- Lead
- 4,950
- Total
- 16,441
- vs nation
- R+28.6
Arkansas 78th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 4,982
- Total
- 15,820
- vs nation
- R+35.9
- Lead
- 4,950
- Total
- 13,099
- vs nation
- R+39.9
- Lead
- 5,438
- Total
- 13,327
- vs nation
- R+44.7
- Lead
- 5,309
- Total
- 13,227
- vs nation
- R+47.4
- Lead
- 4,503
- Total
- 12,294
- vs nation
- R+34.2
- Lead
- 3,484
- Total
- 10,105
- vs nation
- R+35.0
- Lead
- 1,510
- Total
- 9,231
- vs nation
- R+24.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+30.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 29,3582024 5-year
- Population density
- 132 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 223 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $109,0522024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 82.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+52.4 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60.1 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 45, AL · twin score 96.0
presidential history
Party record book
Arkansas 78th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
76.0%
499 votes · D+52.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 72.7%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
79.9%
5,753 votes · R+60.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 76.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
5,546votes
33.7% of the vote · R+30.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 5,260 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
10,496votes
63.8% of the vote · R+30.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 10,242 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
+28.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+46.3 · U.S. D+17.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · +28.1 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+58.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+35.7 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +47.4 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 45.9%5,295 | 54.1%6,241 | 11,536 |
| 2020 | R | 47.0%5,976 | 53.0%6,727 | 12,703 |
Its Republican presidential margin was R+30.1 in 2024 and R+40.1 in 2008. About 101,000 residents lived here, with White alone at 52.5% in the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 52.4 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 60.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.4 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 30.1 points.
A population of 29,358, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $109,052 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 45 and State House District 48.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Arkansas 78th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/05078/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.