akashic
1876–2024
Copiah County, Mississippi
Copiah County·Mississippi

Copiah County votes the way the country votes.

A majority-Black county that has trended sharply toward Republican presidential margins

18762024·38 elections
Copiah County, Mississippi · Jerrye & Roy Klotz, MD · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+6
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
27,855
2024 ACS
Most similar
Pike County
MS · similarity 0.87
18 precincts · 11,665 votes cast
Trump · R+6
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−6.1%
5,4266,13411,665
2020D
+1.7%
6,4706,25012,883
2016D
+4.9%
6,7416,10312,982
2012D
+10.4%
7,7496,28214,123
2008D
+7.0%
7,7106,70114,502
2004R
−12.4%
4,9616,37411,393
2000R
−7.5%
4,8455,64310,587
1996D
+3.1%
4,4154,1388,950
1992R
−2.1%
4,3974,6009,449
1988R
−9.9%
4,1755,1009,334
1984R
−11.7%
4,5915,80610,416
1980D
+10.4%
5,5174,46110,140
1976D
+1.8%
4,2674,1088,646
1972R
−49.1%
1,8035,4987,520
1968D
+24.1%
2,7247048,379
1964R
−89.9%
2394,5064,745
1960D
+3.7%
8967613,614
1956D
+38.3%
1,2703872,304
1952D
+14.6%
2,0501,5273,577
1948D
+2.7%
89192,631
1944D
+93.2%
2,409852,494
1940D
+95.9%
2,335492,384
1936D
+96.3%
2,397452,443
1932D
+97.5%
2,371282,403
1928D
+88.9%
2,7331612,894
1924D
+96.0%
2,087432,130
1920D
+90.2%
1,300601,374
1916D
+96.9%
1,486201,513
1912D
+94.0%
1,234101,302
1908
No data
1904
No data
1900D
+89.0%
1,314541,416
1896D
+91.1%
1,588631,674
1892D
+64.2%
1,041171,594
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
40.4%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
35.8%
Methodist
10.1%
Other Christian
6.5%
Catholic & Orthodox
1.5%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.8%
Mainline Protestant
0.6%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 44.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Copiah County's population is roughly 55% Black, yet it returned an R+6.1 presidential margin in 2024 — a combination that makes it a closely watched indicator of realignment patterns in southwest Mississippi's rural electorate.

The Democratic margin in Copiah County has rarely exceeded ninety-eight points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded ninety points. 2024 delivered the county to the Republican candidate by six points.

Copiah County's demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most counties. A 43% non-Hispanic-white share, a 23% poverty rate, and a median household income of $49,089 — all within the broad national range. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Pike County and Yazoo County.