- Lead
- 8,496
- Total
- 10,621
- vs nation
- R+78.5
- Turnout
- 56.3%
Itawamba County, MS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 56.3% of 18,869 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 8,189
- Total
- 10,819
- vs nation
- R+80.1
- Turnout
- 59.3%
- Lead
- 7,353
- Total
- 9,737
- vs nation
- R+77.6
- Turnout
- 53.6%
- Lead
- 5,687
- Total
- 9,318
- vs nation
- R+64.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,579
- Total
- 9,951
- vs nation
- R+63.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,031
- Total
- 9,714
- vs nation
- R+39.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,430
- Total
- 8,564
- vs nation
- R+28.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 503
- Total
- 7,237
- vs nation
- R+15.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+80.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 24,0362024 5-year
- Median household income
- $55,5462024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+95.6 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+80.0 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Brantley County, GA · twin score 95.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 56.3%10,621 participants ÷ 18,869 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +28.2 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +0.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 28.1%–34.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 9,737 | 18,155 | 53.6% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 6,885 | 18,207 | 37.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 10,845 | 18,294 | 59.3% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 5,831 | 18,781 | 31.0% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 10,621 | 18,869 | 56.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
60 precincts · 10,621 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -American LegionAmerican Legion | 148 | 972 | 6 | 1,126 | 13.1% | 86.3% | R+73.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -ClayClay | 40 | 702 | 10 | 752 | 5.3% | 93.4% | R+88.0 |
| Precinct -KirkvilleKirkville | 23 | 661 | 2 | 686 | 3.4% | 96.4% | R+93.0 |
| Precinct -MantachieMantachie | 40 | 595 | 2 | 637 | 6.3% | 93.4% | R+87.1 |
| Precinct -DorseyDorsey | 42 | 580 | 2 | 624 | 6.7% | 92.9% | R+86.2 |
| Precinct -IcdcIcdc | 123 | 480 | 6 | 609 | 20.2% | 78.8% | R+58.6 |
| Precinct -Banner-PinevilleBanner-Pineville | 32 | 543 | 4 | 579 | 5.5% | 93.8% | R+88.3 |
| Precinct -ArmoryArmory | 56 | 431 | 7 | 494 | 11.3% | 87.2% | R+75.9 |
| Precinct -Fawn GroveFawn Grove | 27 | 435 | 1 | 463 | 5.8% | 94.0% | R+88.1 |
| Precinct -Salem-CopelandSalem-Copeland | 17 | 411 | 1 | 429 | 4.0% | 95.8% | R+91.8 |
| Precinct -TildenTilden | 55 | 372 | 2 | 429 | 12.8% | 86.7% | R+73.9 |
| Precinct -TremontTremont | 23 | 373 | 3 | 399 | 5.8% | 93.5% | R+87.7 |
| Precinct -EvergreenEvergreen | 99 | 295 | 4 | 398 | 24.9% | 74.1% | R+49.2 |
| Precinct -GreenwoodGreenwood | 106 | 273 | 7 | 386 | 27.5% | 70.7% | R+43.3 |
| Precinct -CentervilleCenterville | 21 | 345 | 2 | 368 | 5.7% | 93.8% | R+88.0 |
| Precinct -RyanRyan | 28 | 283 | 1 | 312 | 9.0% | 90.7% | R+81.7 |
| Precinct -CarolinaCarolina | 29 | 229 | 4 | 262 | 11.1% | 87.4% | R+76.3 |
| Precinct -CourthouseCourthouse | 25 | 186 | 1 | 212 | 11.8% | 87.7% | R+75.9 |
| Precinct -RatliffRatliff | 5 | 195 | 0 | 200 | 2.5% | 97.5% | R+95.0 |
| Precinct -James CreekJames Creek | 5 | 176 | 2 | 183 | 2.7% | 96.2% | R+93.4 |
| Precinct -BoundsBounds | 16 | 165 | 0 | 181 | 8.8% | 91.2% | R+82.3 |
| Precinct -CardsvilleCardsville | 11 | 162 | 1 | 174 | 6.3% | 93.1% | R+86.8 |
| Precinct -Mantachie-3DMantachie-3D | 12 | 150 | 2 | 164 | 7.3% | 91.5% | R+84.1 |
| Precinct -FriendshipFriendship | 17 | 123 | 0 | 140 | 12.1% | 87.9% | R+75.7 |
| Precinct -Fairview-PleasantonFairview-Pleasanton | 18 | 116 | 0 | 134 | 13.4% | 86.6% | R+73.1 |
| Precinct -Friendship 4DFriendship 4D | 3 | 93 | 0 | 96 | 3.1% | 96.9% | R+93.8 |
| Precinct -Friendship 1DFriendship 1D | 3 | 90 | 0 | 93 | 3.2% | 96.8% | R+93.5 |
| Precinct -Friendship 5DFriendship 5D | 3 | 87 | 1 | 91 | 3.3% | 95.6% | R+92.3 |
| Armory Voting District28_28057502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bigbee Fork Voting District28_28057306 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bounds Voting District28_28057504 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cardsville Voting District28_28057307 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Carolina Voting District28_28057305 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Centerville Voting District28_28057205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clay Voting District28_28057501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Copeland Voting District28_28057101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Dorsey Voting District28_28057301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Evergreen Voting District28_28057304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fawn Grove Voting District28_28057206 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Friendship Voting District28_28057302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fulton Dist.1 Courthouse28_28057104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fulton Dist.4 Am. Legion28_28057401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fulton Dist.5 Firestation28_28057505 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Greenwood Voting District28_28057303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hampton Voting District28_28057404 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| James Creek Voting District28_28057405 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kirkville Voting District28_28057202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mantachie Voting District28_28057204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mt. Gilead Voting District28_28057503 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| New Salem Voting District28_28057409 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Oakland Voting District28_28057408 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ozark Voting District28_28057201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pineville Voting District28_28057102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pleasanton Voting District28_28057103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ratliff Voting District28_28057203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ryan Voting District28_28057105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tilden Voting District28_28057402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tremont Voting District28_28057406 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Turon Voting District28_28057403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wigginton Voting District28_28057407 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +69.2% |
| 1896 | +93.0% |
| 1900 | +75.2% |
| 1904 | +86.1% |
| 1908 | +80.2% |
| 1912 | +87.0% |
| 1916 | +76.8% |
| 1920 | +67.4% |
| 1924 | +86.9% |
| 1928 | +44.1% |
| 1932 | +95.6% |
| 1936 | +93.8% |
| 1940 | +85.8% |
| 1944 | +76.1% |
| 1948 | +33.7% |
| 1952 | +60.2% |
| 1956 | +75.5% |
| 1960 | +50.0% |
| 1964 | −31.0% |
| 1968 | −2.5% |
| 1972 | −78.9% |
| 1976 | +34.7% |
| 1980 | +24.8% |
| 1984 | −26.3% |
| 1988 | −18.1% |
| 1992 | −5.8% |
| 1996 | −7.0% |
| 2000 | −28.4% |
| 2004 | −41.5% |
| 2008 | −56.1% |
| 2012 | −61.0% |
| 2016 | −75.5% |
| 2020 | −75.7% |
| 2024 | −80.0% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 18,199 |
| 2018 | 16,303 |
| 2020 | 16,593 |
| 2022 | 16,033 |
| 2024 | 16,420 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+28 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +620 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $40,387 in average income, against $63,346 for residents who stayed — 36% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+47.8 on average — 32 points more Democratic-leaning than Itawamba County, MS itself (R+80.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Lee County, MS199R+38.8
- Monroe County, MS62R+35.9
- Tishomingo County, MS31R+78.9
- Franklin County, AL25R+73.2
- Prentiss County, MS25R+66.0
- Union County, MS21R+70.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Lee County, MS182
- Monroe County, MS60
- Tishomingo County, MS32
- Franklin County, AL26
- Pontotoc County, MS26
- Prentiss County, MS22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −113 |
| 2012 | −38 |
| 2013 | +91 |
| 2014 | +18 |
| 2015 | +171 |
| 2016 | −97 |
| 2017 | +126 |
| 2018 | −35 |
| 2019 | −80 |
| 2021 | +186 |
| 2022 | +152 |
| 2023 | +126 |
| 2024 | +85 |
| 2025 | +28 |
Itawamba County, tucked against Alabama in northeast Mississippi, recorded an R+80 presidential margin in 2024, placing it among the state's most one-sided jurisdictions. Its population of roughly 22,000 is predominantly rural and white, typical of the Appalachian-adjacent hill country.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 95.6 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 80.0 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 80.0 points.
A population of 24,036, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $55,546 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Brantley County and Berrien County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Itawamba County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28057/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.