- Lead
- 4,185
- Total
- 24,970
- vs nation
- R+15.3
Arkansas 31st State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 3,502
- Total
- 24,546
- vs nation
- R+18.7
- Lead
- 4,139
- Total
- 20,463
- vs nation
- R+22.3
- Lead
- 4,867
- Total
- 18,621
- vs nation
- R+30.0
- Lead
- 4,205
- Total
- 18,004
- vs nation
- R+30.6
- Lead
- 3,911
- Total
- 16,946
- vs nation
- R+20.6
- Lead
- 3,160
- Total
- 13,532
- vs nation
- R+23.9
- Lead
- 889
- Total
- 11,389
- vs nation
- R+16.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+16.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 84,6472024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,273 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 66.5 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $69,4202024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 42.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 38.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+44.4 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50.3 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 34, OK · twin score 90.8
presidential history
Party record book
Arkansas 31st State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
71.1%
1,195 votes · D+44.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · 68.1%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
75.0%
5,052 votes · R+50.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 72.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
10,139votes
41.3% of the vote · R+14.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 10,001 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
14,186votes
56.8% of the vote · R+16.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 13,641 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+43.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+37.0 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +33.7 pts
Republican
Richard Nixon1960
+38.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+38.6 · U.S. D+0.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1988 · +31.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Arkansas 31st State Senate District sits in the Mid-South. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 44.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 50.3 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 16.8 points.
A population of 84,647, a 43% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,420 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 34 and State Senate District 32.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Arkansas 31st State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/05031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.