- Lead
- 17,455
- Total
- 31,312
- vs nation
- R+54.3
- Turnout
- 56.9%
Creek County, OK
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 56.9% of 55,186 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 16,717
- Total
- 30,505
- vs nation
- R+59.3
- Turnout
- 57.0%
- Lead
- 15,734
- Total
- 28,830
- vs nation
- R+56.7
- Turnout
- 54.5%
- Lead
- 11,858
- Total
- 26,114
- vs nation
- R+49.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 11,869
- Total
- 28,505
- vs nation
- R+48.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 8,919
- Total
- 28,777
- vs nation
- R+28.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,827
- Total
- 23,741
- vs nation
- R+16.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 187
- Total
- 22,457
- vs nation
- R+9.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+55.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 72,8302024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,3382024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 73.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+31.3 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Lincoln County, OK · twin score 93.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 56.9%31,398 participants ÷ 55,186 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.4 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -0.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 42.4%–43.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 28,975 | 53,125 | 54.5% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 22,824 | 53,178 | 42.9% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 30,600 | 53,711 | 57.0% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 23,182 | 54,517 | 42.5% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 31,398 | 55,186 | 56.9% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
77 precincts · 31,312 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -190404190404 | 401 | 1,801 | 44 | 2,246 | 17.9% | 80.2% | R+62.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -190417190417 | 392 | 1,752 | 38 | 2,182 | 18.0% | 80.3% | R+62.3 |
| Precinct -190142190142 | 633 | 1,475 | 56 | 2,164 | 29.3% | 68.2% | R+38.9 |
| Precinct -190414190414 | 231 | 1,289 | 33 | 1,553 | 14.9% | 83.0% | R+68.1 |
| Precinct -190418190418 | 312 | 1,019 | 37 | 1,368 | 22.8% | 74.5% | R+51.7 |
| Precinct -190405190405 | 201 | 1,107 | 17 | 1,325 | 15.2% | 83.5% | R+68.4 |
| Precinct -190132190132 | 302 | 978 | 29 | 1,309 | 23.1% | 74.7% | R+51.6 |
| Precinct -190121190121 | 252 | 1,018 | 10 | 1,280 | 19.7% | 79.5% | R+59.8 |
| Precinct -190416190416 | 200 | 950 | 18 | 1,168 | 17.1% | 81.3% | R+64.2 |
| Precinct -190419190419 | 272 | 852 | 17 | 1,141 | 23.8% | 74.7% | R+50.8 |
| Precinct -190111190111 | 292 | 819 | 20 | 1,131 | 25.8% | 72.4% | R+46.6 |
| Precinct -190143190143 | 331 | 744 | 17 | 1,092 | 30.3% | 68.1% | R+37.8 |
| Precinct -190211190211 | 266 | 742 | 19 | 1,027 | 25.9% | 72.2% | R+46.3 |
| Precinct -190421190421 | 289 | 696 | 19 | 1,004 | 28.8% | 69.3% | R+40.5 |
| Precinct -190311190311 | 161 | 678 | 12 | 851 | 18.9% | 79.7% | R+60.8 |
| Precinct -190221190221 | 227 | 593 | 21 | 841 | 27.0% | 70.5% | R+43.5 |
| Precinct -190401190401 | 161 | 662 | 18 | 841 | 19.1% | 78.7% | R+59.6 |
| Precinct -190411190411 | 107 | 659 | 12 | 778 | 13.8% | 84.7% | R+71.0 |
| Precinct -190413190413 | 99 | 638 | 7 | 744 | 13.3% | 85.8% | R+72.4 |
| Precinct -190422190422 | 132 | 593 | 15 | 740 | 17.8% | 80.1% | R+62.3 |
| Precinct -190122190122 | 225 | 394 | 10 | 629 | 35.8% | 62.6% | R+26.9 |
| Precinct -190406190406 | 91 | 529 | 8 | 628 | 14.5% | 84.2% | R+69.7 |
| Precinct -190409190409 | 102 | 510 | 11 | 623 | 16.4% | 81.9% | R+65.5 |
| Precinct -190420190420 | 218 | 381 | 14 | 613 | 35.6% | 62.2% | R+26.6 |
| Precinct -190403190403 | 97 | 433 | 10 | 540 | 18.0% | 80.2% | R+62.2 |
| Precinct -190131190131 | 147 | 385 | 7 | 539 | 27.3% | 71.4% | R+44.2 |
| Precinct -190408190408 | 60 | 404 | 6 | 470 | 12.8% | 86.0% | R+73.2 |
| Precinct -190402190402 | 95 | 360 | 9 | 464 | 20.5% | 77.6% | R+57.1 |
| Precinct -190423190423 | 56 | 388 | 12 | 456 | 12.3% | 85.1% | R+72.8 |
| Precinct -190425190425 | 84 | 343 | 10 | 437 | 19.2% | 78.5% | R+59.3 |
| Precinct -190410190410 | 74 | 327 | 8 | 409 | 18.1% | 80.0% | R+61.9 |
| Precinct -190412190412 | 54 | 258 | 4 | 316 | 17.1% | 81.6% | R+64.6 |
| Precinct -190407190407 | 49 | 196 | 2 | 247 | 19.8% | 79.4% | R+59.5 |
| Precinct -190424190424 | 21 | 64 | 0 | 85 | 24.7% | 75.3% | R+50.6 |
| Precinct -190415190415 | 9 | 61 | 1 | 71 | 12.7% | 85.9% | R+73.2 |
| Voting District 11140_40037111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 11240_40037112 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 12240_40037122 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 12340_40037123 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 13140_40037131 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 13240_40037132 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 14240_40037142 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 14340_40037143 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 15240_40037152 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 21140_40037211 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 22140_40037221 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 23140_40037231 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 24140_40037241 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 31140_40037311 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 32140_40037321 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 40140_40037401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 40240_40037402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 40340_40037403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 40440_40037404 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 40540_40037405 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 40640_40037406 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 40740_40037407 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 40840_40037408 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 40940_40037409 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 41040_40037410 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 41140_40037411 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 41240_40037412 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 41340_40037413 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 41440_40037414 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 41540_40037415 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 41640_40037416 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 41740_40037417 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 41840_40037418 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 41940_40037419 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 42040_40037420 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 42140_40037421 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 42240_40037422 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 42340_40037423 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 42440_40037424 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 42540_40037425 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 42640_40037426 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 42740_40037427 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1908–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1908 | −9.9% |
| 1912 | −4.8% |
| 1916 | +8.8% |
| 1920 | −18.2% |
| 1924 | −5.2% |
| 1928 | −36.4% |
| 1932 | +31.3% |
| 1936 | +26.5% |
| 1940 | +7.4% |
| 1944 | +5.0% |
| 1948 | +16.9% |
| 1952 | −2.4% |
| 1956 | −7.7% |
| 1960 | −17.2% |
| 1964 | +21.5% |
| 1968 | −11.1% |
| 1972 | −52.7% |
| 1976 | +2.9% |
| 1980 | −22.4% |
| 1984 | −33.3% |
| 1988 | −8.6% |
| 1992 | −3.7% |
| 1996 | −0.8% |
| 2000 | −16.1% |
| 2004 | −31.0% |
| 2008 | −41.6% |
| 2012 | −45.4% |
| 2016 | −54.6% |
| 2020 | −54.8% |
| 2024 | −55.7% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | R | 20.5%6,167 | 79.5%23,980 | 30,147 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 10 points more Democratic.
45,298 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+1,229 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +4,876 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $65,453 in average income, against $73,481 for residents who stayed — 11% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+22.4 on average — 33 points more Democratic-leaning than Creek County, OK itself (R+55.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Tulsa County, OK1,160R+15.2
- Payne County, OK93R+25.3
- Wagoner County, OK75R+49.8
- Oklahoma County, OK72R+1.7
- Okmulgee County, OK68R+42.7
- Pawnee County, OK59R+58.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Tulsa County, OK1,064
- Payne County, OK87
- Okmulgee County, OK86
- Pawnee County, OK68
- Oklahoma County, OK61
- Rogers County, OK53
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +281 |
| 2012 | +51 |
| 2013 | −238 |
| 2014 | −101 |
| 2015 | +181 |
| 2016 | +324 |
| 2017 | +676 |
| 2018 | −162 |
| 2019 | −170 |
| 2021 | +592 |
| 2022 | +753 |
| 2023 | +777 |
| 2024 | +683 |
| 2025 | +1,229 |
Creek County, straddling the old oil belt west of Tulsa, has swung Republican by double digits for decades; its 2024 margin of R+55.8 reflects a rural-to-exurban electorate that has shifted steadily rightward since the 1990s.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 31.3 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 55.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 55.7 points.
A population of 72,830, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,338 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lincoln County and Crawford County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Creek County, Oklahoma. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/40037/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.