- Lead
- 17,749
- Total
- 36,955
- vs nation
- R+46.6
Arkansas 29th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 17,200
- Total
- 36,135
- vs nation
- R+52.1
- Lead
- 15,771
- Total
- 31,892
- vs nation
- R+51.5
- Lead
- 13,972
- Total
- 29,844
- vs nation
- R+50.7
- Lead
- 12,829
- Total
- 29,478
- vs nation
- R+50.8
- Lead
- 9,763
- Total
- 28,748
- vs nation
- R+31.5
- Lead
- 7,040
- Total
- 24,376
- vs nation
- R+29.4
- Lead
- 1,730
- Total
- 21,249
- vs nation
- R+16.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+48.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 85,0672024 5-year
- Population density
- 80 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,064 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $67,6722024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 80.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+51.5 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+63.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 12, OK · twin score 98.2
presidential history
Party record book
Arkansas 29th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
75.1%
3,381 votes · D+51.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 69.7%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
81.3%
9,764 votes · R+63.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 76.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
9,343votes
32.5% of the vote · R+34.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 9,166 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
26,915votes
72.8% of the vote · R+48.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 26,232 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+36.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+11.4 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · +33.8 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+52.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+47.6 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +51.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 25.4%7,173 | 74.6%21,090 | 28,263 |
| 2020 | R | 26.5%8,369 | 73.5%23,177 | 31,546 |
Arkansas 29th State Senate District sits in the Mid-South. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 51.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 63.2 points in 1972. The 2024 margin was 48.0 points.
A population of 85,067, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,672 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 12 and State Senate District 10.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Arkansas 29th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/05029/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.