HarrisDemocratic24.3%1,951TrumpRepublican74.0%5,951OtherAll other candidates1.8%142
R+49.7- Lead
- 4,000
- Total
- 8,044
- vs nation
- R+48.3
- Turnout
- 46.1%
Akashiccounty
Seminole County, OK
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 46.1% of 17,504 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic25.8%2,150TrumpRepublican72.1%6,011JorgensenLibertarian1.3%109
R+46.3- Lead
- 3,861
- Total
- 8,337
- vs nation
- R+50.8
- Turnout
- 45.9%
ClintonDemocratic25.8%2,071TrumpRepublican69.8%5,613JohnsonLibertarian4.4%353
R+44.1- Lead
- 3,542
- Total
- 8,037
- vs nation
- R+46.2
- Turnout
- 43.1%
ObamaDemocratic34.9%2,600RomneyRepublican65.1%4,856OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
R+30.3- Lead
- 2,256
- Total
- 7,456
- vs nation
- R+34.1
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic34.7%2,977McCainRepublican65.3%5,600OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
R+30.6- Lead
- 2,623
- Total
- 8,577
- vs nation
- R+37.9
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic39.3%3,648BushRepublican60.7%5,624OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
R+21.3- Lead
- 1,976
- Total
- 9,272
- vs nation
- R+18.9
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic48.1%3,783BushRepublican51.0%4,011OtherAll other candidates0.9%72
R+2.9- Lead
- 228
- Total
- 7,866
- vs nation
- R+3.4
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic51.3%4,225DoleRepublican35.7%2,935PerotReform12.7%1,041
D+15.7- Lead
- 1,290
- Total
- 8,229
- vs nation
- D+7.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+49.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 23,4942024 5-year
- Median household income
- $48,0622024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 62.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+56.8 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Haskell County, OK · twin score 93.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 46.1%8,071 participants ÷ 17,504 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +11.5 ptsPersistently low turnout
- Drop-off versus state
- -3.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 34.6%–36.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 8,074 | 18,744 | 43.1% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 6,640 | 18,453 | 36.0% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 8,345 | 18,182 | 45.9% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 6,049 | 17,580 | 34.4% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 8,071 | 17,504 | 46.1% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
26 precincts · 8,044 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -670022670022 | 324 | 944 | 17 | 1,285 | 25.2% | 73.5% | R+48.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -670034670034 | 341 | 693 | 25 | 1,059 | 32.2% | 65.4% | R+33.2 |
| Precinct -670010670010 | 320 | 644 | 23 | 987 | 32.4% | 65.2% | R+32.8 |
| Precinct -670014670014 | 186 | 756 | 18 | 960 | 19.4% | 78.8% | R+59.4 |
| Precinct -670020670020 | 171 | 697 | 13 | 881 | 19.4% | 79.1% | R+59.7 |
| Precinct -670024670024 | 140 | 599 | 13 | 752 | 18.6% | 79.7% | R+61.0 |
| Precinct -670032670032 | 164 | 512 | 12 | 688 | 23.8% | 74.4% | R+50.6 |
| Precinct -670030670030 | 132 | 502 | 6 | 640 | 20.6% | 78.4% | R+57.8 |
| Precinct -670015670015 | 89 | 351 | 6 | 446 | 20.0% | 78.7% | R+58.7 |
| Precinct -670031670031 | 63 | 146 | 6 | 215 | 29.3% | 67.9% | R+38.6 |
| Precinct -670012670012 | 21 | 107 | 3 | 131 | 16.0% | 81.7% | R+65.6 |
| Voting District 1040_4013310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1140_4013311 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1240_4013312 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1440_4013314 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1540_4013315 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2040_4013320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2140_4013321 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2240_4013322 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2340_4013323 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2440_4013324 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3040_4013330 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3140_4013331 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3240_4013332 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3440_4013334 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3540_4013335 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1908–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1908 | −8.7% |
| 1912 | +17.3% |
| 1916 | +17.6% |
| 1920 | −27.2% |
| 1924 | +11.7% |
| 1928 | −29.2% |
| 1932 | +56.8% |
| 1936 | +48.8% |
| 1940 | +23.7% |
| 1944 | +21.9% |
| 1948 | +40.7% |
| 1952 | +3.0% |
| 1956 | +6.0% |
| 1960 | −12.8% |
| 1964 | +28.3% |
| 1968 | +1.8% |
| 1972 | −42.1% |
| 1976 | +16.0% |
| 1980 | −3.4% |
| 1984 | −20.5% |
| 1988 | +9.2% |
| 1992 | +13.4% |
| 1996 | +15.7% |
| 2000 | −2.9% |
| 2004 | −21.3% |
| 2008 | −30.6% |
| 2012 | −30.3% |
| 2016 | −44.1% |
| 2020 | −46.3% |
| 2024 | −49.7% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 1 House · 38 Senate · 4 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | R | 29.7%2,459 | 70.3%5,808 | 8,267 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+27.3
Presidential vote · 2024R+49.7
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 22 points more Democratic.
12,704 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+163 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −607 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $41,303 in average income, against $55,685 for residents who stayed — 26% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+38.2 on average — 12 points more Democratic-leaning than Seminole County, OK itself (R+49.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Pottawatomie County, OK136R+47.4
- Oklahoma County, OK63R+1.7
- Hughes County, OK58R+62.5
- Pontotoc County, OK38R+46.6
- Cleveland County, OK30R+14.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Pottawatomie County, OK132
- Oklahoma County, OK65
- Hughes County, OK53
- Pontotoc County, OK44
- Cleveland County, OK39
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −74 |
| 2012 | −20 |
| 2013 | +39 |
| 2014 | −52 |
| 2015 | +121 |
| 2016 | −280 |
| 2017 | −291 |
| 2018 | −290 |
| 2019 | −214 |
| 2021 | +167 |
| 2022 | +68 |
| 2023 | +197 |
| 2024 | −141 |
| 2025 | +163 |
Seminole County, home to the Seminole Nation of Oklahoma, delivered an R+49.7 margin in the 2024 presidential race despite a Native American population that has historically produced more competitive local results.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 56.8 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 49.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 49.7 points.
A population of 23,494, a 62% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $48,062 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Haskell County and Latimer County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Haskell County
Oklahoma
93.3twin score
median incomecollege share2000–2008 trajectory≠ elasticity
Latimer County
Oklahoma
92.4twin score
median income2000–2008 trajectorycollege share≠ elasticity
Mayes County
Oklahoma
92.0twin score
elasticity% Evangelical2000–2008 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Seminole County, Oklahoma. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/40133/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Seminole County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Seminole County, Oklahoma vote in 2024?
In 2024, Seminole County, Oklahoma voted Republican by 49.7 points (R+49.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 8,044 votes cast, 1,951 went Democratic and 5,951 went Republican.
When did Seminole County, Oklahoma last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Seminole County, Oklahoma voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Seminole County, Oklahoma?
Seminole County, Oklahoma has a population of 23,494 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Seminole County, Oklahoma?
Median household income in Seminole County, Oklahoma is $48,062 — below the national median of $80,734. The Oklahoma state median is $65,039.
What is the political history of Seminole County, Oklahoma?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Seminole County, Oklahoma from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 14 went Republican.