HarrisDemocratic56.5%3,041TrumpRepublican42.8%2,302KennedyIndependent0.3%16
D+13.7- Lead
- 739
- Total
- 5,378
- vs nation
- D+15.2
- Turnout
- 60.4%
Akashiccounty
Jefferson Davis County, MS
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 60.4% of 8,901 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic57.9%3,599TrumpRepublican40.8%2,534WestIndependent0.5%29
D+17.1- Lead
- 1,065
- Total
- 6,213
- vs nation
- D+12.7
- Turnout
- 70.8%
ClintonDemocratic59.6%3,720TrumpRepublican39.5%2,466JohnsonLibertarian0.3%21
D+20.1- Lead
- 1,254
- Total
- 6,237
- vs nation
- D+18.0
- Turnout
- 67.1%
ObamaDemocratic62.2%4,267RomneyRepublican36.5%2,507OtherAll other candidates1.3%90
D+25.6- Lead
- 1,760
- Total
- 6,864
- vs nation
- D+21.8
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic60.4%4,454McCainRepublican39.0%2,871OtherAll other candidates0.6%45
D+21.5- Lead
- 1,583
- Total
- 7,370
- vs nation
- D+14.2
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic51.3%2,959BushRepublican46.3%2,668OtherAll other candidates2.4%138
D+5.0- Lead
- 291
- Total
- 5,765
- vs nation
- D+7.5
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic53.3%2,835BushRepublican45.8%2,437NaderGreen0.2%11
D+7.5- Lead
- 398
- Total
- 5,317
- vs nation
- D+7.0
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic54.7%2,663DoleRepublican38.8%1,890PerotReform5.4%264
D+15.9- Lead
- 773
- Total
- 4,866
- vs nation
- D+7.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+13.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 11,1172024 5-year
- Median household income
- $38,5482024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 37.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 59.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+94.1 in 1940MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+81.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Quitman County, MS · twin score 97.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 60.4%5,378 participants ÷ 8,901 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +35.3 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +7.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 25.1%–35.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 6,237 | 9,291 | 67.1% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 4,885 | 9,157 | 53.3% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 6,331 | 8,947 | 70.8% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 3,208 | 9,049 | 35.5% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 5,378 | 8,901 | 60.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
37 precincts · 5,378 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Bassfield Highway 42 - 31Bassfield Highway 42 - 31 | 620 | 192 | 3 | 815 | 76.1% | 23.6% | D+52.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -North East Prentiss 43North East Prentiss 43 | 359 | 163 | 2 | 524 | 68.5% | 31.1% | D+37.4 |
| Precinct -South Prentiss 12South Prentiss 12 | 220 | 260 | 7 | 487 | 45.2% | 53.4% | R+8.2 |
| Precinct -Son's Academy/Hathorn 25Son's Academy/Hathorn 25 | 189 | 201 | 1 | 391 | 48.3% | 51.4% | R+3.1 |
| Precinct -South Prentiss 13South Prentiss 13 | 214 | 158 | 1 | 373 | 57.4% | 42.4% | D+15.0 |
| Precinct -Red House 55Red House 55 | 209 | 104 | 3 | 316 | 66.1% | 32.9% | D+33.2 |
| Precinct -Bassfield 26Bassfield 26 | 143 | 163 | 3 | 309 | 46.3% | 52.8% | R+6.5 |
| Precinct -Good Hope/Melba 33Good Hope/Melba 33 | 90 | 198 | 2 | 290 | 31.0% | 68.3% | R+37.2 |
| Precinct -Williamson Mill 44Williamson Mill 44 | 89 | 183 | 1 | 273 | 32.6% | 67.0% | R+34.4 |
| Precinct -Whiting 56Whiting 56 | 200 | 59 | 2 | 261 | 76.6% | 22.6% | D+54.0 |
| Precinct -Green's Creek 23Green's Creek 23 | 70 | 186 | 3 | 259 | 27.0% | 71.8% | R+44.8 |
| Precinct -Gwinville/Old Hebron - 51Gwinville/Old Hebron - 51 | 143 | 83 | 1 | 227 | 63.0% | 36.6% | D+26.4 |
| Precinct -North West Prentiss 53North West Prentiss 53 | 153 | 57 | 2 | 212 | 72.2% | 26.9% | D+45.3 |
| Precinct -Carson 22Carson 22 | 52 | 136 | 0 | 188 | 27.7% | 72.3% | R+44.7 |
| Precinct -Mt Carmel 42Mt Carmel 42 | 157 | 26 | 3 | 186 | 84.4% | 14.0% | D+70.4 |
| Precinct -Clem 41Clem 41 | 76 | 77 | 1 | 154 | 49.4% | 50.0% | R+0.6 |
| Precinct -11 - Granby11 - Granby | 57 | 56 | 0 | 113 | 50.4% | 49.6% | D+0.9 |
| Bassfield Beat 2 Voting District28_2806526 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bassfield Beat 3 Voting District28_2806531 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Carson Voting District28_2806522 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clem Voting District28_2806541 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Good Hope Voting District28_2806533 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Granby Voting District28_2806511 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Green's Creek Voting District28_2806523 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gwinville Voting District28_2806551 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hawthorn Voting District28_2806524 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hebron Voting District28_2806552 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Melba Voting District28_2806534 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mt. Caramel Voting District28_2806542 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Northeast Prentiss Voting District28_2806543 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Northwest Prentiss Voting District28_2806553 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Red House Voting District28_2806555 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sons Academy Voting District28_2806525 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Prentiss Voting District28_2806512 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Prentiss Voting District28_2806513 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Whiting Voting District28_2806556 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Williamsoms Mill Voting District28_2806544 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1908–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1908 | +61.8% |
| 1912 | +76.9% |
| 1916 | +86.2% |
| 1920 | +45.7% |
| 1924 | +78.5% |
| 1928 | +68.0% |
| 1932 | +93.6% |
| 1936 | +90.2% |
| 1940 | +94.1% |
| 1944 | +87.9% |
| 1948 | −0.6% |
| 1952 | +54.9% |
| 1956 | +62.5% |
| 1960 | +16.5% |
| 1964 | −81.8% |
| 1968 | +26.7% |
| 1972 | −47.0% |
| 1976 | +18.7% |
| 1980 | +25.1% |
| 1984 | −4.3% |
| 1988 | +3.5% |
| 1992 | +13.5% |
| 1996 | +15.9% |
| 2000 | +7.5% |
| 2004 | +5.0% |
| 2008 | +21.5% |
| 2012 | +25.6% |
| 2016 | +20.1% |
| 2020 | +17.1% |
| 2024 | +13.7% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 4 Senate special · 9 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 9,853 |
| 2018 | 9,135 |
| 2020 | 9,117 |
| 2022 | 8,796 |
| 2024 | 5,790 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−9 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,103 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $37,243 in average income, against $47,173 for residents who stayed — 21% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+34.3 on average — 48 points more Republican-leaning than Jefferson Davis County, MS itself (D+13.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Lamar County, MS28R+48.8
- Covington County, MS24R+33.3
- Forrest County, MS23R+17.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Lamar County, MS31
- Marion County, MS24
- Simpson County, MS21
- Forrest County, MS20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −296 |
| 2012 | −77 |
| 2013 | −127 |
| 2014 | −112 |
| 2015 | −134 |
| 2016 | −168 |
| 2017 | −117 |
| 2018 | −48 |
| 2019 | −49 |
| 2021 | −48 |
| 2022 | +5 |
| 2023 | −40 |
| 2024 | +117 |
| 2025 | −9 |
Jefferson Davis County's Black majority — roughly 60% of residents — anchors a consistent Democratic lean unusual among Mississippi's predominantly rural, Republican-tilting counties, with Biden and Harris each carrying it by double digits.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 94.1 points in 1940 and a Republican high of 81.8 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 13.7 points.
A population of 11,117, a 38% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $38,548 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Quitman County and Wilkinson County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Quitman County
Mississippi
97.3twin score
% Black2012–2024 trajectory
Wilkinson County
Mississippi
97.2twin score
% Black2012–2024 trajectory
Jefferson County
Georgia
97.1twin score
% Black2004–2016 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Jefferson Davis County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28065/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Jefferson Davis County, Mississippi vote in 2024?
In 2024, Jefferson Davis County, Mississippi voted Democratic by 13.7 points (D+13.7), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 5,378 votes cast, 3,041 went Democratic and 2,302 went Republican.
When did Jefferson Davis County, Mississippi last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Jefferson Davis County, Mississippi voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in Jefferson Davis County, Mississippi?
Jefferson Davis County, Mississippi has a population of 11,117 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Jefferson Davis County, Mississippi?
Median household income in Jefferson Davis County, Mississippi is $38,548 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.
What is the political history of Jefferson Davis County, Mississippi?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Jefferson Davis County, Mississippi from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 24 went Democratic and 3 went Republican.