- Lead
- 6,437
- Total
- 9,591
- vs nation
- R+65.6
- Turnout
- 59.6%
Tippah County, MS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 59.6% of 16,096 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 6,117
- Total
- 10,102
- vs nation
- R+65.0
- Turnout
- 62.3%
- Lead
- 5,398
- Total
- 9,260
- vs nation
- R+60.4
- Turnout
- 57.7%
- Lead
- 4,400
- Total
- 9,164
- vs nation
- R+51.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,314
- Total
- 9,725
- vs nation
- R+51.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,158
- Total
- 9,275
- vs nation
- R+31.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,473
- Total
- 8,403
- vs nation
- R+29.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 257
- Total
- 6,942
- vs nation
- R+12.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+67.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 21,5232024 5-year
- Median household income
- $52,5422024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 75.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 14.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+97.7 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+73.5 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- West Carroll Parish, LA · twin score 96.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 59.6%9,591 participants ÷ 16,096 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +27.9 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +0.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 31.7%–38.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 9,260 | 16,044 | 57.7% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 7,015 | 16,270 | 43.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 10,257 | 16,465 | 62.3% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 5,583 | 16,244 | 34.4% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 9,591 | 16,096 | 59.6% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
45 precincts · 9,591 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -North RipleyNorth Ripley | 256 | 844 | 3 | 1,103 | 23.2% | 76.5% | R+53.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Southwest RipleySouthwest Ripley | 241 | 604 | 7 | 852 | 28.3% | 70.9% | R+42.6 |
| Precinct -Blue MountainBlue Mountain | 297 | 543 | 5 | 845 | 35.1% | 64.3% | R+29.1 |
| Precinct -RipleyRipley | 223 | 550 | 4 | 777 | 28.7% | 70.8% | R+42.1 |
| Precinct -FalknerFalkner | 73 | 623 | 3 | 699 | 10.4% | 89.1% | R+78.7 |
| Precinct -ChalybeateChalybeate | 34 | 539 | 3 | 576 | 5.9% | 93.6% | R+87.7 |
| Precinct -DumasDumas | 24 | 506 | 2 | 532 | 4.5% | 95.1% | R+90.6 |
| Precinct -WalnutWalnut | 71 | 438 | 8 | 517 | 13.7% | 84.7% | R+71.0 |
| Precinct -ChapmanChapman | 25 | 462 | 2 | 489 | 5.1% | 94.5% | R+89.4 |
| Precinct -New HopeNew Hope | 26 | 413 | 3 | 442 | 5.9% | 93.4% | R+87.6 |
| Precinct -PeoplesPeoples | 45 | 375 | 3 | 423 | 10.6% | 88.7% | R+78.0 |
| Precinct -PalmerPalmer | 32 | 385 | 5 | 422 | 7.6% | 91.2% | R+83.6 |
| Precinct -Dry CreekDry Creek | 19 | 272 | 1 | 292 | 6.5% | 93.2% | R+86.6 |
| Precinct -TiplersvilleTiplersville | 101 | 177 | 1 | 279 | 36.2% | 63.4% | R+27.2 |
| Precinct -ThreeforksThreeforks | 15 | 256 | 2 | 273 | 5.5% | 93.8% | R+88.3 |
| Precinct -Pine GrovePine Grove | 5 | 219 | 0 | 224 | 2.2% | 97.8% | R+95.5 |
| Precinct -North FalknerNorth Falkner | 40 | 165 | 5 | 210 | 19.0% | 78.6% | R+59.5 |
| Precinct -MitchellMitchell | 8 | 183 | 1 | 192 | 4.2% | 95.3% | R+91.1 |
| Precinct -Spout SpringsSpout Springs | 6 | 176 | 2 | 184 | 3.3% | 95.7% | R+92.4 |
| Precinct -Shady GroveShady Grove | 3 | 131 | 0 | 134 | 2.2% | 97.8% | R+95.5 |
| Precinct -BrownfieldBrownfield | 3 | 123 | 0 | 126 | 2.4% | 97.6% | R+95.2 |
| Blue Mountain Voting District28_28139301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Brownfield Voting District28_28139102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chalybeate Voting District28_28139104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chapman Voting District28_28139501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clarysville Voting District28_28139304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cotton Plant Voting District28_28139302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Dry Creek Voting District28_28139404 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Dumas Voting District28_28139403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Falkner Voting District28_28139201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mitchell Voting District28_28139401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| New Hope Voting District28_28139303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Falkner Voting District28_28139106 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Ripley Voting District28_28139202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Palmer Voting District28_28139305 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Peoples Voting District28_28139506 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pine Grove Voting District28_28139402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Providence Voting District28_28139507 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ripley Voting District28_28139508 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| S.W. Ripley Voting District28_28139405 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Shady Grove Voting District28_28139306 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Spout Springs Voting District28_28139503 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Threeforks Voting District28_28139101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tiplersville Voting District28_28139105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Walnut Voting District28_28139103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +64.3% |
| 1896 | +81.8% |
| 1900 | +78.4% |
| 1904 | +86.0% |
| 1908 | +89.2% |
| 1912 | +87.0% |
| 1916 | +89.3% |
| 1920 | +59.1% |
| 1924 | +84.7% |
| 1928 | +66.0% |
| 1932 | +94.7% |
| 1936 | +97.7% |
| 1940 | +94.5% |
| 1944 | +90.5% |
| 1948 | +16.7% |
| 1952 | +69.8% |
| 1956 | +77.2% |
| 1960 | +50.2% |
| 1964 | −43.6% |
| 1968 | +1.3% |
| 1972 | −73.5% |
| 1976 | +37.8% |
| 1980 | +7.3% |
| 1984 | −29.3% |
| 1988 | −21.5% |
| 1992 | −11.1% |
| 1996 | −3.7% |
| 2000 | −29.4% |
| 2004 | −34.0% |
| 2008 | −44.4% |
| 2012 | −48.0% |
| 2016 | −58.3% |
| 2020 | −60.6% |
| 2024 | −67.1% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 14,672 |
| 2018 | 14,863 |
| 2020 | 15,048 |
| 2022 | 14,553 |
| 2024 | 14,978 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−33 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −502 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $40,390 in average income, against $60,262 for residents who stayed — 33% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+51.0 on average — 16 points more Democratic-leaning than Tippah County, MS itself (R+67.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Alcorn County, MS59R+68.3
- Union County, MS55R+70.1
- Prentiss County, MS31R+66.0
- Benton County, MS28R+31.4
- Lee County, MS28R+38.8
- Shelby County, TN27D+25.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Union County, MS64
- Alcorn County, MS46
- Lee County, MS29
- Prentiss County, MS28
- Benton County, MS24
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −168 |
| 2012 | −133 |
| 2013 | +80 |
| 2014 | −26 |
| 2015 | +27 |
| 2016 | +45 |
| 2017 | −89 |
| 2018 | +69 |
| 2019 | −44 |
| 2021 | −66 |
| 2022 | −97 |
| 2023 | −119 |
| 2024 | +52 |
| 2025 | −33 |
Tippah County, tucked into Mississippi's northeastern corner, recorded a 67-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, reflecting the heavily Republican alignment that has solidified across rural north Mississippi over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 97.7 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 73.5 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 67.1 points.
A population of 21,523, a 76% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,542 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of West Carroll Parish and Prentiss County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Tippah County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28139/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.