- Lead
- 1,591
- Total
- 9,766
- vs nation
- R+14.8
- Turnout
- 61.4%
Grenada County, MS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 61.4% of 15,899 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,347
- Total
- 10,911
- vs nation
- R+16.8
- Turnout
- 69.9%
- Lead
- 1,546
- Total
- 10,513
- vs nation
- R+16.8
- Turnout
- 64.2%
- Lead
- 698
- Total
- 11,335
- vs nation
- R+10.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,205
- Total
- 11,321
- vs nation
- R+17.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,692
- Total
- 10,111
- vs nation
- R+14.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 966
- Total
- 9,385
- vs nation
- R+10.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 125
- Total
- 9,455
- vs nation
- R+9.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+16.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 21,2172024 5-year
- Median household income
- $48,8042024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 50.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 44.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+98.0 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+91.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Winston County, MS · twin score 97.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 61.4%9,766 participants ÷ 15,899 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +31.9 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +4.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 29.5%–37.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 10,513 | 16,371 | 64.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 7,826 | 16,145 | 48.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 11,033 | 15,794 | 69.9% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 6,115 | 16,118 | 37.9% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 9,766 | 15,899 | 61.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
29 precincts · 9,766 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Box 1 Southside Church of ChristBox 1 Southside Church of Christ | 539 | 1,052 | 6 | 1,597 | 33.8% | 65.9% | R+32.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Box 5 EOC BuildingBox 5 EOC Building | 373 | 931 | 10 | 1,314 | 28.4% | 70.9% | R+42.5 |
| Precinct -Box 4 Taylor HallBox 4 Taylor Hall | 1,137 | 128 | 4 | 1,269 | 89.6% | 10.1% | D+79.5 |
| Precinct -Box 3 City AuditoriumBox 3 City Auditorium | 864 | 310 | 12 | 1,186 | 72.8% | 26.1% | D+46.7 |
| Precinct -Futheyville 1st PentecostFutheyville 1st Pentecost | 153 | 560 | 3 | 716 | 21.4% | 78.2% | R+56.8 |
| Precinct -Geeslin Friendship Bapt ChurchGeeslin Friendship Bapt Church | 114 | 580 | 0 | 694 | 16.4% | 83.6% | R+67.1 |
| Precinct -Holcomb Community CenterHolcomb Community Center | 150 | 522 | 5 | 677 | 22.2% | 77.1% | R+54.9 |
| Precinct -Gore Springs Comm CenterGore Springs Comm Center | 71 | 461 | 4 | 536 | 13.2% | 86.0% | R+72.8 |
| Precinct -Elliott Vol Fire StationElliott Vol Fire Station | 85 | 432 | 2 | 519 | 16.4% | 83.2% | R+66.9 |
| Precinct -Box 2 Grenada Co OfficeBox 2 Grenada Co Office | 227 | 237 | 6 | 470 | 48.3% | 50.4% | R+2.1 |
| Precinct -Pleasant Grove Commun CenPleasant Grove Commun Cen | 263 | 77 | 2 | 342 | 76.9% | 22.5% | D+54.4 |
| Precinct -Sweethome Hol # 2 Fire StatSweethome Hol # 2 Fire Stat | 78 | 259 | 1 | 338 | 23.1% | 76.6% | R+53.6 |
| Precinct -Mt. Nebo Young Water and SewerMt. Nebo Young Water and Sewer | 6 | 102 | 0 | 108 | 5.6% | 94.4% | R+88.9 |
| Elliott Voting District28_28043103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Futheyville Voting District28_28043203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Geeslin Voting District28_28043402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gore Springs Voting District28_28043202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grenada Box 1 Voting District28_28043101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grenada Box 2 Voting District28_28043201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grenada Box 3 Voting District28_28043301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grenada Box 4 Voting District28_28043401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grenada Box 5 Voting District28_28043501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hardy Voting District28_28043403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Holcomb Voting District28_28043502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mt. Nebo Voting District28_28043303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pleasant Grove Voting District28_28043304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Providence Voting District28_28043204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sweethome Voting District28_28043104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tie Plant Voting District28_28043102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +88.1% |
| 1896 | +91.0% |
| 1900 | +87.5% |
| 1904 | +93.9% |
| 1908 | +92.7% |
| 1912 | +94.1% |
| 1916 | +90.8% |
| 1920 | +94.2% |
| 1924 | +96.4% |
| 1928 | +93.3% |
| 1932 | +98.0% |
| 1936 | +97.9% |
| 1940 | +90.7% |
| 1944 | +84.3% |
| 1948 | +5.4% |
| 1952 | +8.0% |
| 1956 | +24.8% |
| 1960 | −6.5% |
| 1964 | −91.8% |
| 1968 | +18.8% |
| 1972 | −52.1% |
| 1976 | −4.4% |
| 1980 | +2.3% |
| 1984 | −21.8% |
| 1988 | −18.4% |
| 1992 | −5.4% |
| 1996 | −1.3% |
| 2000 | −10.3% |
| 2004 | −16.7% |
| 2008 | −10.6% |
| 2012 | −6.2% |
| 2016 | −14.7% |
| 2020 | −12.3% |
| 2024 | −16.3% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 17,188 |
| 2018 | 16,752 |
| 2020 | 17,263 |
| 2022 | 15,598 |
| 2024 | 15,896 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+17 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,126 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $38,060 in average income, against $61,832 for residents who stayed — 38% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+9.6 on average — 6.7 points more Democratic-leaning than Grenada County, MS itself (R+16.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Montgomery County, MS46R+20.8
- Yalobusha County, MS38R+20.9
- Leflore County, MS31D+38.4
- Carroll County, MS28R+44.3
- Tallahatchie County, MS28D+5.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Montgomery County, MS61
- Yalobusha County, MS39
- Carroll County, MS31
- DeSoto County, MS27
- Lafayette County, MS23
- Shelby County, TN20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −235 |
| 2012 | +9 |
| 2013 | −32 |
| 2014 | +90 |
| 2015 | −136 |
| 2016 | −202 |
| 2017 | −141 |
| 2018 | +5 |
| 2019 | −182 |
| 2021 | −124 |
| 2022 | −93 |
| 2023 | −7 |
| 2024 | −95 |
| 2025 | +17 |
Grenada County sits along the Yalobusha River in the hill country between the Delta and the Tennessee border, with a population that is roughly 40% Black — a demographic mix that has historically kept its presidential margins closer than many neighboring counties.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 98.0 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 91.8 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 16.3 points.
A population of 21,217, a 50% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $48,804 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Winston County and Clarke County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Grenada County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28043/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.