- Lead
- 690
- Total
- 4,086
- vs nation
- D+18.4
- Turnout
- 57.5%
Kemper County, MS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 57.5% of 7,111 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,100
- Total
- 4,731
- vs nation
- D+18.8
- Turnout
- 60.3%
- Lead
- 1,049
- Total
- 4,639
- vs nation
- D+20.5
- Turnout
- 58.0%
- Lead
- 1,450
- Total
- 5,052
- vs nation
- D+24.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,321
- Total
- 5,223
- vs nation
- D+18.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 356
- Total
- 4,603
- vs nation
- D+10.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 396
- Total
- 4,261
- vs nation
- D+8.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 609
- Total
- 3,696
- vs nation
- D+8.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+16.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,7292024 5-year
- Median household income
- $46,4312024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 33.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 59.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+98.9 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+83.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Calhoun County, GA · twin score 97.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 57.5%4,086 participants ÷ 7,111 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +27.7 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -0.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 29.7%–35.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 4,639 | 8,005 | 58.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 3,435 | 8,158 | 42.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 4,811 | 7,984 | 60.3% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 2,387 | 7,335 | 32.5% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 4,086 | 7,111 | 57.5% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
26 precincts · 4,086 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -CourthouseCourthouse | 438 | 156 | 2 | 596 | 73.5% | 26.2% | D+47.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Little Rock Community CenterLittle Rock Community Center | 337 | 225 | 3 | 565 | 59.6% | 39.8% | D+19.8 |
| Precinct -PortervillePorterville | 417 | 124 | 1 | 542 | 76.9% | 22.9% | D+54.1 |
| Precinct -LibraryLibrary | 296 | 134 | 4 | 434 | 68.2% | 30.9% | D+37.3 |
| Precinct -PrestonPreston | 199 | 193 | 2 | 394 | 50.5% | 49.0% | D+1.5 |
| Precinct -DamascusDamascus | 96 | 255 | 0 | 351 | 27.4% | 72.6% | R+45.3 |
| Precinct -LynvilleLynville | 100 | 203 | 0 | 303 | 33.0% | 67.0% | R+34.0 |
| Precinct -Fort StephensFort Stephens | 50 | 213 | 0 | 263 | 19.0% | 81.0% | R+62.0 |
| Precinct -Mount NeboMount Nebo | 167 | 72 | 1 | 240 | 69.6% | 30.0% | D+39.6 |
| Precinct -Kellis StoreKellis Store | 140 | 60 | 0 | 200 | 70.0% | 30.0% | D+40.0 |
| Precinct -Kemper SpringsKemper Springs | 110 | 16 | 1 | 127 | 86.6% | 12.6% | D+74.0 |
| Precinct -Farmers MarketFarmers Market | 31 | 40 | 0 | 71 | 43.7% | 56.3% | R+12.7 |
| Band Building Voting District28_28069201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| City Hall And Fire Dpt. Voting District28_28069101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Courthouse Voting District28_28069501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Farmers Market Voting District28_28069102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ft. Stevens Voting District28_28069303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kellis Store Voting District28_28069403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kemper Springs Voting District28_28069204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lynville Voting District28_28069404 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lynwood Voting District28_28069302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mt. Nebo Fire Station Voting District28_28069502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Porterville Voting District28_28069202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -Scooba M-ZScooba A-LScooba M-ZScooba A-L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Preston Voting District28_28069406 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Satellite Voting District28_28069301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +70.7% |
| 1896 | +83.7% |
| 1900 | +71.4% |
| 1904 | +81.9% |
| 1908 | +78.3% |
| 1912 | +88.8% |
| 1916 | +84.4% |
| 1920 | +81.7% |
| 1924 | +88.4% |
| 1928 | +81.9% |
| 1932 | +96.1% |
| 1936 | +98.9% |
| 1940 | +94.3% |
| 1944 | +94.6% |
| 1948 | +4.5% |
| 1952 | +62.1% |
| 1956 | +77.5% |
| 1960 | +43.1% |
| 1964 | −83.9% |
| 1968 | +14.6% |
| 1972 | −52.3% |
| 1976 | +18.2% |
| 1980 | +17.5% |
| 1984 | −5.9% |
| 1988 | −1.4% |
| 1992 | +9.5% |
| 1996 | +16.5% |
| 2000 | +9.3% |
| 2004 | +7.7% |
| 2008 | +25.3% |
| 2012 | +28.7% |
| 2016 | +22.6% |
| 2020 | +23.3% |
| 2024 | +16.9% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 7,968 |
| 2018 | 7,871 |
| 2020 | 7,953 |
| 2022 | 7,843 |
| 2024 | 7,850 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+66 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −752 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $35,134 in average income, against $41,210 for residents who stayed — 15% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+32.7 on average — 50 points more Republican-leaning than Kemper County, MS itself (D+16.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Lauderdale County, MS41R+21.2
- Neshoba County, MS26R+50.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Lauderdale County, MS50
- Neshoba County, MS30
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −147 |
| 2012 | +111 |
| 2013 | −87 |
| 2014 | −52 |
| 2015 | −94 |
| 2016 | −51 |
| 2017 | +68 |
| 2018 | −362 |
| 2019 | +33 |
| 2021 | −114 |
| 2022 | −73 |
| 2023 | −35 |
| 2024 | −15 |
| 2025 | +66 |
Kemper County's electorate is majority Black, a demographic reality that has kept it reliably Democratic in presidential races even as surrounding rural Mississippi counties trend sharply the other way. Its sparse population of roughly 10,000 amplifies the weight of turnout swings.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 98.9 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 83.9 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 16.9 points.
A population of 8,729, a 33% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $46,431 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Calhoun County and Jefferson Davis County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Kemper County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28069/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.