- Lead
- 1,567
- Total
- 7,657
- vs nation
- R+19.0
- Turnout
- 46.3%
Clark County, AR
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 46.3% of 16,625 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,178
- Total
- 8,395
- vs nation
- R+18.5
- Turnout
- 47.5%
- Lead
- 784
- Total
- 8,220
- vs nation
- R+11.6
- Turnout
- 47.9%
- Lead
- 532
- Total
- 8,409
- vs nation
- R+10.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 341
- Total
- 9,094
- vs nation
- R+11.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 846
- Total
- 9,211
- vs nation
- D+11.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 885
- Total
- 8,626
- vs nation
- D+9.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,169
- Total
- 8,122
- vs nation
- D+30.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+20.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 21,1252024 5-year
- Median household income
- $52,0342024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 67.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 23.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+88.2 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+20.6 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Drew County, AR · twin score 91.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 46.3%7,696 participants ÷ 16,625 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +10.7 ptsPersistently low turnout
- Drop-off versus state
- -4.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 35.6%–36.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 8,593 | 17,946 | 47.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 6,801 | 17,707 | 38.4% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 8,431 | 17,764 | 47.5% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 6,258 | 17,012 | 36.8% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 7,696 | 16,625 | 46.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
20 precincts · 7,657 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Arkadelphia Ward 2Arkadelphia Ward 2 | 503 | 383 | 27 | 913 | 55.1% | 41.9% | D+13.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Arkadelphia Ward 5Arkadelphia Ward 5 | 439 | 423 | 27 | 889 | 49.4% | 47.6% | D+1.8 |
| Precinct -North East CountyNorth East County | 161 | 525 | 13 | 699 | 23.0% | 75.1% | R+52.1 |
| Precinct -North CountyNorth County | 77 | 451 | 12 | 540 | 14.3% | 83.5% | R+69.3 |
| Precinct -Gurdon Wards 1, 2, 3, 4, 5Gurdon Wards 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 | 236 | 279 | 7 | 522 | 45.2% | 53.4% | R+8.2 |
| Precinct -Arkadelphia Ward 4Arkadelphia Ward 4 | 346 | 146 | 17 | 509 | 68.0% | 28.7% | D+39.3 |
| Precinct -Central 1Central 1 | 116 | 375 | 10 | 501 | 23.2% | 74.9% | R+51.7 |
| Precinct -East County 1East County 1 | 229 | 240 | 12 | 481 | 47.6% | 49.9% | R+2.3 |
| Precinct -Arkadelphia Ward 3Arkadelphia Ward 3 | 220 | 131 | 4 | 355 | 62.0% | 36.9% | D+25.1 |
| Precinct -West County 1West County 1 | 114 | 189 | 6 | 309 | 36.9% | 61.2% | R+24.3 |
| Precinct -Gum Springs Inside/Outside 1Gum Springs Inside/Outside 1 | 77 | 188 | 6 | 271 | 28.4% | 69.4% | R+41.0 |
| Precinct -Curtis 1Curtis 1 | 64 | 197 | 4 | 265 | 24.2% | 74.3% | R+50.2 |
| Precinct -Gurdon Gen 1Gurdon Gen 1 | 55 | 204 | 6 | 265 | 20.8% | 77.0% | R+56.2 |
| Precinct -Arkadelphia Ward 1Arkadelphia Ward 1 | 128 | 109 | 10 | 247 | 51.8% | 44.1% | D+7.7 |
| Precinct -South County 1South County 1 | 42 | 199 | 3 | 244 | 17.2% | 81.6% | R+64.3 |
| Precinct -Caddo Valley Wards 1,2,3Caddo Valley Wards 1,2,3 | 82 | 139 | 5 | 226 | 36.3% | 61.5% | R+25.2 |
| Precinct -Amity CityAmity City | 18 | 186 | 3 | 207 | 8.7% | 89.9% | R+81.2 |
| Precinct -Hollywood 1Hollywood 1 | 33 | 112 | 0 | 145 | 22.8% | 77.2% | R+54.5 |
| Precinct -Okolona City 1Okolona City 1 | 16 | 26 | 0 | 42 | 38.1% | 61.9% | R+23.8 |
| Precinct -Whelen Springs 1Whelen Springs 1 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 27 | 11.1% | 88.9% | R+77.8 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +17.1% |
| 1896 | +38.1% |
| 1900 | +22.6% |
| 1904 | −0.6% |
| 1908 | +8.6% |
| 1912 | +39.1% |
| 1916 | +48.9% |
| 1920 | +19.1% |
| 1924 | +38.7% |
| 1928 | +33.0% |
| 1932 | +88.2% |
| 1936 | +81.8% |
| 1940 | +72.9% |
| 1944 | +51.3% |
| 1948 | +54.5% |
| 1952 | +27.6% |
| 1956 | +17.3% |
| 1960 | +38.1% |
| 1964 | +37.2% |
| 1968 | +15.3% |
| 1972 | −20.6% |
| 1976 | +56.9% |
| 1980 | +36.9% |
| 1984 | +5.1% |
| 1988 | +15.8% |
| 1992 | +37.7% |
| 1996 | +39.0% |
| 2000 | +10.3% |
| 2004 | +9.2% |
| 2008 | −3.7% |
| 2012 | −6.3% |
| 2016 | −9.5% |
| 2020 | −14.0% |
| 2024 | −20.5% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 36.0%2,698 | 64.0%4,790 | 7,488 |
| 2020 | R | 38.7%3,137 | 61.3%4,967 | 8,104 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 12,079 |
| 2020 | 12,302 |
| 2022 | 12,407 |
| 2024 | 12,839 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+48 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −812 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $39,020 in average income, against $60,342 for residents who stayed — 35% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+35.0 on average — 14 points more Republican-leaning than Clark County, AR itself (R+20.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Garland County, AR70R+36.3
- Hot Spring County, AR52R+52.2
- Pulaski County, AR44D+22.1
- Pike County, AR40R+73.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Garland County, AR64
- Hot Spring County, AR51
- Pulaski County, AR43
- Saline County, AR41
- Pike County, AR33
- Nevada County, AR20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +19 |
| 2012 | −190 |
| 2013 | −160 |
| 2014 | −42 |
| 2015 | −36 |
| 2016 | +50 |
| 2017 | −395 |
| 2018 | +122 |
| 2019 | +14 |
| 2021 | −113 |
| 2022 | −77 |
| 2023 | −161 |
| 2024 | +109 |
| 2025 | +48 |
Clark County has trended steadily Republican in recent presidential cycles, posting a 20-point margin in 2024, yet its county seat of Arkadelphia anchors a small college-town demographic that keeps local races occasionally competitive.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 88.2 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 20.6 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 20.5 points.
A population of 21,125, a 67% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,034 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Drew County and Mississippi County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Clark County, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/05019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.