- Lead
- 2,323
- Total
- 11,919
- vs nation
- R+18.0
Arkansas 81st State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 2,755
- Total
- 12,267
- vs nation
- R+26.9
- Lead
- 3,467
- Total
- 11,227
- vs nation
- R+33.0
- Lead
- 3,003
- Total
- 10,387
- vs nation
- R+32.8
- Lead
- 2,664
- Total
- 9,902
- vs nation
- R+34.2
- Lead
- 999
- Total
- 9,024
- vs nation
- R+8.6
- Lead
- 198
- Total
- 7,460
- vs nation
- R+3.2
- Lead
- 1,599
- Total
- 7,000
- vs nation
- D+14.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+19.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 30,5252024 5-year
- Population density
- 775 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 39.4 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $79,9922024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 64.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 15.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 13.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+91.6 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+30.9 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 161, GA · twin score 94.2
presidential history
Party record book
Arkansas 81st State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
95.1%
579 votes · D+91.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 91.3%
Republican
Donald Trump2016
63.8%
7,159 votes · R+30.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 63.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
4,653votes
39.0% of the vote · R+19.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 4,608 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
7,363votes
60.0% of the vote · R+22.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · 7,159 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+95.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+69.9 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +85.8 pts
Republican
John McCain2008
+34.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+26.9 · U.S. D+7.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +33.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 29.5%3,990 | 70.5%9,546 | 13,536 |
| 2020 | R | 28.6%3,893 | 71.4%9,725 | 13,618 |
With a 19.5-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, this rural Arkansas district ranks among the state's most one-sided, reflecting the broader demographic shift toward single-party dominance in small-town and agricultural communities across the region.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 91.6 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 30.9 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.0 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 19.5 points.
A population of 30,525, a 64% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,992 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 161 and State House District 92.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Arkansas 81st State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/05081/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.