- Lead
- 22,421
- Total
- 35,877
- vs nation
- R+61.0
Arkansas 18th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 21,578
- Total
- 35,842
- vs nation
- R+64.7
- Lead
- 18,933
- Total
- 31,473
- vs nation
- R+62.2
- Lead
- 16,810
- Total
- 30,911
- vs nation
- R+58.2
- Lead
- 14,940
- Total
- 31,193
- vs nation
- R+55.2
- Lead
- 9,232
- Total
- 30,724
- vs nation
- R+27.6
- Lead
- 5,738
- Total
- 25,818
- vs nation
- R+22.7
- Lead
- 1,494
- Total
- 24,307
- vs nation
- R+2.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+62.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 86,9192024 5-year
- Population density
- 69 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,257 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $55,1892024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+75.9 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62.5 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 26, AR · twin score 98.0
presidential history
Party record book
Arkansas 18th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Samuel J. Tilden1876
87.9%
1,690 votes · D+75.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 87.6%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
80.2%
28,765 votes · R+62.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · 78.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
13,236votes
70.6% of the vote · D+41.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1992 · 12,067 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
28,765votes
80.2% of the vote · R+62.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 28,274 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+73.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+67.5 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +58.2 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+64.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+60.2 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +62.2 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 19.3%6,537 | 80.7%27,257 | 33,794 |
Its Republican presidential margin was R+62.5 in 2024 and R+47.9 in 2008. Evangelical Protestant adherents were the largest religious group at 51.7% in the 2020 US Religion Census.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 75.9 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 62.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 62.5 points.
A population of 86,919, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $55,189 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 26 and State Senate District 29.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Arkansas 18th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/05018/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.