- Lead
- 1,453
- Total
- 3,468
- vs nation
- D+43.4
- Turnout
- 62.8%
Humphreys County, MS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 62.8% of 5,519 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,898
- Total
- 4,189
- vs nation
- D+40.9
- Turnout
- 72.9%
- Lead
- 1,920
- Total
- 4,253
- vs nation
- D+43.1
- Turnout
- 67.0%
- Lead
- 2,610
- Total
- 5,212
- vs nation
- D+46.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,172
- Total
- 5,126
- vs nation
- D+35.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,489
- Total
- 4,900
- vs nation
- D+32.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 660
- Total
- 3,944
- vs nation
- D+16.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 923
- Total
- 3,813
- vs nation
- D+15.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+41.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 7,3952024 5-year
- Population density
- 18 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 419 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $33,7312024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 20.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 78.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+99.8 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+91.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Sunflower County, MS · twin score 98.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 62.8%3,468 participants ÷ 5,519 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +19.6 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -8.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 43.2%–46.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 4,253 | 6,347 | 67.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 3,318 | 6,157 | 53.9% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 4,353 | 5,972 | 72.9% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 3,046 | 5,720 | 53.3% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 3,468 | 5,519 | 62.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Humphreys County, MS · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1920–2024 · 27 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Al Smith1928
99.9%
1,020 votes · D+99.8
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 99.4%
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
95.7%
1,863 votes · R+91.4
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 69.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
3,903votes
74.9% of the vote · D+50.1
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 3,634 votes
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
2,334votes
69.0% of the vote · R+42.6
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 2,309 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Smith1928
+117.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+99.8 · U.S. R+17.5
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +115.2 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+114.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+91.4 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · +19.5 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 7,091 |
| 2018 | 6,703 |
| 2020 | 6,860 |
| 2022 | 6,498 |
| 2024 | 6,517 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−86 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −2,080 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $33,515 in average income, against $41,111 for residents who stayed — 18% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Sunflower County, MS26
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −66 |
| 2012 | −165 |
| 2013 | −289 |
| 2014 | −195 |
| 2015 | −113 |
| 2016 | −138 |
| 2017 | −263 |
| 2018 | −88 |
| 2019 | −178 |
| 2021 | −123 |
| 2022 | −168 |
| 2023 | −105 |
| 2024 | −103 |
| 2025 | −86 |
Humphreys County in the Mississippi Delta posts some of the widest Democratic presidential margins in the state, driven by a majority-Black population shaped by the region's cotton agriculture history and persistent rural poverty.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 99.8 points in 1928 and a Republican high of 91.4 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 41.9 points.
A population of 7,395, a 20% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $33,731 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Sunflower County and Noxubee County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Humphreys County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28053/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.