akashic
1876–2024
San Diego County, California
San Diego County·California

San Diego County changed direction in the last decade.

Once a Republican stronghold, now reliably Democratic by double digits

18762024·38 elections
San Diego County, California · MARELBU · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
D+17
in 2024
Archetype
Recent convert
since the recent cycles
Population
3,288,774
2024 ACS
Most similar
Ventura County
CA · similarity 0.99
1,746 precincts · 1,478,028 votes cast
Harris · D+17
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024D
+16.8%
841,372593,2701,478,028
2020D
+22.8%
964,650600,0941,602,143
2016D
+19.6%
735,476477,7661,311,618
2012D
+7.6%
626,957536,7261,193,949
2008D
+10.2%
666,581541,0321,235,503
2004R
−6.1%
526,437596,0331,136,351
2000R
−4.0%
437,666475,736958,634
1996R
−1.5%
389,964402,876884,151
1992D
+1.5%
367,397352,125986,646
1988R
−21.8%
333,264523,143869,195
1984R
−31.9%
257,029502,344769,267
1980R
−33.5%
195,410435,910716,866
1976R
−14.1%
263,654353,302633,795
1972R
−27.5%
206,455371,627601,137
1968R
−20.2%
167,669261,540464,863
1964R
−0.6%
211,808214,445426,286
1960R
−13.1%
171,259223,056395,421
1956R
−29.3%
106,716195,742303,605
1952R
−26.3%
101,880175,281278,751
1948R
−1.6%
98,217101,552205,459
1944D
+8.5%
89,95975,746166,764
1940D
+12.3%
71,18855,434128,110
1936D
+28.4%
64,62835,686101,854
1932D
+12.1%
45,62235,30585,150
1928R
−35.2%
22,74947,76971,151
1924R
−42.6%
2,94422,72646,391
1920R
−36.5%
8,47819,82631,087
1916R
−0.4%
16,81516,97836,537
1912D
+44.8%
9,731021,728
1908R
−32.1%
2,3935,4129,403
1904R
−40.2%
1,3984,3037,230
1900R
−16.2%
2,6783,8006,921
1896D
+3.6%
3,9083,6317,748
1892R
−15.4%
2,3343,5257,712
1888R
−18.0%
3,1894,6618,194
1884R
−16.3%
8001,1201,965
1880R
−15.1%
5467431,308
1876R
−8.6%
6687941,462
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
3.8%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
23.2%
Other Christian
10.1%
Non-Christian
3.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.5%
Mainline Protestant
1.5%
Baptist
1.4%
Methodist
0.6%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 58.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

San Diego County's political center of gravity has shifted steadily leftward over two decades, driven by a growing Latino population and college-educated suburban voters in communities like Chula Vista and Carlsbad. The 2024 margin of D+16.8 marks its widest Democratic spread yet.

The 2008 election was the turning point, when the Democratic candidate carried the county by ten points. The 2024 margin was seventeen points, in line with the county's new direction.

The demographics suggest why. A population of 3,288,774, a 48% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $106,268 situate the county in the broader realignment patterns of recent cycles. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Ventura County and Arapahoe County.