- Lead
- 7,047
- Total
- 10,256
- vs nation
- R+67.2
Mississippi 4th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 6,721
- Total
- 10,794
- vs nation
- R+66.7
- Lead
- 5,903
- Total
- 9,869
- vs nation
- R+61.9
- Lead
- 4,855
- Total
- 9,751
- vs nation
- R+53.6
- Lead
- 4,747
- Total
- 10,302
- vs nation
- R+53.4
- Lead
- 3,463
- Total
- 9,781
- vs nation
- R+32.9
- Lead
- 2,723
- Total
- 8,843
- vs nation
- R+31.3
- Lead
- 395
- Total
- 7,288
- vs nation
- R+13.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+68.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 23,1222024 5-year
- Population density
- 44 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 522 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $51,9242024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 77.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 14.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+97.4 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+74.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 3, MS · twin score 98.8
presidential history
Party record book
Mississippi 4th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
98.7%
1,672 votes · D+97.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 97.3%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
86.3%
4,203 votes · R+74.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 84.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
4,390votes
66.8% of the vote · D+35.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1980 · 3,990 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
8,700votes
80.6% of the vote · R+62.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 8,619 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+108.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+83.6 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +105.2 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+67.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+44.7 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +67.2 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Its Republican presidential margin was R+68.7 in 2024 and R+46.1 in 2008. Evangelical Protestant adherents were the largest religious group at 59.2% in the 2020 US Religion Census.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 97.4 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 74.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 68.7 points.
A population of 23,122, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $51,924 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 3 and State House District 15.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Mississippi 4th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/28004/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.