HarrisDemocratic46.5%5,426TrumpRepublican52.6%6,134KennedyIndependent0.4%50
R+6.1- Lead
- 708
- Total
- 11,665
- vs nation
- R+4.6
- Turnout
- 54.7%
Akashiccounty
Copiah County, MS
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 54.7% of 21,333 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic50.2%6,470TrumpRepublican48.5%6,250JorgensenLibertarian0.5%58
D+1.7- Lead
- 220
- Total
- 12,883
- vs nation
- R+2.7
- Turnout
- 61.2%
ClintonDemocratic51.9%6,741TrumpRepublican47.0%6,103JohnsonLibertarian0.6%73
D+4.9- Lead
- 638
- Total
- 12,982
- vs nation
- D+2.8
- Turnout
- 60.1%
ObamaDemocratic54.9%7,749RomneyRepublican44.5%6,282JohnsonLibertarian0.6%84
D+10.4- Lead
- 1,467
- Total
- 14,123
- vs nation
- D+6.5
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic53.2%7,710McCainRepublican46.2%6,701OtherAll other candidates0.6%91
D+7.0- Lead
- 1,009
- Total
- 14,502
- vs nation
- R+0.3
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic43.5%4,961BushRepublican55.9%6,374OtherAll other candidates0.5%58
R+12.4- Lead
- 1,413
- Total
- 11,393
- vs nation
- R+9.9
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic45.8%4,845BushRepublican53.3%5,643NaderGreen0.5%52
R+7.5- Lead
- 798
- Total
- 10,587
- vs nation
- R+8.1
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic49.3%4,415DoleRepublican46.2%4,138PerotReform4.2%375
D+3.1- Lead
- 277
- Total
- 8,950
- vs nation
- R+5.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+6.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 27,8552024 5-year
- Median household income
- $49,0892024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 43.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 50.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+97.5 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+89.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Madison Parish, LA · twin score 96.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 54.7%11,665 participants ÷ 21,333 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +29.7 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +1.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 25.0%–34.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 12,982 | 21,613 | 60.1% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 10,634 | 21,701 | 49.0% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 13,230 | 21,613 | 61.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 6,857 | 21,732 | 31.6% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 11,665 | 21,333 | 54.7% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
37 precincts · 11,665 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Crystal Springs EastCrystal Springs East | 529 | 1,102 | 15 | 1,646 | 32.1% | 67.0% | R+34.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -GallmanGallman | 648 | 656 | 6 | 1,310 | 49.5% | 50.1% | R+0.6 |
| Precinct -Crystal Springs SouthCrystal Springs South | 839 | 440 | 12 | 1,291 | 65.0% | 34.1% | D+30.9 |
| Precinct -Hazlehurst WestHazlehurst West | 763 | 236 | 11 | 1,010 | 75.5% | 23.4% | D+52.2 |
| Precinct -CenterpointCenterpoint | 275 | 576 | 7 | 858 | 32.1% | 67.1% | R+35.1 |
| Precinct -Crystal Springs WestCrystal Springs West | 268 | 524 | 6 | 798 | 33.6% | 65.7% | R+32.1 |
| Precinct -Hazlehurst EastHazlehurst East | 669 | 70 | 11 | 750 | 89.2% | 9.3% | D+79.9 |
| Precinct -BeauregardBeauregard | 120 | 457 | 4 | 581 | 20.7% | 78.7% | R+58.0 |
| Precinct -WessonWesson | 76 | 473 | 3 | 552 | 13.8% | 85.7% | R+71.9 |
| Precinct -MartinsvilleMartinsville | 222 | 284 | 5 | 511 | 43.4% | 55.6% | R+12.1 |
| Precinct -Crystal Springs NorthCrystal Springs North | 352 | 85 | 9 | 446 | 78.9% | 19.1% | D+59.9 |
| Precinct -Shady GroveShady Grove | 94 | 316 | 4 | 414 | 22.7% | 76.3% | R+53.6 |
| Precinct -Stronghope UnionStronghope Union | 24 | 364 | 2 | 390 | 6.2% | 93.3% | R+87.2 |
| Precinct -Georgetown SouthGeorgetown South | 118 | 204 | 0 | 322 | 36.6% | 63.4% | R+26.7 |
| Precinct -Hazlehurst SouthHazlehurst South | 162 | 103 | 3 | 268 | 60.4% | 38.4% | D+22.0 |
| Precinct -Georgetown NorthGeorgetown North | 135 | 84 | 5 | 224 | 60.3% | 37.5% | D+22.8 |
| Precinct -DentvilleDentville | 69 | 131 | 0 | 200 | 34.5% | 65.5% | R+31.0 |
| Precinct -CarpenterCarpenter | 63 | 29 | 2 | 94 | 67.0% | 30.9% | D+36.2 |
| Beauregard Voting District28_28029204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Carpenter Voting District28_28029401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Centerpoint Voting District28_28029302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Crystal Springs East Voting District28_28029501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Crystal Springs North Voting District28_28029404 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Crystal Springs South Voting District28_28029403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Crystal Springs West Voting District28_28029502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Dentville Voting District28_28029402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gallman Voting District28_28029101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Georgetown North Voting District28_28029103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Georgetown South Voting District28_28029201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hazlehurst East Voting District28_28029104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hazlehurst North Voting District28_28029304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hazlehurst South Voting District28_28029206 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hazlehurst West Voting District28_28029303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Martinsville Voting District28_28029301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Shady Grove Voting District28_28029205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Strong Hope-Union Voting District28_28029202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wesson Voting District28_28029203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +64.2% |
| 1896 | +91.1% |
| 1900 | +89.0% |
| 1904 | +90.3% |
| 1908 | +94.1% |
| 1912 | +94.0% |
| 1916 | +96.9% |
| 1920 | +90.2% |
| 1924 | +96.0% |
| 1928 | +88.9% |
| 1932 | +97.5% |
| 1936 | +96.3% |
| 1940 | +95.9% |
| 1944 | +93.2% |
| 1948 | +2.7% |
| 1952 | +14.6% |
| 1956 | +38.3% |
| 1960 | +3.7% |
| 1964 | −89.9% |
| 1968 | +24.1% |
| 1972 | −49.1% |
| 1976 | +1.8% |
| 1980 | +10.4% |
| 1984 | −11.7% |
| 1988 | −9.9% |
| 1992 | −2.1% |
| 1996 | +3.1% |
| 2000 | −7.5% |
| 2004 | −12.4% |
| 2008 | +7.0% |
| 2012 | +10.4% |
| 2016 | +4.9% |
| 2020 | +1.7% |
| 2024 | −6.1% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 4 Senate special · 9 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 20,799 |
| 2018 | 20,546 |
| 2020 | 20,503 |
| 2022 | 19,918 |
| 2024 | 20,098 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−209 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −2,812 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $56,460 in average income, against $51,499 for residents who stayed — 10% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+5.1 on average — 1.0 point more Democratic-leaning than Copiah County, MS itself (R+6.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Hinds County, MS123D+46.1
- Lincoln County, MS85R+45.4
- Rankin County, MS62R+47.1
- Madison County, MS21R+17.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Hinds County, MS128
- Lincoln County, MS77
- Rankin County, MS66
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −263 |
| 2012 | −308 |
| 2013 | −149 |
| 2014 | −48 |
| 2015 | −148 |
| 2016 | −259 |
| 2017 | −144 |
| 2018 | −139 |
| 2019 | −374 |
| 2021 | −270 |
| 2022 | −156 |
| 2023 | −99 |
| 2024 | −246 |
| 2025 | −209 |
Copiah County's population is roughly 55% Black, yet it returned an R+6.1 presidential margin in 2024 — a combination that makes it a closely watched indicator of realignment patterns in southwest Mississippi's rural electorate.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 97.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 89.9 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 7.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.1 points.
A population of 27,855, a 43% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $49,089 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Madison Parish and Yazoo County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Madison Parish
Louisiana
96.5twin score
% Black2012–2016 trajectoryelasticity≠ Irish ancestry
Yazoo County
Mississippi
96.0twin score
% Black2012–2020 trajectory
Early County
Georgia
95.2twin score
% Blackelasticity% White≠ American ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Copiah County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28029/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Copiah County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Copiah County, Mississippi vote in 2024?
In 2024, Copiah County, Mississippi voted Republican by 6.1 points (R+6.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 11,665 votes cast, 5,426 went Democratic and 6,134 went Republican.
When did Copiah County, Mississippi last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Copiah County, Mississippi voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Copiah County, Mississippi?
Copiah County, Mississippi has a population of 27,855 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Copiah County, Mississippi?
Median household income in Copiah County, Mississippi is $49,089 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.
What is the political history of Copiah County, Mississippi?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Copiah County, Mississippi from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 23 went Democratic and 8 went Republican.