- Lead
- 7,143
- Total
- 9,050
- vs nation
- R+77.5
- Turnout
- 62.9%
Tishomingo County, MS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 62.9% of 14,398 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 6,874
- Total
- 9,138
- vs nation
- R+79.7
- Turnout
- 62.0%
- Lead
- 6,167
- Total
- 8,371
- vs nation
- R+75.8
- Turnout
- 56.2%
- Lead
- 4,490
- Total
- 7,936
- vs nation
- R+60.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,287
- Total
- 8,419
- vs nation
- R+58.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,533
- Total
- 8,338
- vs nation
- R+27.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,375
- Total
- 6,992
- vs nation
- R+20.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 57
- Total
- 6,109
- vs nation
- R+9.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+78.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 18,6602024 5-year
- Median household income
- $53,0402024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+86.9 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+79.8 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Rhea County, TN · twin score 97.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 62.9%9,050 participants ÷ 14,398 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +28.9 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +1.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 33.9%–40.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 8,371 | 14,895 | 56.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 6,128 | 14,928 | 41.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 9,248 | 14,928 | 62.0% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 4,770 | 14,446 | 33.0% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 9,050 | 14,398 | 62.9% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
32 precincts · 9,050 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -IukaIuka | 180 | 1,427 | 18 | 1,625 | 11.1% | 87.8% | R+76.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -East IukaEast Iuka | 195 | 1,195 | 10 | 1,400 | 13.9% | 85.4% | R+71.4 |
| Precinct -TishomingoTishomingo | 185 | 992 | 6 | 1,183 | 15.6% | 83.9% | R+68.2 |
| Precinct -BelmontBelmont | 64 | 1,031 | 10 | 1,105 | 5.8% | 93.3% | R+87.5 |
| Precinct -BurnsvilleBurnsville | 70 | 724 | 8 | 802 | 8.7% | 90.3% | R+81.5 |
| Precinct -GoldenGolden | 28 | 509 | 1 | 538 | 5.2% | 94.6% | R+89.4 |
| Precinct -North BurnsvilleNorth Burnsville | 42 | 461 | 1 | 504 | 8.3% | 91.5% | R+83.1 |
| Precinct -Coles MillColes Mill | 35 | 387 | 1 | 423 | 8.3% | 91.5% | R+83.2 |
| Precinct -SpringhillSpringhill | 55 | 301 | 3 | 359 | 15.3% | 83.8% | R+68.5 |
| Precinct -Hubbard SalemHubbard Salem | 16 | 295 | 5 | 316 | 5.1% | 93.4% | R+88.3 |
| Precinct -DennisDennis | 11 | 294 | 2 | 307 | 3.6% | 95.8% | R+92.2 |
| Precinct -PadenPaden | 29 | 237 | 0 | 266 | 10.9% | 89.1% | R+78.2 |
| Precinct -Cotton SpringsCotton Springs | 11 | 211 | 0 | 222 | 5.0% | 95.0% | R+90.1 |
| Belmont Voting District28_28141502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Burnsville Voting District28_28141204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Coles Mill Voting District28_28141201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cotton Springs Voting District28_28141501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Dennis Voting District28_28141404 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East Belmont Voting District28_28141503 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East Iuka Voting District28_28141301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Golden Voting District28_28141504 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hubbard-Salem Voting District28_28141101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Luka Voting District28_28141103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Belmont Voting District28_28141405 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Burnsville Voting District28_28141202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Iuka Voting District28_28141102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Paden Voting District28_28141401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Spring Hill Voting District28_28141302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tishomingo Voting District28_28141403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Burnsville Voting District28_28141203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Iuka Voting District28_28141303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Tishomingo Voting District28_28141402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +74.4% |
| 1896 | +85.1% |
| 1900 | +70.2% |
| 1904 | +79.3% |
| 1908 | +64.6% |
| 1912 | +70.4% |
| 1916 | +69.9% |
| 1920 | +36.3% |
| 1924 | +61.8% |
| 1928 | +24.5% |
| 1932 | +86.9% |
| 1936 | +86.2% |
| 1940 | +80.0% |
| 1944 | +65.3% |
| 1948 | +32.5% |
| 1952 | +40.3% |
| 1956 | +48.9% |
| 1960 | +28.3% |
| 1964 | −32.9% |
| 1968 | −4.7% |
| 1972 | −79.8% |
| 1976 | +30.2% |
| 1980 | +29.2% |
| 1984 | −10.1% |
| 1988 | −3.8% |
| 1992 | +6.4% |
| 1996 | −0.9% |
| 2000 | −19.7% |
| 2004 | −30.4% |
| 2008 | −50.9% |
| 2012 | −56.6% |
| 2016 | −73.7% |
| 2020 | −75.2% |
| 2024 | −78.9% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 13,016 |
| 2018 | 13,136 |
| 2020 | 13,505 |
| 2022 | 13,495 |
| 2024 | 14,136 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+148 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +1,024 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $48,821 in average income, against $60,396 for residents who stayed — 19% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+66.8 on average — 12 points more Democratic-leaning than Tishomingo County, MS itself (R+78.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Alcorn County, MS60R+68.3
- Franklin County, AL33R+73.2
- Itawamba County, MS32R+80.0
- Prentiss County, MS29R+66.0
- Lee County, MS25R+38.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Alcorn County, MS75
- Franklin County, AL36
- Itawamba County, MS31
- Lee County, MS30
- Prentiss County, MS30
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +81 |
| 2012 | +76 |
| 2013 | −20 |
| 2014 | +19 |
| 2015 | +146 |
| 2016 | +53 |
| 2017 | +148 |
| 2018 | −73 |
| 2019 | +86 |
| 2021 | +85 |
| 2022 | +85 |
| 2023 | +30 |
| 2024 | +160 |
| 2025 | +148 |
Tishomingo sits in Mississippi's northeast corner along the Tennessee River, where a predominantly rural, non-Hispanic white population has delivered Republican presidential margins exceeding 75 points in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 86.9 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 79.8 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 78.9 points.
A population of 18,660, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,040 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Rhea County and Cherokee County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Tishomingo County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28141/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.