- Lead
- 10,932
- Total
- 18,108
- vs nation
- R+58.9
- Turnout
- 55.2%
Delaware County, OK
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 55.2% of 32,881 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 10,085
- Total
- 17,245
- vs nation
- R+62.9
- Turnout
- 51.4%
- Lead
- 8,515
- Total
- 15,716
- vs nation
- R+56.3
- Turnout
- 49.1%
- Lead
- 5,884
- Total
- 14,276
- vs nation
- R+45.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,192
- Total
- 15,362
- vs nation
- R+41.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,426
- Total
- 15,608
- vs nation
- R+25.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,104
- Total
- 13,353
- vs nation
- R+16.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 136
- Total
- 11,939
- vs nation
- R+9.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+60.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 41,2792024 5-year
- Median household income
- $56,6762024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 62.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+43.0 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60.4 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Trinity County, TX · twin score 88.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 55.2%18,163 participants ÷ 32,881 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +9.5 ptsMidterm-resilient, low base
- Drop-off versus state
- -5.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 45.8%–46.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 15,843 | 32,238 | 49.1% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 13,257 | 32,923 | 40.3% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 17,272 | 33,619 | 51.4% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 13,557 | 32,341 | 41.9% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 18,163 | 32,881 | 55.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
39 precincts · 18,108 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -210007210007 | 428 | 1,532 | 33 | 1,993 | 21.5% | 76.9% | R+55.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -210009210009 | 336 | 1,353 | 19 | 1,708 | 19.7% | 79.2% | R+59.5 |
| Precinct -210006210006 | 308 | 1,281 | 23 | 1,612 | 19.1% | 79.5% | R+60.4 |
| Precinct -210022210022 | 284 | 1,190 | 16 | 1,490 | 19.1% | 79.9% | R+60.8 |
| Precinct -210005210005 | 315 | 1,113 | 22 | 1,450 | 21.7% | 76.8% | R+55.0 |
| Precinct -210001210001 | 236 | 1,026 | 14 | 1,276 | 18.5% | 80.4% | R+61.9 |
| Precinct -210003210003 | 283 | 893 | 11 | 1,187 | 23.8% | 75.2% | R+51.4 |
| Precinct -210019210019 | 161 | 996 | 17 | 1,174 | 13.7% | 84.8% | R+71.1 |
| Precinct -210016210016 | 234 | 785 | 12 | 1,031 | 22.7% | 76.1% | R+53.4 |
| Precinct -210023210023 | 131 | 709 | 11 | 851 | 15.4% | 83.3% | R+67.9 |
| Precinct -210015210015 | 155 | 627 | 7 | 789 | 19.6% | 79.5% | R+59.8 |
| Precinct -210012210012 | 146 | 548 | 10 | 704 | 20.7% | 77.8% | R+57.1 |
| Precinct -210004210004 | 109 | 505 | 4 | 618 | 17.6% | 81.7% | R+64.1 |
| Precinct -210014210014 | 84 | 469 | 3 | 556 | 15.1% | 84.4% | R+69.2 |
| Precinct -210018210018 | 78 | 454 | 10 | 542 | 14.4% | 83.8% | R+69.4 |
| Precinct -210002210002 | 106 | 390 | 7 | 503 | 21.1% | 77.5% | R+56.5 |
| Precinct -210008210008 | 51 | 384 | 4 | 439 | 11.6% | 87.5% | R+75.9 |
| Precinct -210020210020 | 30 | 152 | 3 | 185 | 16.2% | 82.2% | R+65.9 |
| Voting District 140_400411 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1140_4004111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1240_4004112 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1440_4004114 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1540_4004115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1640_4004116 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1740_4004117 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1840_4004118 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1940_4004119 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 240_400412 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2040_4004120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2140_4004121 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2240_4004122 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2340_4004123 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 340_400413 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 440_400414 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 540_400415 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 640_400416 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 740_400417 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 840_400418 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 940_400419 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1908–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1908 | +21.1% |
| 1912 | +13.2% |
| 1916 | +17.0% |
| 1920 | −22.3% |
| 1924 | +4.7% |
| 1928 | −20.6% |
| 1932 | +43.0% |
| 1936 | +12.7% |
| 1940 | +1.7% |
| 1944 | −5.6% |
| 1948 | +14.8% |
| 1952 | −11.7% |
| 1956 | −6.9% |
| 1960 | −22.9% |
| 1964 | +14.9% |
| 1968 | −15.5% |
| 1972 | −42.9% |
| 1976 | +14.8% |
| 1980 | −10.8% |
| 1984 | −27.5% |
| 1988 | −3.5% |
| 1992 | +0.0% |
| 1996 | −1.1% |
| 2000 | −15.8% |
| 2004 | −28.4% |
| 2008 | −33.8% |
| 2012 | −41.2% |
| 2016 | −54.2% |
| 2020 | −58.5% |
| 2024 | −60.4% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 16 points more Democratic.
28,301 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+489 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +5,425 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $63,698 in average income, against $63,680 for residents who stayed. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+38.5 on average — 22 points more Democratic-leaning than Delaware County, OK itself (R+60.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Benton County, AR184R+27.0
- Ottawa County, OK120R+53.5
- Tulsa County, OK100R+15.2
- Mayes County, OK71R+57.5
- Cherokee County, OK39R+32.6
- Adair County, OK37R+63.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Benton County, AR159
- Ottawa County, OK123
- Mayes County, OK63
- Tulsa County, OK56
- Jasper County, MO53
- Adair County, OK40
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +163 |
| 2012 | +167 |
| 2013 | +86 |
| 2014 | +170 |
| 2015 | +91 |
| 2016 | +354 |
| 2017 | +814 |
| 2018 | +301 |
| 2019 | +370 |
| 2021 | +969 |
| 2022 | +816 |
| 2023 | +455 |
| 2024 | +180 |
| 2025 | +489 |
Delaware County, nestled in the Ozark foothills along the Arkansas border, has shifted decisively toward Republican candidates over the past two decades, posting a 60-point presidential margin in 2024 despite a modest population base of roughly 37,000 residents.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 43.0 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 60.4 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 60.4 points.
A population of 41,279, a 62% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $56,676 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Trinity County and Cherokee County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Delaware County, Oklahoma. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/40041/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.