- Lead
- 3,528
- Total
- 6,056
- vs nation
- R+56.8
- Turnout
- 55.8%
Craig County, OK
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 55.8% of 10,876 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 3,469
- Total
- 6,032
- vs nation
- R+62.0
- Turnout
- 54.9%
- Lead
- 3,031
- Total
- 5,785
- vs nation
- R+54.5
- Turnout
- 51.5%
- Lead
- 1,812
- Total
- 5,306
- vs nation
- R+38.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,785
- Total
- 5,931
- vs nation
- R+37.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,390
- Total
- 6,398
- vs nation
- R+19.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 247
- Total
- 5,484
- vs nation
- R+5.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 591
- Total
- 5,486
- vs nation
- D+2.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+58.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 14,3022024 5-year
- Median household income
- $51,9222024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 61.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+39.2 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+58.3 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Mayes County, OK · twin score 95.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 55.8%6,074 participants ÷ 10,876 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +11.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 43.9%–45.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 5,815 | 11,284 | 51.5% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 4,784 | 11,147 | 42.9% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 6,046 | 11,019 | 54.9% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 4,631 | 10,784 | 42.9% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 6,074 | 10,876 | 55.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
29 precincts · 6,056 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -180140180140 | 81 | 605 | 9 | 695 | 11.7% | 87.1% | R+75.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -180820180820 | 123 | 558 | 10 | 691 | 17.8% | 80.8% | R+63.0 |
| Precinct -180621180621 | 183 | 419 | 14 | 616 | 29.7% | 68.0% | R+38.3 |
| Precinct -180810180810 | 97 | 498 | 12 | 607 | 16.0% | 82.0% | R+66.1 |
| Precinct -180622180622 | 154 | 342 | 7 | 503 | 30.6% | 68.0% | R+37.4 |
| Precinct -180611180611 | 120 | 341 | 13 | 474 | 25.3% | 71.9% | R+46.6 |
| Precinct -180410180410 | 62 | 383 | 8 | 453 | 13.7% | 84.5% | R+70.9 |
| Precinct -180520180520 | 76 | 331 | 1 | 408 | 18.6% | 81.1% | R+62.5 |
| Precinct -180612180612 | 115 | 281 | 11 | 407 | 28.3% | 69.0% | R+40.8 |
| Precinct -180320180320 | 59 | 321 | 5 | 385 | 15.3% | 83.4% | R+68.1 |
| Precinct -180710180710 | 56 | 273 | 4 | 333 | 16.8% | 82.0% | R+65.2 |
| Precinct -180910180910 | 61 | 267 | 5 | 333 | 18.3% | 80.2% | R+61.9 |
| Precinct -180911180911 | 25 | 121 | 5 | 151 | 16.6% | 80.1% | R+63.6 |
| Voting District 10140_40035101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 13040_40035130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 14040_40035140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 32040_40035320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 41040_40035410 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 52040_40035520 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 61140_40035611 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 61240_40035612 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 62140_40035621 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 62240_40035622 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 71040_40035710 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 71440_40035714 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 73440_40035734 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 81040_40035810 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 82040_40035820 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 91040_40035910 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1908–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1908 | +9.6% |
| 1912 | +11.6% |
| 1916 | +6.8% |
| 1920 | −3.1% |
| 1924 | +10.0% |
| 1928 | −9.5% |
| 1932 | +39.2% |
| 1936 | +19.2% |
| 1940 | +9.3% |
| 1944 | +3.9% |
| 1948 | +19.7% |
| 1952 | −10.0% |
| 1956 | −6.6% |
| 1960 | −14.9% |
| 1964 | +20.3% |
| 1968 | −9.8% |
| 1972 | −42.6% |
| 1976 | +16.8% |
| 1980 | −2.6% |
| 1984 | −18.0% |
| 1988 | +8.8% |
| 1992 | +10.8% |
| 1996 | +10.8% |
| 2000 | −4.5% |
| 2004 | −21.7% |
| 2008 | −30.1% |
| 2012 | −34.2% |
| 2016 | −52.4% |
| 2020 | −57.5% |
| 2024 | −58.3% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 25 points more Democratic.
8,556 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+86 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +127 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $43,806 in average income, against $57,746 for residents who stayed — 24% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+49.6 on average — 8.6 points more Democratic-leaning than Craig County, OK itself (R+58.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Mayes County, OK51R+57.5
- Ottawa County, OK51R+53.5
- Rogers County, OK36R+55.0
- Tulsa County, OK32R+15.2
- Delaware County, OK29R+60.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Mayes County, OK50
- Ottawa County, OK45
- Delaware County, OK32
- Rogers County, OK30
- Tulsa County, OK24
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −26 |
| 2012 | −180 |
| 2013 | −24 |
| 2014 | −67 |
| 2015 | +119 |
| 2016 | −188 |
| 2017 | −63 |
| 2018 | +31 |
| 2019 | −81 |
| 2021 | +123 |
| 2022 | +34 |
| 2023 | +322 |
| 2024 | +41 |
| 2025 | +86 |
Craig County, in Oklahoma's northeastern corner near the Kansas border, recorded an R+58.3 presidential margin in 2024 — a gap consistent with the region's sustained rightward shift over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 39.2 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 58.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 58.3 points.
A population of 14,302, a 61% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $51,922 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Mayes County and Nowata County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Craig County, Oklahoma. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/40035/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.