San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA Metro Area — Elections 1892–2024

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How it voted

Share of the 2024 vote

Kamala Harris ✓Democratic	56.9%	841,372
Donald TrumpRepublican	40.1%	593,270
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.American Independent	2.9%	43,144

D+60

R+60

A single county, filled by its 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover it for the full result.

County-level results (1 county) — table

2024 presidential result by county for San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA, CA — winner and D-vs-R margin.
County	Winner	Margin
San Diego County, CA	Democratic	D+16.8

34 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Total
2024	D	56.9%Harris841,372	40.1%Trump593,270	2.9%Kennedy43,144	+16.8%	1,477,786
2020	D	60.2%Biden964,650	37.5%Trump600,094	2.3%Jorgensen37,399	+22.8%	1,602,143
2016	D	56.1%Clinton735,476	36.4%Trump477,766	7.5%Johnson98,376	+19.6%	1,311,618
2012	D	52.5%Obama626,957	45.0%Romney536,726	2.5%Johnson30,266	+7.6%	1,193,949
2008	D	54.0%Obama666,581	43.8%McCain541,032	2.3%Nader27,890	+10.2%	1,235,503
2004	R	46.3%Kerry526,437	52.5%Bush596,033	1.2%Badnarik13,881	−6.1%	1,136,351
2000	R	45.7%Gore437,666	49.6%Bush475,736	4.7%Nader45,232	−4.0%	958,634
1996	R	44.1%Clinton389,964	45.6%Dole402,876	10.3%Perot91,311	−1.5%	884,151
1992	D	37.2%Clinton367,397	35.7%Bush352,125	27.1%Perot267,124	+1.5%	986,646
1988	R	38.3%Dukakis333,264	60.2%Bush523,143	1.5%Paul12,788	−21.8%	869,195
1984	R	33.4%Mondale257,029	65.3%Reagan502,344	1.3%Bergland9,894	−31.9%	769,267
1980	R	27.3%Carter195,410	60.8%Reagan435,910	11.9%Anderson85,546	−33.5%	716,866
1976	R	41.6%Carter263,654	55.7%Ford353,302	2.7%Macbride16,839	−14.1%	633,795
1972	R	34.3%McGovern206,455	61.8%Nixon371,627	3.8%Schmitz23,055	−27.5%	601,137
1968	R	36.1%Humphrey167,669	56.3%Nixon261,540	7.7%Wallace35,654	−20.2%	464,863
1964	R	49.7%Johnson211,808	50.3%Goldwater214,445	0.0%Hass33	−0.6%	426,286
1960	R	43.3%Kennedy171,259	56.4%Nixon223,056	0.3%Byrd1,106	−13.1%	395,421
1956	R	35.1%Stevenson106,716	64.5%Eisenhower195,742	0.4%Andrews1,147	−29.3%	303,605
1952	R	36.5%Stevenson101,880	62.9%Eisenhower175,281	0.6%Hallinan1,590	−26.3%	278,751
1948	R	47.8%Truman98,217	49.4%Dewey101,552	2.8%Thurmond5,690	−1.6%	205,459
1944	D	53.9%Roosevelt89,959	45.4%Dewey75,746	0.6%Thomas1,059	+8.5%	166,764
1940	D	55.6%Roosevelt71,188	43.3%Willkie55,434	1.2%Thomas1,488	+12.3%	128,110
1936	D	63.5%Roosevelt64,628	35.0%Landon35,686	1.5%Lemke1,540	+28.4%	101,854
1932	D	53.6%Roosevelt45,622	41.5%Hoover35,305	5.0%Thomas4,223	+12.1%	85,150
1928	R	32.0%Smith22,749	67.1%Hoover47,769	0.9%Thomas633	−35.2%	71,151
1924	R	6.3%Davis2,944	49.0%Coolidge22,726	44.7%La Follette20,721	−42.6%	46,391
1920	R	27.3%Cox8,478	63.8%Harding19,826	9.0%Debs2,783	−36.5%	31,087
1916	R	46.0%Wilson16,815	46.5%Hughes16,978	7.5%Benson2,744	−0.4%	36,537
1912	O	44.8%Wilson9,731	0.0%Taft0	55.2%Roosevelt11,997	Roosevelt +10.4	21,728
1908	R	25.4%Bryan2,393	57.6%Taft5,412	17.0%Debs1,598	−32.1%	9,403
1904	R	19.3%Parker1,398	59.5%Roosevelt4,303	21.1%Debs1,529	−40.2%	7,230
1900	R	38.7%Bryan2,678	54.9%McKinley3,800	6.4%Woolley443	−16.2%	6,921
1896	D	50.4%Bryan3,908	46.9%McKinley3,631	2.7%Palmer209	+3.6%	7,748
1892	R	30.3%Cleveland2,334	45.7%Harrison3,525	24.0%Weaver1,853	−15.4%	7,712

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−15.4%
1896	+3.6%
1900	−16.2%
1904	−40.2%
1908	−32.1%
1912	+44.8%
1916	−0.4%
1920	−36.5%
1924	−42.6%
1928	−35.2%
1932	+12.1%
1936	+28.4%
1940	+12.3%
1944	+8.5%
1948	−1.6%
1952	−26.3%
1956	−29.3%
1960	−13.1%
1964	−0.6%
1968	−20.2%
1972	−27.5%
1976	−14.1%
1980	−33.5%
1984	−31.9%
1988	−21.8%
1992	+1.5%
1996	−1.5%
2000	−4.0%
2004	−6.1%
2008	+10.2%
2012	+7.6%
2016	+19.6%
2020	+22.8%
2024	+16.8%

DemocraticRepublican

voter registration

Registered voters

By party of registration, over time

DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties

Voter registration in San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
Year	Total registered	Democratic	Republican	Unaffiliated	Other
2022	1,909,948	792,164	516,517	467,881	133,386
2024	1,938,487	797,970	536,500	457,212	146,805

Source: California Secretary of State

San Diego's large active-duty and veteran population coexists with a majority-minority electorate shaped by Latino growth along the South Bay corridor, producing a metro that swings on suburban turnout in mid-cycle elections.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 44.8 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 42.6 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 6.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 16.8 points.

A population of 3,288,774, a 42% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $106,268 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA and Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA

96.6twin score

% Asianpopulation scale2016–2024 trajectory

Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX

94.8twin score

2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend≠ % Asian

Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA

94.6twin score

2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend≠ % Asian

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/41740/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

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Places within San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA

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San Diego County

Frequently asked questions

How did San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA, California vote in 2024?

In 2024, San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA, California voted Democratic by 16.8 points (D+16.8), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,477,786 votes cast, 841,372 went Democratic and 593,270 went Republican.

When did San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA, California last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA, California voted Republican was 2004.

How many people live in San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA, California?

San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA, California has a population of 3,288,774 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA, California?

Median household income in San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA, California is $106,268 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.

What is the political history of San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA, California?

Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA, California from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 22 went Republican.