HarrisDemocratic16.1%3,982TrumpRepublican82.8%20,438KennedyIndependent0.4%101
R+66.7- Lead
- 16,456
- Total
- 24,671
- vs nation
- R+65.2
- Turnout
- 56.2%
Akashiccounty
Pearl River County, MS
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 56.2% of 43,906 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic17.3%4,148TrumpRepublican81.5%19,595JorgensenLibertarian0.7%160
R+64.3- Lead
- 15,447
- Total
- 24,033
- vs nation
- R+68.7
- Turnout
- 57.3%
ClintonDemocratic16.5%3,604TrumpRepublican81.3%17,782JohnsonLibertarian1.4%315
R+64.8- Lead
- 14,178
- Total
- 21,883
- vs nation
- R+66.9
- Turnout
- 52.3%
ObamaDemocratic19.6%4,366RomneyRepublican79.0%17,549OtherAll other candidates1.4%309
R+59.3- Lead
- 13,183
- Total
- 22,224
- vs nation
- R+63.2
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic19.2%4,320McCainRepublican79.7%17,881OtherAll other candidates1.1%242
R+60.4- Lead
- 13,561
- Total
- 22,443
- vs nation
- R+67.7
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic22.9%4,472BushRepublican76.4%14,896OtherAll other candidates0.6%119
R+53.5- Lead
- 10,424
- Total
- 19,487
- vs nation
- R+51.0
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic28.0%4,611BushRepublican70.2%11,575NaderGreen1.0%173
R+42.3- Lead
- 6,964
- Total
- 16,477
- vs nation
- R+42.8
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic34.0%4,892DoleRepublican57.1%8,212PerotReform8.3%1,190
R+23.1- Lead
- 3,320
- Total
- 14,377
- vs nation
- R+31.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+66.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 57,4582024 5-year
- Median household income
- $58,1352024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 12.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+94.4 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+77.4 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Panola County, TX · twin score 92.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 56.2%24,671 participants ÷ 43,906 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +26.9 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 29.3%–35.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 21,883 | 41,864 | 52.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 15,835 | 42,292 | 37.4% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 24,498 | 42,759 | 57.3% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 13,207 | 43,413 | 30.4% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 24,671 | 43,906 | 56.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
61 precincts · 24,671 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Pic/Hawl/Nh 5Pic/Hawl/Nh 5 | 416 | 2,557 | 25 | 2,998 | 13.9% | 85.3% | R+71.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Carriere 5Carriere 5 | 166 | 1,536 | 10 | 1,712 | 9.7% | 89.7% | R+80.0 |
| Precinct -Picayune 2Picayune 2 | 237 | 1,264 | 23 | 1,524 | 15.6% | 82.9% | R+67.4 |
| Precinct -Ceasar 4Ceasar 4 | 133 | 1,361 | 11 | 1,505 | 8.8% | 90.4% | R+81.6 |
| Precinct -Nicholson 4Nicholson 4 | 183 | 1,151 | 7 | 1,341 | 13.6% | 85.8% | R+72.2 |
| Precinct -Poplarville 2Poplarville 2 | 151 | 1,059 | 14 | 1,224 | 12.3% | 86.5% | R+74.2 |
| Precinct -Picayune 1 SouthsidePicayune 1 Southside | 865 | 292 | 19 | 1,176 | 73.6% | 24.8% | D+48.7 |
| Precinct -Carriere 3Carriere 3 | 102 | 1,016 | 17 | 1,135 | 9.0% | 89.5% | R+80.5 |
| Precinct -Poplarville 3Poplarville 3 | 128 | 944 | 17 | 1,089 | 11.8% | 86.7% | R+74.9 |
| Precinct -Salem 4Salem 4 | 88 | 917 | 7 | 1,012 | 8.7% | 90.6% | R+81.9 |
| Precinct -Henleyfield 2Henleyfield 2 | 99 | 826 | 9 | 934 | 10.6% | 88.4% | R+77.8 |
| Precinct -Gumpond/Hickory Grove 3Gumpond/Hickory Grove 3 | 79 | 843 | 9 | 931 | 8.5% | 90.5% | R+82.1 |
| Precinct -Steep Hollow 3Steep Hollow 3 | 63 | 841 | 7 | 911 | 6.9% | 92.3% | R+85.4 |
| Precinct -Picayune 1 EastsidePicayune 1 Eastside | 393 | 479 | 15 | 887 | 44.3% | 54.0% | R+9.7 |
| Precinct -Mcneill 3Mcneill 3 | 68 | 788 | 3 | 859 | 7.9% | 91.7% | R+83.8 |
| Precinct -Pine Grove 4Pine Grove 4 | 60 | 735 | 7 | 802 | 7.5% | 91.6% | R+84.2 |
| Precinct -Sycamore 5Sycamore 5 | 94 | 703 | 4 | 801 | 11.7% | 87.8% | R+76.0 |
| Precinct -Mill Creek 2Mill Creek 2 | 58 | 620 | 4 | 682 | 8.5% | 90.9% | R+82.4 |
| Precinct -Crossroads 2Crossroads 2 | 53 | 536 | 9 | 598 | 8.9% | 89.6% | R+80.8 |
| Precinct -Poplarville 1Poplarville 1 | 159 | 303 | 9 | 471 | 33.8% | 64.3% | R+30.6 |
| Precinct -Carriere 1Carriere 1 | 83 | 281 | 2 | 366 | 22.7% | 76.8% | R+54.1 |
| Precinct -Whitesand 1Whitesand 1 | 173 | 174 | 5 | 352 | 49.1% | 49.4% | R+0.3 |
| Precinct -Progress 3Progress 3 | 17 | 296 | 5 | 318 | 5.3% | 93.1% | R+87.7 |
| Precinct -Derby 1Derby 1 | 70 | 238 | 4 | 312 | 22.4% | 76.3% | R+53.8 |
| Precinct -Amackertown 2Amackertown 2 | 14 | 260 | 5 | 279 | 5.0% | 93.2% | R+88.2 |
| Precinct -Springhill 2Springhill 2 | 20 | 228 | 3 | 251 | 8.0% | 90.8% | R+82.9 |
| Precinct -Springhill 3Springhill 3 | 10 | 190 | 1 | 201 | 5.0% | 94.5% | R+89.6 |
| Anchor Lake/West Union Voting District28_28109535 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Buck Branch Voting District28_28109240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Byrd Line Voting District28_28109260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Caesar Voting District28_28109320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Carriere Voting District28_28109520 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Derby Voting District28_28109130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ford's Creek Voting District28_28109250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gum Pond Voting District28_28109390 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Henleyfield Voting District28_28109280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hickory Grove Voting District28_28109380 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hide-A-Way North Hills Voting District28_28109540 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McNeill 3 Voting District28_28109359 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McNeill 5 Voting District28_28109510 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mill Creek Voting District28_28109210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Nicholson Voting District28_28109420 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Oak Hill Voting District28_28109230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ozona Voting District28_28109310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Picayune 1 East Voting District28_28109140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Picayune 1 South Voting District28_28109160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Picayune 2 Voting District28_28109270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Picayune 4 East Voting District28_28109450 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Picayune 4 West Voting District28_28109440 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Picayune 5 Voting District28_28109550 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pine Grove Voting District28_28109410 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Poplarville 1 Voting District28_28109150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Poplarville 2 Voting District28_28109220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Poplarville 3 Voting District28_28109360 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Progress Voting District28_28109350 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Salem Voting District28_28109430 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Savannah Voting District28_28109330 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Steep Hollow Voting District28_28109340 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sycamore Voting District28_28109525 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Whitesand 1 Voting District28_28109110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Whitesand 2 Voting District28_28109290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +94.4% |
| 1896 | +74.8% |
| 1900 | +65.6% |
| 1904 | +92.0% |
| 1908 | +85.9% |
| 1912 | +90.7% |
| 1916 | +87.3% |
| 1920 | +79.2% |
| 1924 | +61.8% |
| 1928 | −2.2% |
| 1932 | +86.9% |
| 1936 | +86.7% |
| 1940 | +91.3% |
| 1944 | +92.4% |
| 1948 | +4.7% |
| 1952 | +8.4% |
| 1956 | +5.1% |
| 1960 | +17.9% |
| 1964 | −69.0% |
| 1968 | −4.5% |
| 1972 | −77.4% |
| 1976 | +7.2% |
| 1980 | −14.8% |
| 1984 | −52.6% |
| 1988 | −43.8% |
| 1992 | −20.6% |
| 1996 | −23.1% |
| 2000 | −42.3% |
| 2004 | −53.5% |
| 2008 | −60.4% |
| 2012 | −59.3% |
| 2016 | −64.8% |
| 2020 | −64.3% |
| 2024 | −66.7% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 4 Senate special · 9 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 38,558 |
| 2018 | 39,768 |
| 2020 | 39,232 |
| 2022 | 38,268 |
| 2024 | 40,726 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+384 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +3,737 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $53,381 in average income, against $63,591 for residents who stayed — 16% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+34.9 on average — 32 points more Democratic-leaning than Pearl River County, MS itself (R+66.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- St. Tammany Parish, LA298R+43.8
- Hancock County, MS117R+58.7
- Jefferson Parish, LA84R+13.0
- Harrison County, MS76R+28.9
- Lamar County, MS58R+48.8
- St. Bernard Parish, LA43R+29.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- St. Tammany Parish, LA163
- Hancock County, MS107
- Harrison County, MS76
- Lamar County, MS57
- Forrest County, MS55
- Jefferson Parish, LA39
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −333 |
| 2012 | −562 |
| 2013 | −133 |
| 2014 | +276 |
| 2015 | −121 |
| 2016 | +177 |
| 2017 | +257 |
| 2018 | +219 |
| 2019 | +315 |
| 2021 | +626 |
| 2022 | +991 |
| 2023 | +849 |
| 2024 | +792 |
| 2025 | +384 |
Pearl River County, anchored by Poplarville in the longleaf pine belt, recorded an R+66.7 margin in 2024 — among the widest in a state already known for sharp partisan geographic sorting.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 94.4 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 77.4 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 66.7 points.
A population of 57,458, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,135 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Panola County and Beauregard Parish.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Panola County
Texas
92.3twin score
elasticity2008–2016 trajectory≠ Italian ancestry
Beauregard Parish
Louisiana
91.0twin score
elasticity2008–2016 trajectory≠ Italian ancestry
Hardin County
Texas
90.0twin score
2008–2016 trajectoryelasticity≠ American ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Pearl River County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28109/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Pearl River County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Pearl River County, Mississippi vote in 2024?
In 2024, Pearl River County, Mississippi voted Republican by 66.7 points (R+66.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 24,671 votes cast, 3,982 went Democratic and 20,438 went Republican.
When did Pearl River County, Mississippi last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Pearl River County, Mississippi voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Pearl River County, Mississippi?
Pearl River County, Mississippi has a population of 57,458 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Pearl River County, Mississippi?
Median household income in Pearl River County, Mississippi is $58,135 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.
What is the political history of Pearl River County, Mississippi?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Pearl River County, Mississippi from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 15 went Republican.