HarrisDemocratic57.4%5,486TrumpRepublican41.9%4,006OtherAll other candidates0.8%72
D+15.5- Lead
- 1,480
- Total
- 9,564
- vs nation
- D+16.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Mississippi 30th State House District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic59.2%6,602TrumpRepublican39.5%4,403OtherAll other candidates1.4%155
D+19.7- Lead
- 2,199
- Total
- 11,160
- vs nation
- D+15.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic59.5%6,685TrumpRepublican39.4%4,426OtherAll other candidates1.1%123
D+20.1- Lead
- 2,259
- Total
- 11,234
- vs nation
- D+18.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic63.7%7,990RomneyRepublican35.7%4,481OtherAll other candidates0.6%71
D+28.0- Lead
- 3,509
- Total
- 12,542
- vs nation
- D+24.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic61.6%7,938McCainRepublican37.8%4,862OtherAll other candidates0.6%78
D+23.9- Lead
- 3,076
- Total
- 12,878
- vs nation
- D+16.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic57.6%6,580BushRepublican41.6%4,757OtherAll other candidates0.8%86
D+16.0- Lead
- 1,823
- Total
- 11,423
- vs nation
- D+18.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic58.3%6,053BushRepublican40.7%4,226OtherAll other candidates1.0%100
D+17.6- Lead
- 1,827
- Total
- 10,379
- vs nation
- D+17.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic62.3%6,150DoleRepublican32.7%3,232OtherAll other candidates5.0%489
D+29.6- Lead
- 2,918
- Total
- 9,871
- vs nation
- D+21.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+15.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 24,8712024 5-year
- Population density
- 31 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 810 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $36,8552024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 32.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 63.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+99.1 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+84.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 85, MS · twin score 96.6
presidential history
Party record book
Mississippi 30th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
99.5%
2,570 votes · D+99.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 99.2%
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
92.4%
4,590 votes · R+84.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 71.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
7,990votes
63.7% of the vote · D+28.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 7,938 votes
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
5,353votes
71.5% of the vote · R+46.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 4,909 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+122.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+97.4 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +117.8 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+107.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+84.8 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · +22.8 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
DTracey RosebudState House · 30
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Mississippi House District 30 leans heavily Democratic in presidential contests, reflecting a dense urban electorate that has delivered double-digit margins consistently. Its compact geography within the Jackson metro shapes both its demographic profile and its voting patterns.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 99.1 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 84.8 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 15.5 points.
A population of 24,871, a 33% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $36,855 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 85 and State House District 126.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State House District 85
Mississippi
96.6twin score
% Blackelasticitymedian income≠ English ancestry
State House District 126
Georgia
96.2twin score
% Blackelasticity2012–2016 trajectory
State House District 31
Mississippi
96.0twin score
% Blackcollege share% White≠ American ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Mississippi 30th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/28030/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Mississippi at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Mississippi 30th State House District
counties it covers3
Frequently asked questions
How did Mississippi 30th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Mississippi 30th State House District voted Democratic by 15.5 points (D+15.5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 9,564 votes cast, 5,486 went Democratic and 4,006 went Republican.
When did Mississippi 30th State House District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Mississippi 30th State House District voted Republican was 1972.
How many people live in Mississippi 30th State House District?
Mississippi 30th State House District has a population of 24,871 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Mississippi 30th State House District?
Median household income in Mississippi 30th State House District is $36,855 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.
What is the political history of Mississippi 30th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Mississippi 30th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 33 went Democratic and 2 went Republican.