- Lead
- 8,551
- Total
- 33,233
- vs nation
- D+27.2
Arkansas 30th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 9,605
- Total
- 34,227
- vs nation
- D+23.6
- Lead
- 5,955
- Total
- 27,910
- vs nation
- D+19.2
- Lead
- 3,877
- Total
- 24,525
- vs nation
- D+12.0
- Lead
- 4,715
- Total
- 24,041
- vs nation
- D+12.3
- Lead
- 4,611
- Total
- 22,547
- vs nation
- D+22.9
- Lead
- 3,355
- Total
- 18,075
- vs nation
- D+18.0
- Lead
- 5,177
- Total
- 16,304
- vs nation
- D+23.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+25.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 84,1402024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,666 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 50.5 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $60,0812024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 74.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+74.3 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+11.0 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 16, OK · twin score 93.4
presidential history
Party record book
Arkansas 30th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
86.2%
2,469 votes · D+74.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · 84.3%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
55.3%
4,335 votes · R+11.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 51.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
21,357votes
62.4% of the vote · D+28.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 20,297 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
11,752votes
34.3% of the vote · D+28.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 11,746 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+75.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+69.7 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +75.4 pts
Republican
Richard Nixon1960
−3.2pts R vs U.S.
Place D+3.4 · U.S. D+0.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1968 · −6.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 42.5%12,685 | 57.5%17,174 | 29,859 |
| 2020 | R | 44.4%13,072 | 55.6%16,387 | 29,459 |
Arkansas 30th State Senate District sits in the Mid-South. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 74.3 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 11.0 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 25.7 points.
A population of 84,140, a 75% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,081 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 16 and State Senate District 13.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Arkansas 30th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/05030/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.