- Lead
- 13,103
- Total
- 26,468
- vs nation
- R+48.0
Arkansas 19th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 12,208
- Total
- 28,588
- vs nation
- R+47.2
- Lead
- 9,465
- Total
- 28,274
- vs nation
- R+35.6
- Lead
- 6,507
- Total
- 28,032
- vs nation
- R+27.1
- Lead
- 5,690
- Total
- 28,667
- vs nation
- R+27.1
- Lead
- 307
- Total
- 27,967
- vs nation
- D+1.4
- Lead
- 1,546
- Total
- 24,864
- vs nation
- D+5.7
- Lead
- 6,454
- Total
- 25,420
- vs nation
- D+16.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+49.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 87,8702024 5-year
- Population density
- 43 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2,056 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $52,6022024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 72.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 19.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+85.6 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+52.5 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 3, MS · twin score 96.8
presidential history
Party record book
Arkansas 19th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
92.2%
10,549 votes · D+85.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 89.1%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
75.8%
20,706 votes · R+52.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 73.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
18,946votes
64.7% of the vote · D+29.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1992 · 17,266 votes
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
20,706votes
75.8% of the vote · R+52.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 19,965 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+68.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+62.7 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +68.0 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2024
+48.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+49.5 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +47.2 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 25.5%6,290 | 74.5%18,354 | 24,644 |
| 2020 | R | 0.0%0 | 100.0%24,599 | 24,599 |
Arkansas 19th State Senate District sits in the Mid-South. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 85.6 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 52.5 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 49.5 points.
A population of 87,870, a 72% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,602 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 3 and State Senate District 8.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Arkansas 19th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/05019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.