 | 82.3%2,126 | 2,582 |
| 2020 | R | 20.5%541 | 79.5%2,096 | 2,637 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+29.8
Presidential vote · 2024R+59.5
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 30 points more Democratic.
3,976 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+3 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −814 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $38,377 in average income, against $49,853 for residents who stayed — 23% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Comanche County, OK25
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +1 |
| 2012 | −189 |
| 2013 | −114 |
| 2014 | −66 |
| 2015 | −111 |
| 2016 | −72 |
| 2017 | −125 |
| 2018 | −94 |
| 2019 | −86 |
| 2021 | +145 |
| 2022 | −4 |
| 2023 | −39 |
| 2024 | −63 |
| 2025 | +3 |
Tillman County, anchored by Frederick in southwest Oklahoma, recorded an R+59.5 presidential margin in 2024 — among the widest in a state where rural agricultural counties have shifted sharply over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 80.9 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 59.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 59.5 points.
A population of 6,910, a 58% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $48,939 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Harmon County and Fisher County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Harmon County
Oklahoma
93.5twin score
% unaffiliated2008–2024 trajectory% Latino≠ % Evangelical
Fisher County
Texas
92.2twin score
% Evangelical% unaffiliated12-yr trend
Haskell County
Texas
91.9twin score
% unaffiliated12-yr trend% Latino≠ % Evangelical
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Tillman County, Oklahoma. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/40141/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Tillman County
Oklahoma at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Tillman County, Oklahoma vote in 2024?
In 2024, Tillman County, Oklahoma voted Republican by 59.5 points (R+59.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,533 votes cast, 500 went Democratic and 2,006 went Republican.
When did Tillman County, Oklahoma last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Tillman County, Oklahoma voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Tillman County, Oklahoma?
Tillman County, Oklahoma has a population of 6,910 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Tillman County, Oklahoma?
Median household income in Tillman County, Oklahoma is $48,939 — below the national median of $80,734. The Oklahoma state median is $65,039.
What is the political history of Tillman County, Oklahoma?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Tillman County, Oklahoma from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 11 went Republican.