Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA
presidential margin
2008D+54.62012D+53.52016D+59.92020D+59.52024D+52.0
full record · 18922024
D+52.0
2024
median income$136,713U.S. $80,734 · CA $99,122
median age40.3U.S. 39.1 · CA 37.9
poverty rate8.9%U.S. 12.5% · CA 12.0%
bachelor’s+ (25+)52.6%U.S. 35.6% · CA 36.6%
non-english42.6%U.S. 22.3% · CA 44.4%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German7.0%
Irish6.9%
English6.8%
Chinese10.7%
Asian Indian5.4%
Filipino5.3%
Mexican14.4%
Salvadoran2.0%
Guatemalan1.4%
African American5.5%
African0.3%
Ethiopian0.2%
Aztec0.3%
Maya0.2%
religion
other traditions
Mainline2.2%
Muslim2.0%
Black Protestant1.8%
Latter-day Saints1.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA, California

Akashic
San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CAHarrisD+52.0
2024 presidential margin by county for San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA, CAA map of the constituent counties of San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA, CA, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Alameda County, CA · D+53.6Contra Costa County, CA · D+37.9San Francisco County, CA · D+64.8San Mateo County, CA · D+50.3Marin County, CA · D+63.9
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala HarrisDemocratic74.1%1,538,387
Donald TrumpRepublican22.1%459,361
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.American Independent3.8%78,543
D+60
R+60
5 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (5 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA, CA — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Alameda County, CADemocraticD+53.6
Contra Costa County, CADemocraticD+37.9
Marin County, CADemocraticD+63.9
San Francisco County, CADemocraticD+64.8
San Mateo County, CADemocraticD+50.3
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
D
74.1%Harris1,538,387
22.1%Trump459,361
3.8%Kennedy78,543
+52.0%
2,076,291
D
78.7%Biden1,831,985
19.1%Trump445,799
2.2%Jorgensen50,919
+59.5%
2,328,703
D
76.4%Clinton1,525,802
16.5%Trump329,266
7.1%Johnson141,097
+59.9%
1,996,165
D
75.2%Obama1,368,212
21.7%Romney395,411
3.0%Johnson54,661
+53.5%
1,818,284
D
76.2%Obama1,450,455
21.6%McCain411,724
2.2%Nader41,636
+54.6%
1,903,815
D
72.7%Kerry1,273,603
25.9%Bush453,567
1.5%Badnarik25,595
+46.8%
1,752,765
D
66.8%Gore1,054,697
27.1%Bush427,316
6.1%Nader96,141
+39.8%
1,578,154
D
63.1%Clinton929,902
26.0%Dole382,236
10.9%Perot160,565
+37.2%
1,472,703
D
60.1%Clinton987,837
23.5%Bush385,168
16.4%Perot269,385
+36.7%
1,642,390
D
61.1%Dukakis892,834
37.7%Bush550,086
1.2%Paul17,382
+23.5%
1,460,302
D
54.5%Mondale796,114
44.3%Reagan647,030
1.2%Bergland17,701
+10.2%
1,460,845
D
43.5%Carter568,868
42.1%Reagan549,779
14.4%Anderson187,687
+1.5%
1,306,334
D
51.0%Carter639,949
44.3%Ford556,202
4.7%Macbride58,408
+6.7%
1,254,559
D
50.2%McGovern699,013
47.2%Nixon657,867
2.6%Schmitz36,149
+3.0%
1,393,029
D
52.0%Humphrey641,519
39.8%Nixon491,817
8.2%Wallace101,300
+12.1%
1,234,636
D
66.6%Johnson815,102
33.3%Goldwater407,601
0.1%Hass1,345
+33.3%
1,224,048
D
53.3%Kennedy633,570
46.4%Nixon551,467
0.4%Byrd4,222
+6.9%
1,189,259
R
45.8%Stevenson488,470
53.9%Eisenhower575,371
0.3%Andrews3,455
−8.1%
1,067,296
R
45.2%Stevenson475,233
53.9%Eisenhower566,279
0.9%Hallinan8,994
−8.7%
1,050,506
D
47.4%Truman419,307
47.0%Dewey415,337
5.6%Thurmond49,899
+0.4%
884,543
D
58.7%Roosevelt475,181
40.9%Dewey330,855
0.5%Thomas3,705
+17.8%
809,741
D
57.2%Roosevelt405,927
41.6%Willkie295,550
1.2%Thomas8,528
+15.5%
710,005
D
69.0%Roosevelt410,766
29.8%Landon177,253
1.3%Lemke7,463
+39.2%
595,482
D
58.4%Roosevelt296,700
37.5%Hoover190,284
4.1%Thomas20,754
+21.0%
507,738
R
41.5%Smith181,521
57.3%Hoover250,243
1.2%Thomas5,327
−15.7%
437,091
R
6.2%Davis20,372
54.2%Coolidge177,915
39.6%La Follette130,198
−48.0%
328,485
R
21.4%Cox61,234
66.9%Harding190,903
11.7%Debs33,414
−45.4%
285,551
D
48.1%Wilson136,339
45.8%Hughes129,776
6.1%Benson17,237
+2.3%
283,352
O
43.7%Wilson82,756
0.0%Taft0
56.3%Roosevelt106,579
Roosevelt +12.6
189,335
R
30.0%Bryan32,266
59.1%Taft63,497
10.9%Debs11,705
−29.1%
107,468
R
24.5%Parker25,306
63.9%Roosevelt66,059
11.6%Debs11,946
−39.4%
103,311
R
37.3%Bryan35,256
58.3%McKinley55,023
4.4%Woolley4,134
−20.9%
94,413
R
45.2%Bryan42,285
52.8%McKinley49,359
2.1%Palmer1,922
−7.6%
93,566
D
49.1%Cleveland41,437
44.0%Harrison37,113
7.0%Weaver5,869
+5.1%
84,419
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: +52.0% in 2024.flipped D · 1960+52.0%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+5.1%
1896−7.6%
1900−20.9%
1904−39.4%
1908−29.1%
1912+43.7%
1916+2.3%
1920−45.4%
1924−48.0%
1928−15.7%
1932+21.0%
1936+39.2%
1940+15.5%
1944+17.8%
1948+0.4%
1952−8.7%
1956−8.1%
1960+6.9%
1964+33.3%
1968+12.1%
1972+3.0%
1976+6.7%
1980+1.5%
1984+10.2%
1988+23.5%
1992+36.7%
1996+37.2%
2000+39.8%
2004+46.8%
2008+54.6%
2012+53.5%
2016+59.9%
2020+59.5%
2024+52.0%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Voter registration in San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CARegistered voters by party of registration, 2022–2024. Latest total 2,782,625 in 2024.695.7K1.4M2.1M2.8M2.8M20222024
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
Voter registration in San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA
YearTotal registeredDemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther
20222,724,6221,597,777342,482643,683140,680
20242,782,6251,619,309370,876636,692155,748
Source: California Secretary of State

Home to roughly 4.7 million residents, this metro combines San Francisco's dense urban core with Oakland's majority-minority electorate and Fremont's fast-growing South Asian and Chinese American communities, producing some of the most lopsided Democratic margins in the country.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 59.9 points in 2016 and a Republican high of 48.0 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 7.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 52.0 points.

A population of 4,645,029, a 35% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $136,713 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA and Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV.

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/41860/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions

How did San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA, California voted Democratic by 52.0 points (D+52.0), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 2,076,291 votes cast, 1,538,387 went Democratic and 459,361 went Republican.
When did San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA, California last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA, California voted Republican was 1956.
How many people live in San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA, California?
San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA, California has a population of 4,645,029 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA, California?
Median household income in San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA, California is $136,713 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA, California?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA, California from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 24 went Democratic and 9 went Republican.